LOPE
NEUTRAL
$165.76
Live
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $213.0
(+28.5%)
$149.37
52W Range
$223.04
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 14, 2026
Market cap
$4.64B
P/E
21.5
ROE
28.2%
Profit margin
19.5%
Debt/Equity
0.14
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
LOPE presents a dichotomy between stellar fundamental profitability and bearish market sentiment. The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but not strong financial health, though this is offset by an exceptionally low Debt/Equity ratio (0.14) and high liquidity. While the stock trades significantly above its Graham Number ($69.99), it remains slightly below its growth-based intrinsic value ($175.4). Strong ROE (28.24%) and a consistent 25-quarter track record of earnings beats are countered by a 0/100 technical trend and bearish insider sentiment.
Key Strengths
Exceptional profitability with ROE of 28.24% and Operating Margin of 35.08%
Very strong balance sheet with low Debt/Equity (0.14) and high Current Ratio (3.65)
Consistent earnings track record with beats across nearly all of the last 25 quarters
Valuation is attractive relative to sector average P/E (21.50 vs 30.55)
Positive PEG ratio (1.10) suggesting growth is reasonably priced
Key Risks
Severe bearish technical trend (0/100) and 20.2% decline over the last 6 months
Bearish insider sentiment with net selling activity
High Price-to-Book ratio (5.87) indicating a premium over tangible assets
Low Piotroski F-Score (4/9) suggests some deceleration in fundamental health metrics
Lack of dividend yield provides no floor for income-oriented investors
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$172.5
+4.1% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
58
Moderate
60
70
95
65
0
AI Verdict
Fundamental Powerhouse in a Technical Downtrend
Key drivers: High ROE, Low Debt, Bearish Price Action, Consistent EPS Beats
Confidence
90%
Value
60/100
P/E 21.50, PEG 1.10, Graham $69.99
Positives
- P/E lower than sector average
- Trading near intrinsic value
Watchpoints
- Significant premium over Graham Number
- High P/B ratio
Future
70/100
YoY Revenue Growth 5.30%, Earnings Growth 10.50%
Positives
- Steady revenue growth (5.3%)
- Earnings growth (10.5%) outpacing revenue
Watchpoints
- Moderate growth rates compared to high-growth tech
Past
95/100
25 quarters of earnings data provided
Positives
- Remarkable 25-quarter earnings consistency
- Strong 5-year price appreciation (+48.4%)
Watchpoints
- Recent 6-month price correction
Health
65/100
Piotroski 4/9, Debt/Equity 0.14
Positives
- Very low leverage
- High current and quick ratios
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only 'Stable'
Dividend
0/100
Dividend Yield N/A, Payout 0%
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend payments
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$165.76
Analyst Target
$213.0
Upside/Downside
+28.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for LOPE and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
Primary
|
+48.4% | +38.4% | -4.8% | -20.2% | +1.1% | -4.0% |
|
LAUR
Laureate Education, Inc.
Peer
|
+434.7% | +200.8% | +73.1% | +14.0% | -1.2% | -1.9% |
|
AKO-B
Embotelladora Andina S.A.
Peer
|
+198.5% | +156.0% | +67.2% | +38.1% | +12.6% | +2.4% |
|
ATGE
Adtalem Global Education Inc.
Peer
|
+211.0% | +215.3% | +20.9% | +5.3% | +17.0% | +3.8% |
|
AKO-A
Embotelladora Andina S.A.
Peer
|
+189.5% | +160.4% | +65.7% | +30.5% | +7.4% | +4.3% |
LOP
Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+48.4%
3Y
+38.4%
1Y
-4.8%
6M
-20.2%
1M
+1.1%
1W
-4.0%
LAU
Laureate Education, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+434.7%
3Y
+200.8%
1Y
+73.1%
6M
+14.0%
1M
-1.2%
1W
-1.9%
AKO
Embotelladora Andina S.A.
Peer
5Y
+198.5%
3Y
+156.0%
1Y
+67.2%
6M
+38.1%
1M
+12.6%
1W
+2.4%
ATG
Adtalem Global Education Inc.
Peer
5Y
+211.0%
3Y
+215.3%
1Y
+20.9%
6M
+5.3%
1M
+17.0%
1W
+3.8%
AKO
Embotelladora Andina S.A.
Peer
5Y
+189.5%
3Y
+160.4%
1Y
+65.7%
6M
+30.5%
1M
+7.4%
1W
+4.3%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
21.5
Forward P/E
14.76
PEG Ratio
1.1
P/B Ratio
5.87
P/S Ratio
4.19
EV/Revenue
3.84
EV/EBITDA
12.39
Market Cap
$4.64B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
19.54%
Operating Margin
35.08%
Gross Margin
53.19%
ROE
28.24%
ROA
18.86%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+5.3%
Earnings Growth
+10.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+5.31%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+5.9%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.14
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.65
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.52
Excellent
Cash/Share
$11.19
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.3B
Gross Margin
56.6%
Op. Margin
35.1%
Net Margin
28.1%
Total Assets
$1.0B
Liabilities
$0.2B
Equity
$0.7B
Debt/Equity
0.33x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
94%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-02-18
$3.21
+0.5% surprise
2025-11-05
$1.78
2025-08-06
$1.53
+11.1% surprise
Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison
Comparing LOPE against 91 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector
(5 bullish, 39 neutral, 47 bearish)
P/E Ratio
21.5
This Stock
vs
31.95
Sector Avg
-32.7%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
28.24%
This Stock
vs
-18.83%
Sector Avg
-250.0%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
19.54%
This Stock
vs
-6.56%
Sector Avg
-398.1%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.14
This Stock
vs
1.3
Sector Avg
-89.0%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
5.3%
This Stock
vs
4.39%
Sector Avg
+20.8%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
3.65
This Stock
vs
2.26
Sector Avg
+61.3%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.64B | 21.5 | 28.2% | 19.5% | $165.76 | |
|
LAUR
Laureate Education, Inc.
|
BULLISH | $4.7B | 17.41 | 26.4% | 16.5% | $32.91 | Compare |
|
AKO-B
Embotelladora Andina S.A.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.85B | 16.44 | 24.7% | 7.9% | $30.75 | Compare |
|
ATGE
Adtalem Global Education Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.41B | 18.6 | 17.4% | 13.8% | $121.28 | Compare |
|
AKO-A
Embotelladora Andina S.A.
|
BEARISH | $4.16B | 13.1 | 24.7% | 7.9% | $24.5 | Compare |
LOPE
Grand Canyon...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$4.6B
P/E
21.5
ROE
28.2%
Price
$165.76
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | MARSH DILEK | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 2,859 | - |
| 2026-01-28 | BROWNING LORI | Officer | Stock Award | 1,442 | - |
| 2026-01-28 | MEYER WILLIAM STAN | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 3,696 | - |
| 2026-01-28 | BACHUS DANIEL E | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 3,696 | - |
| 2026-01-28 | MUELLER BRIAN E | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 6,926 | - |
| 2025-11-11 | HUMPHREY CHEVY | Director | Sale | 600 | $99,690 |
MARSH DILEK
Chief Technology Officer
2026-01-28
2,859 shares
BROWNING LORI
Officer
2026-01-28
1,442 shares
MEYER WILLIAM STAN
Chief Operating Officer
2026-01-28
3,696 shares
BACHUS DANIEL E
Chief Financial Officer
2026-01-28
3,696 shares
MUELLER BRIAN E
Chief Executive Officer
2026-01-28
6,926 shares
HUMPHREY CHEVY
Director
2025-11-11
600 shares
·
$99,690
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
2 analysts
Barrington Research
2026-02-19
Outperform
Outperform
Barrington Research
2026-01-22
Outperform
Outperform
Barrington Research
2025-10-21
Outperform
Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning LOPE from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.