ICFI
BEARISH
$67.55
Live
ICF International, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $105.25
(+55.8%)
$64.34
52W Range
$101.71
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 12, 2026
Market cap
$1.25B
P/E
13.65
ROE
9.1%
Profit margin
4.9%
Debt/Equity
0.56
Dividend yield
0.83%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
ICFI presents as a classic value trap; while the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable health and the current price sits below the Graham Number ($79.23), the fundamental growth trajectory is severely compromised. Revenue and earnings are contracting by double digits (-10.6% and -27.4% YoY, respectively), and the technical trend is completely bearish (0/100). Despite a low Forward P/E of 8.82, the disconnect between analyst price targets ($105.25) and the actual price action suggests a failure of the growth thesis.
Key Strengths
Low valuation multiples (P/E 13.65, P/S 0.66)
Conservative Debt/Equity ratio of 0.56
Trading below the Graham Number defensive fair value
Very low dividend payout ratio (11.31%), ensuring dividend safety
Strong historical track record of earnings beats over a 25-quarter horizon
Key Risks
Significant negative revenue growth (-10.60% YoY)
Sharp decline in earnings growth (-27.40% YoY)
Severe bearish technical momentum (0/100 trend score)
Recent deterioration in earnings quality (only 1 of last 4 quarters beat estimates)
Price is currently trading near its 52-week low ($64.34)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$56.94
-15.7% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
48
Moderate
75
20
50
55
40
AI Verdict
Value Trap
Key drivers: Negative growth metrics, Bearish price action, Low valuation multiples
Confidence
80%
Value
75/100
Ref P/E 13.65, Graham Number $79.23
Positives
- P/E is low relative to sector
- Price < Graham Number
Watchpoints
- Price > Growth-based Intrinsic Value ($34.65)
Future
20/100
Ref Revenue Growth -10.60%, Earnings Growth -27.40%
Positives
- Low forward P/E suggests priced-in decline
Watchpoints
- Double-digit revenue and earnings contraction
Past
50/100
Ref 25-quarter earnings track record
Positives
- Long-term history of beating estimates
Watchpoints
- Recent 4-quarter performance is weak (1/4 beats)
Health
55/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Positives
- Manageable Debt/Equity
- Current ratio > 1.0
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable, not Strong)
Dividend
40/100
Ref Yield 0.83%, Payout 11.31%
Positives
- Very low payout ratio
Watchpoints
- Negligible yield (0.83%)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$67.55
Analyst Target
$105.25
Upside/Downside
+55.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ICFI and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-10
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ICFI
ICF International, Inc.
Primary
|
-24.2% | -37.5% | -17.1% | -21.6% | -5.7% | +0.7% |
|
ENVX
Enovix Corporation
Peer
|
-66.9% | -56.4% | +5.0% | -54.7% | +12.6% | +15.3% |
|
BV
BrightView Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
-18.0% | +80.2% | -16.1% | -18.8% | +2.2% | 0.0% |
|
GLDD
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation
Peer
|
+12.5% | +212.5% | +90.8% | +42.7% | +0.5% | +0.1% |
|
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc.
Peer
|
+38.8% | +93.9% | +991.4% | +278.1% | +9.4% | -19.8% |
ICF
ICF International, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-24.2%
3Y
-37.5%
1Y
-17.1%
6M
-21.6%
1M
-5.7%
1W
+0.7%
ENV
Enovix Corporation
Peer
5Y
-66.9%
3Y
-56.4%
1Y
+5.0%
6M
-54.7%
1M
+12.6%
1W
+15.3%
BV
BrightView Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-18.0%
3Y
+80.2%
1Y
-16.1%
6M
-18.8%
1M
+2.2%
1W
0.0%
GLD
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation
Peer
5Y
+12.5%
3Y
+212.5%
1Y
+90.8%
6M
+42.7%
1M
+0.5%
1W
+0.1%
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+38.8%
3Y
+93.9%
1Y
+991.4%
6M
+278.1%
1M
+9.4%
1W
-19.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
13.65
Forward P/E
8.82
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.2
P/S Ratio
0.66
EV/Revenue
0.96
EV/EBITDA
8.85
Market Cap
$1.25B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
4.89%
Operating Margin
6.45%
Gross Margin
37.16%
ROE
9.11%
ROA
4.42%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-10.6%
Earnings Growth
-27.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-10.61%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-29.5%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.56
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.27
Good
Quick Ratio
1.11
Good
Cash/Share
$0.29
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.4B
Gross Margin
35.7%
Op. Margin
6.5%
Net Margin
3.9%
Total Assets
$2.1B
Liabilities
$1.0B
Equity
$1.0B
Debt/Equity
0.99x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
91%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-26
$1.47
-1.5% surprise
2025-10-30
$1.67
-3.7% surprise
2025-07-31
$1.66
+5.2% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing ICFI against 213 companies in the Industrials sector
(17 bullish, 83 neutral, 113 bearish)
P/E Ratio
13.65
This Stock
vs
82.58
Sector Avg
-83.5%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.11%
This Stock
vs
-5.27%
Sector Avg
-272.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.89%
This Stock
vs
22.2%
Sector Avg
-78.0%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.56
This Stock
vs
3.75
Sector Avg
-85.1%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-10.6%
This Stock
vs
29.1%
Sector Avg
-136.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.27
This Stock
vs
3.22
Sector Avg
-60.5%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ICFI
ICF International, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.25B | 13.65 | 9.1% | 4.9% | $67.55 | |
|
ENVX
Enovix Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $1.24B | - | -59.8% | -% | $5.73 | Compare |
|
BV
BrightView Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.25B | 101.61 | 3.1% | 2.1% | $13.21 | Compare |
|
GLDD
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock...
|
NEUTRAL | $1.14B | 15.74 | 15.2% | 8.3% | $17.0 | Compare |
|
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.37B | - | -% | -6.2% | $10.51 | Compare |
ICFI
ICF International, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.2B
P/E
13.6
ROE
9.1%
Price
$67.55
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | OSTRIA SERGIO J | Officer | Stock Award | 2,847 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | CHADHA RANJIT S. | Officer | Stock Award | 299 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | CHOATE ANNE F | Officer | Stock Award | 3,220 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | MORGAN JAMES C M | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 7,588 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | WASSON JOHN M | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 18,367 | - |
| 2026-03-06 | MEHL RANDALL A. | Director | Purchase | 1,100 | $81,730 |
| 2026-01-20 | OSTRIA SERGIO J | Officer | Stock Award | 1,996 | - |
| 2026-01-20 | BROADUS BARRY M. | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 3,081 | - |
| 2026-01-20 | CHOATE ANNE F | Officer | Stock Award | 2,370 | - |
| 2026-01-20 | MORGAN JAMES C M | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 5,906 | - |
| 2026-01-20 | WASSON JOHN M | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 17,272 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | WASSON JOHN M | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 73 | $5,960 |
| 2025-12-01 | WASSON JOHN M | Chief Executive Officer | Gift | 5,000 | - |
| 2025-11-17 | MEHL RANDALL A. | Director | Purchase | 1,000 | $77,569 |
| 2025-11-07 | CHOATE ANNE F | Officer | Stock Award | 980 | - |
OSTRIA SERGIO J
Officer
2026-03-20
2,847 shares
CHADHA RANJIT S.
Officer
2026-03-20
299 shares
CHOATE ANNE F
Officer
2026-03-20
3,220 shares
MORGAN JAMES C M
Chief Operating Officer
2026-03-20
7,588 shares
WASSON JOHN M
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-20
18,367 shares
MEHL RANDALL A.
Director
2026-03-06
1,100 shares
·
$81,730
OSTRIA SERGIO J
Officer
2026-01-20
1,996 shares
BROADUS BARRY M.
Chief Financial Officer
2026-01-20
3,081 shares
CHOATE ANNE F
Officer
2026-01-20
2,370 shares
MORGAN JAMES C M
Chief Operating Officer
2026-01-20
5,906 shares
WASSON JOHN M
Chief Executive Officer
2026-01-20
17,272 shares
WASSON JOHN M
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-31
73 shares
·
$5,960
WASSON JOHN M
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-01
5,000 shares
MEHL RANDALL A.
Director
2025-11-17
1,000 shares
·
$77,569
CHOATE ANNE F
Officer
2025-11-07
980 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
4 analysts
Barrington Research
2026-03-04
Outperform
Outperform
Truist Securities
2026-01-14
Hold
Hold
Canaccord Genuity
2025-12-02
Hold
Buy
Barrington Research
2025-11-20
Outperform
Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ICFI from our newsroom.
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