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LPRO

NEUTRAL
$1.54 Live
Open Lending Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $2.38 (+54.5%)
$0.8 52W Range $2.7

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AI Analysis

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Confidence
70%
LPRO presents a complex profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but mediocre financial health. While the company maintains strong liquidity (Current Ratio 4.52) and high gross margins (76.88%), it is plagued by negative net profit margins and a catastrophic 5-year price decline of 96%. The low Forward P/E of 8.56 and bullish analyst targets suggest a potential recovery play, but extreme earnings volatility and negative ROE temper the outlook.

Key Strengths

Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 4.52
High Gross Margin of 76.88% indicating strong core product value
Attractive Forward P/E of 8.56 relative to sector averages
Significant analyst upside with a target price of $2.38
Positive 1-year price momentum (+66.7%) suggesting a bottoming process

Key Risks

Negative Profit Margin (-4.54%) and negative ROE (-5.54%)
Extreme earnings volatility, including a massive miss in March 2025
Severe long-term value destruction (-96% over 5 years)
Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
Small market capitalization ($0.18B) increasing volatility risk
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$2.1
+36.4% above current price

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