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LI Li Auto Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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LI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Consumer Cyclical Auto Manufacturers
Current Price Live
$16.19
Analyst Target
$24.38
+50.6% Upside
52W High
$33.12
52W Low
$15.87

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Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
Li Auto Inc. exhibits weak financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating significant deterioration in profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency. Despite a current price of $16.19 being marginally above the Graham Number of $15.92, the company's negative operating margin, collapsing revenue growth (-36.20% YoY), and deteriorating earnings (YoY EPS change: -123.3%) undermine any value appeal. The absence of an Altman Z-Score due to insufficient data raises additional concerns about financial stability, while technical indicators signal a bearish trend. Although the debt/equity ratio is low at 0.24 and liquidity ratios are healthy, persistent negative earnings surprises and declining fundamentals outweigh these strengths.

Key Strengths

Low debt/equity ratio of 0.24 suggests conservative capital structure
Strong liquidity position with current ratio of 1.80 and quick ratio of 1.58
Price/Sales ratio of 0.13 is significantly below sector average, suggesting potential undervaluation on revenue basis
Analyst recommendation consensus is 'buy' with a high number of analysts (28) covering the stock
Gross margin of 19.42% remains relatively stable compared to peers

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial weakness and deteriorating operational performance
Operating margin at -4.30% reflects ongoing profitability challenges
Revenue growth has collapsed YoY by -36.20%, far below sector average of 12.82%
Recent quarterly earnings have consistently missed estimates, with last 4 quarters averaging a -60.81% surprise
Most recent EPS growth shows a dramatic decline of -123.3% YoY and -145.3% QoQ
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$15.92
-1.7% below current price

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