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JRVR

NEUTRAL
$6.2 Live
James River Group Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $7.67 (+23.7%)
$4.09 52W Range $7.2

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 12, 2026
Market cap
$285.01M
P/E
7.47
ROE
7.9%
Profit margin
6.9%
Debt/Equity
0.5
Dividend yield
0.65%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
JRVR presents a classic 'value trap' profile, characterized by a very weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicating deteriorating fundamental health. While the stock is significantly undervalued on a Price-to-Book (0.53) and Graham Number ($14.79) basis, this discount is justified by extreme earnings volatility and a history of massive quarterly misses. Strong top-line revenue growth of 32.4% is offset by an unstable bottom line and poor operational health scores. The current price of $6.20 sits near the growth-based intrinsic value, suggesting limited upside until financial stability is proven.

Key Strengths

Deeply undervalued Price-to-Book ratio of 0.53
Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 32.40%
Low Forward P/E of 5.00 suggesting cheap earnings relative to expectations
Low payout ratio (4.82%) providing ample room for dividend growth
Current ratio of 1.86 indicates adequate short-term liquidity

Key Risks

Critical Piotroski F-Score (2/9) signaling poor financial health
Extreme earnings volatility with frequent and massive EPS misses
Severe long-term price erosion (5-year change of -86.2%)
Significant gap between Current Ratio (1.86) and Quick Ratio (0.28), indicating low liquid asset availability
Bearish technical trend (0/100) despite recent 1-year recovery
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$6.8
+9.7% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
46
Moderate
Value
88
Future
55
Past
30
Health
20
Dividend
35
AI Verdict
Speculative Value Trap
Key drivers: Extreme valuation discount, Poor fundamental health (Piotroski), Erratic earnings track record
Confidence
90%
Value
88/100

Trades at a massive discount to book value and Graham's defensive fair value.

Positives
  • P/B of 0.53
  • Graham Number of $14.79
  • P/E of 7.47
Watchpoints
  • Market skepticism reflected in low P/B
Future
55/100

Strong top-line growth is not translating into stable bottom-line results.

Positives
  • 32.4% Revenue growth
  • Positive analyst target price ($7.67)
Watchpoints
  • Unpredictable earnings trajectory
  • Low confidence in EPS estimates
Past
30/100

Long-term destruction of shareholder value and inconsistent performance.

Positives
  • Recent 1-year recovery of +49.7%
Watchpoints
  • 5-year return of -86.2%
  • History of catastrophic earnings surprises (e.g., -2010.7%)
Health
20/100

Deterministic health scores indicate a weak financial foundation.

Positives
  • Manageable Debt/Equity of 0.50
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
  • Very low Quick Ratio (0.28)
Dividend
35/100

Dividend is safe but provides no meaningful income incentive.

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (4.82%)
Watchpoints
  • Negligible yield (0.65%)
  • Low dividend strength score (25/100)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$6.2
Analyst Target
$7.67
Upside/Downside
+23.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for JRVR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-10
JRV
James River Group Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-86.2%
3Y
-67.5%
1Y
+49.7%
6M
+19.6%
1M
-3.1%
1W
+1.3%
FVC
FVCBankcorp, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+20.3%
3Y
+53.5%
1Y
+49.8%
6M
+26.2%
1M
+3.9%
1W
+2.6%
ACV
Virtus Diversified Income & Convertible Fund
Peer
5Y
+58.2%
3Y
+76.3%
1Y
+36.2%
6M
+30.3%
1M
+7.0%
1W
+2.3%
HCA
Hall Chadwick Acquisition Corp.
Peer
5Y
0.0%
3Y
0.0%
1Y
0.0%
6M
0.0%
1M
-0.4%
1W
-0.1%
GPA
General Purpose Acquisition Corp.
Peer
5Y
+0.3%
3Y
+0.3%
1Y
+0.3%
6M
+0.3%
1M
+0.2%
1W
0.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
7.47
Forward P/E
5.0
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.53
P/S Ratio
0.41
EV/Revenue
0.72
EV/EBITDA
6.64
Market Cap
$285.01M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 6.9%
Operating Margin 18.2%
Gross Margin 37.87%
ROE 7.88%
ROA 0.94%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +32.4%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +32.38%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.5
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.86
Good
Quick Ratio
0.28
Poor
Cash/Share
$5.68

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Net Margin
19.1%
Total Assets
$4.9B
Liabilities
$4.2B
Equity
$0.7B
Debt/Equity
6.24x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
109%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-04
$N/A
2026-03-02
$0.3
-29.3% surprise
2025-11-03
$0.32
+32.4% surprise
2025-08-04
$0.23
-4.0% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing JRVR against 362 companies in the Financial Services sector (63 bullish, 158 neutral, 141 bearish)
P/E Ratio
7.47
This Stock
vs
52.08
Sector Avg
-85.7% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.88%
This Stock
vs
-0.05%
Sector Avg
-15165.2% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
6.9%
This Stock
vs
66.07%
Sector Avg
-89.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.5
This Stock
vs
1.34
Sector Avg
-62.6% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
32.4%
This Stock
vs
43.38%
Sector Avg
-25.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.86
This Stock
vs
3.16
Sector Avg
-41.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

MIGLIORATO PETER B
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-04
14,409 shares
HOFFMANN MICHAEL J
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-04
32,799 shares
MILLER JEANETTE L
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-04
26,714 shares
LANGWELL DENNIS J
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-04
14,409 shares
MCCOY JAMES PAUL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-04
18,912 shares
LASALA CHRISTINE
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-04
21,613 shares
SUTHERLAND TODD RANDELL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-04
28,818 shares
GOULD KIRSTIN M.
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-04
14,409 shares
CROW MICHAEL E
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-04
41,686 shares
D ORAZIO FRANK N
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-04
143,461 shares
BROWN THOMAS LYNN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-04
14,409 shares
CAVANESS JOEL D
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-04
14,409 shares
DORAN SARAH C.
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-04
42,446 shares
HOFFMANN MICHAEL J
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
6,247 shares
MILLER JEANETTE L
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
3,122 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
3 analysts
Truist Securities
2026-03-04
Maintains
Hold Hold
Compass Point
2025-12-16
down
Buy Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning JRVR from our newsroom.

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