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LILA

BEARISH
$8.13 Live
Liberty Latin America Ltd. · NASDAQ
Target $11.9 (+46.4%)
$4.25 52W Range $9.04

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 13, 2026
Market cap
$1.63B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-41.7%
Profit margin
-13.8%
Debt/Equity
8.32
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
LILA exhibits severe fundamental weakness, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating poor financial health and operational deterioration. The company is dangerously over-leveraged with a Debt/Equity ratio of 8.32, vastly exceeding the sector average of 0.90. While the stock has seen a 1-year price recovery and maintains a low Price/Sales ratio of 0.37, these are overshadowed by negative profit margins (-13.76%) and a disastrous ROE of -41.72%. The disconnect between the analyst 'Buy' recommendation and the deterministic health scores suggests a speculative bet on restructuring rather than a value-based investment.

Key Strengths

Strong Gross Margin of 78.03%
Very low Price/Sales ratio (0.37) suggesting potential undervaluation of revenue
Positive 1-year price momentum (+53.4%)
Analyst target price ($11.90) suggests significant upside if turnaround occurs
Stable, albeit slow, year-over-year revenue growth (1.70%)

Key Risks

Extreme leverage with Debt/Equity at 8.32
Critical financial health (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Consistent and massive earnings misses (Average surprise -1113.20% over last 4 quarters)
Negative Return on Equity (-41.72%) indicating failure to generate shareholder value
Bearish insider sentiment and recent selling activity
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$7.25
-10.8% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
21
Weak
Value
45
Future
30
Past
20
Health
10
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High Risk / Speculative
Key drivers: Extreme Debt/Equity ratio, Weak Piotroski F-Score, Negative profitability metrics, Low P/S ratio
Confidence
90%
Value
45/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Low P/S ratio (0.37)
  • Forward P/E of 11.29 is reasonable if earnings stabilize
Watchpoints
  • P/B of 2.93 is high for a company with negative ROE
  • No Graham Number available due to lack of positive earnings
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target price provides a theoretical ceiling of $11.90
Watchpoints
  • Stagnant revenue growth (1.70% YoY)
  • Highly volatile and unpredictable earnings track record
Past
20/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Recent 1-year price recovery
Watchpoints
  • 5-year price change of -41.0%
  • History of massive earnings misses
Health
10/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio slightly above 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 (Weak)
  • Debt/Equity of 8.32 is unsustainable
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 dividend strength score

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$8.13
Analyst Target
$11.9
Upside/Downside
+46.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for LILA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-10
LIL
Liberty Latin America Ltd.
Primary
5Y
-41.0%
3Y
-8.3%
1Y
+53.4%
6M
+7.0%
1M
+11.1%
1W
-2.6%
LIL
Liberty Latin America Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-40.6%
3Y
-6.2%
1Y
+58.0%
6M
+6.8%
1M
+11.3%
1W
-2.8%
GLI
GCI Liberty, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+16.7%
3Y
+16.7%
1Y
+16.7%
6M
-2.1%
1M
-1.5%
1W
-1.9%
GLI
GCI Liberty, Inc. - Series A GC
Peer
5Y
+11.4%
3Y
+11.4%
1Y
+11.4%
6M
-2.0%
1M
-2.9%
1W
-1.2%
IQ
iQIYI, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-92.3%
3Y
-81.5%
1Y
-25.1%
6M
-44.2%
1M
-7.4%
1W
-10.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
11.29
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.93
P/S Ratio
0.37
EV/Revenue
2.29
EV/EBITDA
9.02
Market Cap
$1.63B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -13.76%
Operating Margin -26.05%
Gross Margin 78.03%
ROE -41.72%
ROA 1.13%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1.7%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +0.8%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
8.32
High debt
Current Ratio
1.14
Good
Quick Ratio
0.86
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.92

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$1.2B
Gross Margin
66.6%
Op. Margin
16.6%
Net Margin
-4.7%
Total Assets
$12.2B
Liabilities
$11.2B
Equity
$0.6B
Debt/Equity
20.09x
Operating CF
$0.5B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.3B
FCF Yield
69%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2025-11-05
$0.02
+133.3% surprise
2025-08-07
$-2.12
-2020.0% surprise
2025-05-07
$-0.69
-1452.9% surprise

Communication Services Sector Comparison

Comparing LILA against 94 companies in the Communication Services sector (8 bullish, 29 neutral, 57 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-41.72%
This Stock
vs
-18.15%
Sector Avg
+129.9% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-13.76%
This Stock
vs
4.58%
Sector Avg
-400.5% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
8.32
This Stock
vs
1.07
Sector Avg
+678.4% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
1.7%
This Stock
vs
1112.12%
Sector Avg
-99.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.14
This Stock
vs
2.65
Sector Avg
-57.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

DE ANGOITIA NORIEGA ALFONSO
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
976 shares · $8,433
PADDICK BRENDAN JOHN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
958 shares · $8,277
GOULD PAUL A
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
93 shares · $804
DE ANGOITIA NORIEGA ALFONSO
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-13
7,477 shares
BRACKEN CHARLES HENRY ROWLAND
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-13
7,477 shares
NAIR BALAN
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
216,121 shares
SANCHEZ DANIEL E
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-13
7,477 shares
HUSSAIN AAMIR
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
64,711 shares
WINTER JOHN M
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
57,520 shares
NOYES CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
71,900 shares
ZOOK BRIAN D
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
12,918 shares
PADDICK BRENDAN JOHN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-13
7,477 shares
JACOBSON ROBERTA S
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-13
1,122 shares
CURTIS MIRANDA
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-13
22,431 shares
FRIES MICHAEL T
Officer and Director
Stock Award
2026-03-13
23,678 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
3 analysts
Benchmark
2025-11-10
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning LILA from our newsroom.

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