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KGEI

BEARISH
$5.04 Live
Kolibri Global Energy Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $8.0 (+58.7%)
$3.35 52W Range $8.27

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 13, 2026
Market cap
$179.0M
P/E
11.72
ROE
7.9%
Profit margin
27.0%
Debt/Equity
0.25
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
KGEI presents a contradictory profile where strong valuation metrics are overshadowed by deteriorating fundamentals and severe liquidity risks. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stability and the Graham Number ($7.46) suggests the stock is undervalued, the company is experiencing a significant collapse in growth with earnings down 42.2% YoY. Most concerning is the current ratio of 0.49, indicating a potential inability to cover short-term obligations. Despite high profit margins, the combination of negative growth, consistent earnings misses, and a 0/100 technical trend makes the outlook bearish.

Key Strengths

Strong profit margins (26.95%) and gross margins (83.90%)
Low Debt/Equity ratio (0.25) compared to sector average (1.40)
Trading below book value (P/B 0.88)
Low P/E ratio (11.72) relative to sector average (31.90)
Positive long-term 5-year price performance (+620%)

Key Risks

Severe liquidity risk with a Current Ratio of 0.49
Significant earnings decay (-42.2% YoY growth)
Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Strongly bearish technical trend (0/100)
Negative revenue growth (-15.5% YoY)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.15
-17.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
37
Weak
Value
75
Future
20
Past
50
Health
40
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High-risk value trap
Key drivers: Negative growth trajectory, Liquidity crisis (Current Ratio < 0.5), Bearish technicals, Strong margins
Confidence
80%
Value
75/100

Ref P/E 11.72, PEG 0.71, Graham Number $7.46

Positives
  • P/B below 1.0
  • P/E significantly lower than sector
  • Price below Graham Number
Watchpoints
  • Price exceeds growth-based intrinsic value ($3.01)
Future
20/100

Ref Growth rates and Earnings track record

Positives
  • Low forward P/E suggests potential for recovery if growth stabilizes
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth -15.5%
  • Earnings growth -42.2%
  • Consistent earnings misses
Past
50/100

Ref Historical price trends

Positives
  • Massive 5-year growth (+620%)
Watchpoints
  • Poor 1-year performance (-26.6%)
  • Erratic historical EPS surprises
Health
40/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score and Liquidity ratios

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.25)
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
  • Critical Current Ratio (0.49)
  • Critical Quick Ratio (0.47)
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield and Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$5.04
Analyst Target
$8.0
Upside/Downside
+58.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for KGEI and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-10
KGE
Kolibri Global Energy Inc.
Primary
5Y
+620.0%
3Y
+30.6%
1Y
-26.6%
6M
-2.7%
1M
+1.6%
1W
-4.7%
EPS
Epsilon Energy Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+94.4%
3Y
+31.3%
1Y
+0.2%
6M
+24.0%
1M
+11.4%
1W
-0.5%
AMP
Amplify Energy Corp.
Peer
5Y
+124.3%
3Y
-47.5%
1Y
-17.5%
6M
+24.9%
1M
0.0%
1W
-1.5%
IMP
Imperial Petroleum Inc.
Peer
5Y
-96.2%
3Y
+31.2%
1Y
+80.1%
6M
-2.8%
1M
-11.5%
1W
-5.8%
GEO
Geospace Technologies Corporation
Peer
5Y
+5.8%
3Y
+6.1%
1Y
+34.5%
6M
-62.3%
1M
-26.5%
1W
-29.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
11.72
Forward P/E
8.69
PEG Ratio
0.71
P/B Ratio
0.88
P/S Ratio
3.12
EV/Revenue
3.93
EV/EBITDA
5.69
Market Cap
$179.0M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 26.95%
Operating Margin 35.21%
Gross Margin 83.9%
ROE 7.88%
ROA 5.47%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -15.5%
Earnings Growth -42.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -17.29%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -42.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.25
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.49
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.47
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.1

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
38.5%
Op. Margin
27.7%
Net Margin
17.8%
Total Assets
$0.3B
Liabilities
$0.1B
Equity
$0.2B
Debt/Equity
0.44x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-49%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-14
$N/A
2026-03-19
$0.09
-17.7% surprise
2025-11-12
$0.1
-23.1% surprise
2025-08-11
$0.07
-14.5% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing KGEI against 41 companies in the Energy sector (2 bullish, 18 neutral, 21 bearish)
P/E Ratio
11.72
This Stock
vs
31.25
Sector Avg
-62.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.88%
This Stock
vs
8.83%
Sector Avg
-10.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
26.95%
This Stock
vs
2.75%
Sector Avg
+880.6% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.25
This Stock
vs
1.37
Sector Avg
-81.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-15.5%
This Stock
vs
11.05%
Sector Avg
-240.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.49
This Stock
vs
1.95
Sector Avg
-74.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Kolibri Global Energy Inc.
Issuer
Buy
2026-02-26
232 shares · $876
Neuhauser (David Loren)
Director of Issuer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
2,704 shares
O Connor (Leslie Susan)
Director of Issuer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
2,704 shares
Templeton (Evan)
Director of Issuer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
2,704 shares
Urch (Douglas Charles)
Director of Issuer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
2,704 shares
Kolibri Global Energy Inc.
Issuer
Buy
2026-02-25
3,452 shares · $13,324
Johnson (Gary Williams)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
26,523 shares
Regener (Wolf)
Director of Issuer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
57,893 shares
Kolibri Global Energy Inc.
Issuer
Buy
2026-02-17
5,000 shares · $18,400
Kolibri Global Energy Inc.
Issuer
Buy
2026-02-12
5,000 shares · $18,700
Kolibri Global Energy Inc.
Issuer
Buy
2026-02-02
5,000 shares · $19,700
Kolibri Global Energy Inc.
Issuer
Buy
2026-01-28
5,000 shares · $19,200
Kolibri Global Energy Inc.
Issuer
Buy
2026-01-26
5,000 shares · $19,900
Kolibri Global Energy Inc.
Issuer
Buy
2026-01-15
5,000 shares · $17,800
Kolibri Global Energy Inc.
Issuer
Buy
2026-01-08
5,000 shares · $17,200
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning KGEI from our newsroom.

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