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MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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MDLZ Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Consumer Defensive Confectioners
Current Price Live
$57.24
Analyst Target
$67.35
+17.7% Upside
52W High
$71.15
52W Low
$51.2

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
Mondelez International (MDLZ) exhibits a mixed financial profile with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial health, and no available Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. While the company maintains solid revenue growth and consistent earnings beat rates, declining year-over-year earnings and weak liquidity ratios raise concerns. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is trading above Graham’s defensive fair value of $34.91 and intrinsic value of $18.69, yet below analyst target of $67.35, reflecting optimism around future performance. Dividend strength and sector stability provide support, but operational and technical weaknesses cap near-term upside.

Key Strengths

Consistent quarterly earnings beats: 22 out of 25 quarters beat estimates, with strong average surprise of 7.68% over last four
Above-sector revenue growth at 5.90% YoY vs. sector average of 5.11%
Attractive dividend yield of 3.49% with a manageable 71.54% payout ratio
Lower debt burden than sector peers with Debt/Equity of 0.84 vs. sector avg of 1.82
Analyst consensus supports upside with a 'buy' recommendation and target price 17.6% above current levels

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests deteriorating financial health, particularly in profitability and leverage trends
Negative earnings growth: YoY EPS down -9.50% and Q/Q down -12.90%, signaling profit compression
Poor liquidity position with Current Ratio of 0.61 and Quick Ratio of 0.31, below the 1.0 safety threshold
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), and 6-month price performance is -16.6%, indicating weak momentum
Valuation premium: trading at $57.24 vs. Graham Number of $34.91, implying limited margin of safety
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$48.5
-15.3% below current price

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