LCID Lucid Group, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
Sign in to save
Save this symbol to a watchlist or track a position.
LCID Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Consumer Cyclical
Auto Manufacturers
Current Price
Live
$10.12
Analyst Target
$17.06
+68.5%
Upside
52W High
$35.9
52W Low
$9.96
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$3.28B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-61.1%
Profit margin
-214.1%
Debt/Equity
0.76
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
92%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial health concerns with a Piotroski F-Score of just 1/9, indicating weak fundamental strength. Despite strong revenue growth of 68.3% year-over-year, the company is deeply unprofitable with negative gross, operating, and net margins, while ROE and ROA are deeply negative at -61.12% and -22.89%, respectively. Valuation metrics are distorted by negative earnings, and the stock trades at a premium to analyst target on an EV basis despite cash flow and profitability risks. Technical trend and insider sentiment are weak, and the stock has lost over 94% of its value in five years, signaling prolonged investor erosion.
Key Strengths
Exceptional year-over-year revenue growth of 68.30%, significantly above sector average of 12.82%
Current Ratio of 1.80 indicates short-term liquidity adequacy
Debt/Equity of 0.76 is below sector average of 1.41, suggesting conservative leverage
Analyst target price of $17.06 implies 68% upside from current levels
Improving trend in earnings surprises with 3 of last 4 quarters beating or narrowing misses
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals critical financial distress and poor fundamental health
Gross Margin of -97.91% and Operating Margin of -279.88% indicate core business is not viable at scale
Forward P/E of -1.49 reflects negative earnings and lack of profitability path
Altman Z-Score unavailable, but negative profitability and weak F-Score imply high bankruptcy risk
Free Cash Flow and Total Cash data unavailable, raising transparency and solvency concerns
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
20
Weak
20
55
15
10
0
AI Verdict
High-risk speculative position with unproven profitability and weak fundamentals
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, Negative gross and operating margins, Exceptional revenue growth, Low insider sentiment, High valuation multiples despite losses
Confidence
94%
Value
20/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price/Sales of 3.08 may be justifiable if growth sustains
Watchpoints
- P/E and Forward P/E not meaningful due to negative earnings
- No Graham Number due to unprofitability
- EV/EBITDA and EV/Revenue unavailable, limiting valuation clarity
Future
55/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue Growth (YoY) of 68.30% is robust
- Earnings surprises have improved in recent quarters
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E negative, signaling no near-term profit expectations
- No clear path to positive free cash flow
Past
15/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Some improvement in earnings surprise trend from 2023 to 2025
Watchpoints
- 10 of last 18 quarters missed EPS estimates
- 5-Year price return of -94.3% reflects severe investor value destruction
- Consistently negative earnings across all reported quarters
Health
10/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current Ratio of 1.80 supports short-term obligation coverage
- Quick Ratio of 1.18 indicates liquid asset buffer
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates near-collapse of financial health
- ROE of -61.12% and ROA of -22.89% reflect capital inefficiency
- Gross Margin of -97.91% implies cost of production exceeds revenue
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength of 0/100
- No dividend yield or payout history
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$10.12
Analyst Target
$17.06
Upside/Downside
+68.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for LCID and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-16
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
Primary
|
-94.3% | -87.4% | -67.1% | -66.7% | -9.1% | -10.7% |
|
AAP
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
Peer
|
-67.0% | -66.0% | +1.0% | -19.4% | +14.4% | +8.3% |
|
BRSL
Brightstar Lottery PLC
Peer
|
+15.2% | -25.8% | +3.8% | -0.6% | -10.2% | -1.2% |
|
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.
Peer
|
-39.2% | +7.4% | +73.1% | +20.4% | +8.6% | +0.9% |
|
BKE
The Buckle, Inc.
Peer
|
+149.2% | +56.2% | +15.2% | +11.3% | -0.6% | -3.3% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-1.49
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.82
P/S Ratio
3.08
EV/Revenue
5.33
EV/EBITDA
-2.06
Market Cap
$3.28B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-214.1%
Operating Margin
-279.88%
Gross Margin
-97.91%
ROE
-61.12%
ROA
-22.89%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+68.3%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.76
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.8
Good
Quick Ratio
1.18
Good
Cash/Share
$7.21
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-24
$N/A
2025-11-05
$-2.65
-20.6% surprise
2025-08-05
$-2.4
-10.8% surprise
2025-05-06
$-2.0
+14.1% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing LCID against 94 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(5 bullish, 49 neutral, 40 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-61.12%
This Stock
vs
6.02%
Sector Avg
-1114.9%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-214.1%
This Stock
vs
0.78%
Sector Avg
-27555.2%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.76
This Stock
vs
1.65
Sector Avg
-54.2%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
68.3%
This Stock
vs
7.65%
Sector Avg
+793.3%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.8
This Stock
vs
1.88
Sector Avg
-4.1%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.28B | - | -61.1% | -214.1% | $10.12 | |
|
AAP
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.81B | - | -23.9% | -4.4% | $46.77 | |
|
BRSL
Brightstar Lottery PLC
|
BEARISH | $2.65B | 156.44 | 2.0% | 13.8% | $14.08 | |
|
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.
|
BEARISH | $2.64B | - | -% | 0.3% | $4.41 | |
|
BKE
The Buckle, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $2.61B | 12.9 | 41.3% | 16.1% | $50.97 |
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
9 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-08
Equal-Weight
Underweight
Stifel
2025-11-17
Hold
Hold
Cantor Fitzgerald
2025-11-06
Neutral
Neutral
Cantor Fitzgerald
2025-09-24
Neutral
Neutral
Cantor Fitzgerald
2025-09-05
Neutral
Neutral
Morgan Stanley
2025-09-02
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Stifel
2025-08-29
Hold
Hold
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning LCID from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.