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MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
MDLZ Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Consumer Defensive Confectioners
Current Price
$53.65
Analyst Target
$68.15
+27.0% Upside
52W High
$71.15
52W Low
$53.13

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AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Mondelez (MDLZ) exhibits mixed financial health with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and concerning liquidity ratios, yet benefits from an extremely high Altman Z-Score indicating negligible bankruptcy risk. The stock trades above both the Graham Number ($34.91) and intrinsic value ($18.69), reflecting a premium valuation despite slowing earnings growth and negative YoY EPS trends. While the company maintains solid profitability metrics and a strong dividend yield of 3.73%, weak technical trends and declining short-term performance weigh on near-term momentum. Relative to peers, MDLZ shows better revenue growth than average but lags in ROE and recent price performance.

Key Strengths

Exceptionally high Altman Z-Score (139.49 billion) indicates virtually no distress risk
Attractive dividend yield of 3.73% above sector average
Revenue growth (5.90% YoY) outpaces peer average (3.86%)
Consistent quarterly earnings beats: 3 out of last 4 quarters exceeded estimates
Lower-than-peer average Debt/Equity ratio of 0.84 vs sector avg of 2.65

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests deteriorating financial health
Poor liquidity with Current Ratio (0.61) and Quick Ratio (0.31) well below 1.0
Earnings under pressure: YoY EPS growth down -26.3%, Q/Q EPS flat at 0.0%
High payout ratio of 71.54% may limit future dividend growth or resilience
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and negative 1Y (-7.0%) and 6M (-20.9%) returns
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$34.91
-34.9% below current price

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