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LULU lululemon athletica inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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LULU Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Consumer Cyclical Apparel Retail
Current Price Live
$201.87
Analyst Target
$209.35
+3.7% Upside
52W High
$423.32
52W Low
$159.25

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Confidence Score
75%
Analysis Accuracy
LULU exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, indicating robust accounting metrics, and profitability well above sector averages. However, the stock trades at a significant premium to both its Graham Number ($111.11) and intrinsic value estimate ($100.59), while facing near-term earnings contraction and negative insider sentiment. Despite solid margins and low leverage, declining year-over-year earnings and cash flow data gaps limit upside conviction. Analysts concur with a 'hold' rating, aligning with the balanced yet cautious outlook.

Key Strengths

Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicates excellent financial health and strong earnings quality
Exceptional profitability: ROE of 41.02% and ROA of 20.29% far exceed sector averages
Gross margin of 58.41% reflects strong pricing power and cost control
Low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.39 suggests conservative capital structure
Current Ratio of 2.13 indicates solid short-term liquidity

Key Risks

Earnings under pressure: YoY EPS growth at -9.8% and Q/Q at -16.5%
Stock trades at a steep premium: current price ($201.87) is nearly double the Graham Number ($111.11)
Insider selling trend: $3.43M in net sales over last 6 months signals management caution
Quick Ratio of 0.70 indicates potential near-term liquidity strain despite high inventory turnover
Missing key financials: absent Altman Z-Score, ROIC, cash flow, and share count data limits full risk assessment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$105.85
-47.6% below current price

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