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INTC Intel Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

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INTC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Semiconductors
Current Price Live
$46.96
Analyst Target
$41.08
-12.5% Downside
52W High
$50.39
52W Low
$17.67

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
Intel's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating solid financial health based on profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency metrics. However, the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment, while the Graham Number of $5.49 and intrinsic value of $0.42 suggest severe overvaluation relative to current price of $46.96. Despite recent strong price performance and a stable balance sheet with a 1.60 current ratio and 0.40 debt/equity, profitability remains weak with near-zero ROE and negative ROA. Analysts consensus is a hold, aligning with mixed fundamentals and uncertain earnings sustainability.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 reflects robust accounting health across profitability, leverage, and operational efficiency
Solid liquidity position with current ratio of 1.60 and quick ratio of 1.06, indicating short-term financial stability
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.40, suggesting conservative capital structure and low financial risk
Recent earnings surprises are highly volatile but include several large positive beats, indicating potential operational turnaround
Significant year-over-year EPS growth of +105.9% and Q/Q growth of +330.0%, signaling strong recent earnings momentum

Key Risks

Extremely high P/E of 782.67 and forward P/E of 78.23 indicate severe overvaluation relative to earnings
Minimal profitability with profit margin of just 0.37% and ROA of -0.46%, raising concerns about sustainable earnings power
Graham Number of $5.49 implies fair value is less than 12% of current price, highlighting extreme overvaluation risk
Absence of Altman Z-Score prevents proper distress risk evaluation, creating analytical blind spot
High volatility in quarterly earnings surprises (e.g., -1422.6% in Oct 2024) suggests inconsistent execution and forecasting risk
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$5.49
-88.3% below current price

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