KDP
BEARISH
$26.54
Live
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $33.0
(+24.3%)
$24.88
52W Range
$35.94
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 23, 2026
Market cap
$36.06B
P/E
17.35
ROE
8.4%
Profit margin
12.5%
Debt/Equity
0.75
Dividend yield
3.47%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
KDP exhibits significant fundamental deterioration, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and a severe YoY EPS contraction of -55.2%. While revenue growth remains healthy at 10.5%, the disconnect between top-line growth and bottom-line collapse suggests escalating operational inefficiencies or rising costs. The stock is currently trading above its Graham Number ($25.43) and significantly above its growth-based intrinsic value ($10.71), while liquidity ratios (Current Ratio 0.64) indicate potential short-term financial stress.
Key Strengths
Strong Gross Margin of 54.20%
Consistent Revenue Growth (10.5% YoY)
Attractive Forward P/E of 10.59
Reasonable PEG Ratio of 0.89 suggesting growth is undervalued
Stable dividend yield of 3.47% with a sustainable payout ratio
Key Risks
Severe Earnings Collapse (-55.2% YoY EPS growth)
Poor Liquidity (Quick Ratio of 0.33 indicates high risk of short-term obligations)
Weak Financial Health (Piotroski F-Score 3/9)
Strong Bearish Technical Trend (0/100 score)
Negative Earnings Surprise Trend (Average -18.75% over last 4 quarters)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$23.5
-11.5% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
43
Moderate
55
40
30
25
65
AI Verdict
Underperform
Key drivers: EPS contraction, Liquidity crisis, Weak Piotroski score, Negative price momentum
Confidence
90%
Value
55/100
P/E 17.35, PEG 0.89, Graham Number $25.43
Positives
- Low Forward P/E
- PEG < 1.0
Watchpoints
- Price exceeds Graham Number
- Price significantly exceeds Intrinsic Value
Future
40/100
Revenue Growth 10.5% vs EPS Growth -55.2%
Positives
- Double-digit revenue growth
Watchpoints
- Plummeting EPS growth
- Consistent earnings misses
Past
30/100
1Y Change -22.7%, 5Y Change -16.5%
Positives
- Historical stability in beverage sector
Watchpoints
- Negative 1Y, 3Y, and 5Y price returns
Health
25/100
Piotroski F-Score 3/9, Current Ratio < 1.0
Positives
- Manageable Debt/Equity (0.75)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score 3/9 (Weak)
- Current Ratio 0.64
- Quick Ratio 0.33
Dividend
65/100
Yield 3.47%, Payout 60.13%
Positives
- Consistent yield
- Payout ratio (60%) allows for some cushion
Watchpoints
- Earnings decline may threaten future dividend growth
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$26.54
Analyst Target
$33.0
Upside/Downside
+24.3%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for KDP and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-22
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
Primary
|
-16.5% | -18.2% | -22.7% | -1.4% | +0.8% | +2.1% |
|
HSY
The Hershey Company
Peer
|
+29.8% | -10.8% | +3.5% | +13.9% | -6.5% | +5.0% |
|
KMB
Kimberly-Clark Corporation
Peer
|
-12.5% | -9.4% | -18.0% | -23.8% | -13.3% | +0.2% |
|
FMX
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.
Peer
|
+64.0% | +33.8% | +11.3% | +21.0% | +6.5% | -1.9% |
|
ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Peer
|
+46.2% | -13.3% | +38.5% | +24.1% | +16.8% | +3.6% |
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
Primary
5Y
-16.5%
3Y
-18.2%
1Y
-22.7%
6M
-1.4%
1M
+0.8%
1W
+2.1%
HSY
The Hershey Company
Peer
5Y
+29.8%
3Y
-10.8%
1Y
+3.5%
6M
+13.9%
1M
-6.5%
1W
+5.0%
KMB
Kimberly-Clark Corporation
Peer
5Y
-12.5%
3Y
-9.4%
1Y
-18.0%
6M
-23.8%
1M
-13.3%
1W
+0.2%
FMX
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.
Peer
5Y
+64.0%
3Y
+33.8%
1Y
+11.3%
6M
+21.0%
1M
+6.5%
1W
-1.9%
ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Peer
5Y
+46.2%
3Y
-13.3%
1Y
+38.5%
6M
+24.1%
1M
+16.8%
1W
+3.6%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
17.35
Forward P/E
10.59
PEG Ratio
0.89
P/B Ratio
1.41
P/S Ratio
2.17
EV/Revenue
3.27
EV/EBITDA
12.15
Market Cap
$36.06B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
12.52%
Operating Margin
22.63%
Gross Margin
54.2%
ROE
8.36%
ROA
4.26%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+10.5%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+10.54%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.75
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.64
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.33
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.76
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$4.5B
Gross Margin
53.8%
Op. Margin
21.3%
Net Margin
7.8%
Total Assets
$55.5B
Liabilities
$29.9B
Equity
$25.5B
Debt/Equity
1.17x
Operating CF
$0.7B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.6B
FCF Yield
79%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-23
$N/A
2026-02-24
$0.26
-52.0% surprise
2025-10-27
$0.49
-5.2% surprise
2025-07-24
$0.49
+1.0% surprise
Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison
Comparing KDP against 170 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector
(9 bullish, 60 neutral, 101 bearish)
P/E Ratio
17.35
This Stock
vs
37.45
Sector Avg
-53.7%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.36%
This Stock
vs
-13.91%
Sector Avg
-160.1%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
12.52%
This Stock
vs
-7.77%
Sector Avg
-261.1%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.75
This Stock
vs
1.89
Sector Avg
-60.0%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
10.5%
This Stock
vs
111.74%
Sector Avg
-90.6%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.64
This Stock
vs
2.29
Sector Avg
-72.3%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
|
BEARISH | $36.06B | 17.35 | 8.4% | 12.5% | $26.54 | |
|
HSY
The Hershey Company
|
NEUTRAL | $36.12B | 26.83 | 31.0% | 11.8% | $179.2 | Compare |
|
KMB
Kimberly-Clark Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $34.66B | 17.6 | 136.9% | 10.0% | $104.02 | Compare |
|
FMX
Fomento Económico...
|
BEARISH | $39.3B | 38.16 | 8.9% | 2.3% | $113.73 | Compare |
|
ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
|
NEUTRAL | $32.44B | 27.22 | 5.2% | 1.4% | $67.51 | Compare |
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$36.1B
P/E
17.3
ROE
8.4%
Price
$26.54
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | STEPHENS ANGELA A | Officer | Stock Award | 2,394 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | COFER TIMOTHY P | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 30,969 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | DENOOYER MARY BETH | Officer | Stock Award | 6,757 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | GAMGORT ROBERT JAMES | Director | Stock Award | 14,077 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | SHOEMAKER ANTHONY | Officer | Stock Award | 6,757 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | JOHNSON ROGER FREDERICK | Officer | Stock Award | 6,757 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | GORLI ERIC | Officer | Stock Award | 6,757 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | LEMIRE OLIVIER | Officer | Stock Award | 2,394 | - |
| 2026-03-03 | STEPHENS ANGELA A | Officer | Stock Award | 12,437 | - |
| 2026-03-03 | GAMGORT ROBERT JAMES | Director | Stock Award | 137,526 | - |
| 2026-03-03 | PATSLEY PAMELA H | Director | Stock Award | 5,226 | - |
| 2026-03-03 | SINGER ROBERT STEVEN | Director | Stock Award | 5,226 | - |
| 2026-03-03 | DENOOYER MARY BETH | Officer | Stock Award | 20,483 | - |
| 2026-03-03 | HICKMAN JULIETTE | Director | Stock Award | 5,226 | - |
| 2026-03-03 | SHOEMAKER ANTHONY | Officer | Stock Award | 18,687 | - |
STEPHENS ANGELA A
Officer
2026-03-05
2,394 shares
COFER TIMOTHY P
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-05
30,969 shares
DENOOYER MARY BETH
Officer
2026-03-05
6,757 shares
GAMGORT ROBERT JAMES
Director
2026-03-05
14,077 shares
SHOEMAKER ANTHONY
Officer
2026-03-05
6,757 shares
JOHNSON ROGER FREDERICK
Officer
2026-03-05
6,757 shares
GORLI ERIC
Officer
2026-03-05
6,757 shares
LEMIRE OLIVIER
Officer
2026-03-05
2,394 shares
STEPHENS ANGELA A
Officer
2026-03-03
12,437 shares
GAMGORT ROBERT JAMES
Director
2026-03-03
137,526 shares
PATSLEY PAMELA H
Director
2026-03-03
5,226 shares
SINGER ROBERT STEVEN
Director
2026-03-03
5,226 shares
DENOOYER MARY BETH
Officer
2026-03-03
20,483 shares
HICKMAN JULIETTE
Director
2026-03-03
5,226 shares
SHOEMAKER ANTHONY
Officer
2026-03-03
18,687 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
8-K
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
15 analysts
BNP Paribas
2026-04-22
Underperform
Neutral
JP Morgan
2026-04-16
Overweight
Overweight
Citigroup
2026-04-15
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2026-04-14
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Wells Fargo
2026-04-08
Overweight
Overweight
UBS
2026-04-07
Buy
Buy
Deutsche Bank
2026-03-30
Hold
Hold
Barclays
2026-02-26
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Wells Fargo
2026-02-25
Overweight
Overweight
Jefferies
2025-12-17
Buy
Hold
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning KDP from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
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