LI Li Auto Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
LI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
•
Consumer Cyclical
•
Auto Manufacturers
Current Price
$17.25
Analyst Target
$24.68
+43.1% Upside
52W High
$33.12
52W Low
$16.11
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating significant operational and profitability concerns. Despite an extremely high Altman Z-Score of 174093865472.0 suggesting no bankruptcy risk, this appears mechanically inflated due to negative retained earnings and market structure anomalies, undermining its reliability. The company trades above both the Graham Number ($15.89) and intrinsic value estimate ($7.63), reflecting overvaluation relative to defensive and growth-based metrics, while deteriorating fundamentals—such as a -36.20% YoY revenue decline and negative operating margin—further weaken the investment case. Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $24.68 target, but this contrasts sharply with poor earnings execution, declining profitability, and bearish technicals.
Key Strengths
Extremely high Altman Z-Score suggests no near-term solvency or bankruptcy risk based on the model
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.24 indicates conservative capital structure and limited leverage risk
Current and quick ratios (1.80 and 1.58) reflect adequate short-term liquidity
Price/Sales ratio of 0.14 is exceptionally low, potentially signaling undervaluation on a revenue basis
Analyst consensus remains 'buy' with 28 analysts covering, implying some forward confidence
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial distress and weak profitability, asset utilization, and earnings quality
Operating margin of -4.30% reflects ongoing unprofitability at the core business level
Revenue growth YoY at -36.20% shows sharp contraction, raising concerns about demand or competitive positioning
Recent earnings surprises are highly negative, with last four quarters averaging -63.13% and only 1 beat out of 4
Most recent EPS growth (YoY) declined by -123.3%, indicating a collapse in earnings performance
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$12.5
-27.5% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare LI against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations