KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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KDP Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Consumer Defensive
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Current Price
Live
$27.41
Analyst Target
$34.43
+25.6%
Upside
52W High
$36.12
52W Low
$25.03
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
KDP's deterministic health scores raise significant concerns, with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial health and no available Altman Z-Score, limiting bankruptcy risk assessment. The stock trades above its Graham Number ($22.06) and intrinsic value estimate ($22.56) at $27.41, suggesting overvaluation. Despite solid operating margins and revenue growth, weak ROE (6.29%), deteriorating liquidity ratios (Current Ratio: 0.62), high insider selling, and declining YoY EPS (-3.9%) undermine confidence. Analysts recommend 'buy' with a $34.43 target, but this contrasts with bearish technicals, poor price performance, and deteriorating fundamentals.
Key Strengths
Strong operating margin of 23.11% indicates pricing power and cost control
Revenue growth of 10.70% YoY outpaces sector average of 5.11%
Dividend yield of 3.30% is attractive in current rate environment
Forward P/E of 12.63 suggests expected earnings improvement
Gross margin of 54.76% reflects strong brand and low production costs
Key Risks
Low Piotroski F-Score (4/9) signals weak financial health and poor profitability trends
Current Ratio (0.62) and Quick Ratio (0.30) indicate potential liquidity stress
High payout ratio (79.31%) threatens dividend sustainability if earnings decline
Year-over-year EPS decline of -3.9% despite revenue growth shows margin pressure
Insiders have sold $14.31M in shares recently, signaling lack of confidence
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$22.3
-18.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare KDP against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations
Past News Coverage
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