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MDLZ

NEUTRAL
$57.42 Live
Mondelez International, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $66.32 (+15.5%)
$51.2 52W Range $71.15

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$73.7B
P/E
30.38
ROE
9.3%
Profit margin
6.4%
Debt/Equity
0.85
Dividend yield
3.47%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
MDLZ presents a conflicted profile with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 but severe valuation gaps, trading at $57.42 against a Graham Number of $29.28 and an Intrinsic Value of $13.23. While revenue growth remains robust at 9.3%, the company is facing a critical earnings collapse (-60.4% YoY) and an unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 102.65%. The strong analyst 'buy' consensus and consistent earnings beat history are offset by poor liquidity ratios and a bearish technical trend.

Key Strengths

Consistent earnings beat track record over 25 quarters
Strong top-line revenue growth (9.3% YoY)
Attractive PEG ratio of 0.95 suggesting growth is undervalued relative to P/E
Significant forward P/E compression (17.10 vs 30.38) indicating expected earnings recovery
Dominant market position in the Consumer Defensive sector

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (102.65%) exceeding net income
Severe short-term earnings contraction (-60.4% YoY)
Poor liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 0.59 and Quick Ratio of 0.32
Significant premium to defensive fair value (Graham Number)
Bearish technical trend and negative 3-year price performance
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$38.5
-33.0% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
43
Moderate
Value
30
Future
55
Past
70
Health
40
Dividend
20
AI Verdict
Underperforming Value with Growth Potential
Key drivers: Revenue growth, Dividend sustainability, Liquidity ratios, Valuation premium
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • PEG ratio < 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Price far exceeds Graham Number ($29.28)
  • Price far exceeds Intrinsic Value ($13.23)
  • High trailing P/E of 30.38
Future
55/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Strong YoY revenue growth
  • Positive analyst target price ($66.32)
Watchpoints
  • Extreme YoY earnings decline
  • Bearish technical trend
Past
70/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • High frequency of earnings beats (3/4 last 4 quarters)
  • Long-term stability in the confectioners industry
Watchpoints
  • Negative 3-year and 1-year price returns
Health
40/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4 (Stable)
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio (0.59) and Quick Ratio (0.32) indicate liquidity stress
  • Debt/Equity of 0.85 is moderate but combined with low liquidity is risky
Dividend
20/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Respectable yield of 3.47%
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 102.65% is fundamentally unsustainable

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$57.42
Analyst Target
$66.32
Upside/Downside
+15.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MDLZ and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
MDL
Mondelez International, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+7.3%
3Y
-18.6%
1Y
-8.9%
6M
-5.2%
1M
-0.6%
1W
+0.2%
MNS
Monster Beverage Corporation
Peer
5Y
+70.6%
3Y
+45.3%
1Y
+27.4%
6M
+13.4%
1M
+3.9%
1W
+2.3%
CL
Colgate-Palmolive Company
Peer
5Y
+2.2%
3Y
+11.3%
1Y
-12.6%
6M
-13.4%
1M
+1.2%
1W
-0.9%
TGT
Target Corporation
Peer
5Y
-30.1%
3Y
-18.6%
1Y
+21.5%
6M
+39.2%
1M
+7.2%
1W
+4.2%
DEO
Diageo plc
Peer
5Y
-49.1%
3Y
-53.8%
1Y
-26.4%
6M
-16.8%
1M
+8.2%
1W
-3.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
30.38
Forward P/E
17.1
PEG Ratio
0.95
P/B Ratio
2.85
P/S Ratio
1.91
EV/Revenue
2.43
EV/EBITDA
18.74
Market Cap
$73.7B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 6.36%
Operating Margin 9.53%
Gross Margin 28.38%
ROE 9.33%
ROA 3.24%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +9.3%
Earnings Growth -60.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +9.29%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -61.9%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.85
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.59
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.32
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.66

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$10.5B
Gross Margin
28.2%
Op. Margin
9.3%
Net Margin
6.3%
Total Assets
$71.5B
Liabilities
$45.6B
Equity
$25.8B
Debt/Equity
1.76x
Operating CF
$2.4B
CapEx
$-0.4B
Free Cash Flow
$2.0B
FCF Yield
83%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-28
$N/A
2026-02-03
$0.72
+3.3% surprise
2025-10-28
$0.73
+2.9% surprise
2025-07-29
$0.73
+7.9% surprise

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing MDLZ against 170 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (9 bullish, 60 neutral, 101 bearish)
P/E Ratio
30.38
This Stock
vs
37.45
Sector Avg
-18.9% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.33%
This Stock
vs
-13.91%
Sector Avg
-167.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
6.36%
This Stock
vs
-7.77%
Sector Avg
-181.8% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.85
This Stock
vs
1.89
Sector Avg
-55.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
9.3%
This Stock
vs
111.74%
Sector Avg
-91.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.59
This Stock
vs
2.29
Sector Avg
-74.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

VALLE GUSTAVO CARLOS
Officer
Sell
2026-02-13
3,000 shares · $186,000
VAN DE PUT DIRK
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-11
239,359 shares
STEVENS BRIAN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-11
1,970 shares
ZARAMELLA LUCA
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-11
96,448 shares
LOZANO MARIANO
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-11
29,375 shares
LILAK STEPHANIE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-11
14,767 shares
STEIN LAURA CONARD J.D.
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-11
33,267 shares
VALLE GUSTAVO CARLOS
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-11
49,238 shares
IYER DEEPAK D
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-11
28,486 shares
RENAUD MARTIN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-11
37,849 shares
KUHN VOLKER
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-11
20,780 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEFINITIVE PROXY STATEMENT
2026-04-03

Mondelez International (MDLZ) filed a definitive proxy statement on April 3, 2026, providing shareholders with the necessary information to vote on corporate matters at the upcoming annual meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-18

Mondelez International likely filed this 8-K to report its fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-04

Mondelez International's 10-K filing dated February 4, 2026, details the company's historical financial results, liquidity, and capital resources. The report emphasizes the impact of commodity trends and critical accounting estimates on financial performance, while providing a comprehensive overview of business risk factors.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-03

Mondelez International reported its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-30

Mondelez International likely filed this 8-K to announce its fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-28

Mondelez International (MDLZ) filed its quarterly 10-Q report on October 28, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing details the company's risk factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-28
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-29
8-K
8-K
2025-07-29
8-K
8-K
2025-05-27
8-K
8-K
2025-05-06
10-Q
10-Q
2025-04-29
8-K
8-K
2025-04-29
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-04-04
8-K
8-K
2025-02-20
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
25 analysts
BTIG
2026-04-14
init
Buy
B of A Securities
2026-04-10
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-04-07
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Deutsche Bank
2026-03-30
Maintains
Hold Hold
Rothschild & Co
2026-03-25
down
Buy Neutral
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-16
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Bernstein
2026-02-18
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-02-12
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
DA Davidson
2026-02-09
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
DA Davidson
2026-02-04
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MDLZ from our newsroom.

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