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MELI MercadoLibre, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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MELI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Consumer Cyclical Internet Retail
Current Price Live
$2075.01
Analyst Target
$2817.0
+35.8% Upside
52W High
$2645.22
52W Low
$1723.9

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a mixed financial profile: the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a definitive distress risk assessment. Despite elevated valuation multiples—P/E of 50.70 and Price/Book of 16.84—MELI demonstrates robust revenue growth of 39.5% YoY and strong ROE of 40.65%, outperforming sector averages. However, weakening earnings momentum, inconsistent earnings beats (only 1 of last 4 quarters), insider selling, and a bearish technical trend weigh on near-term sentiment. The stock trades significantly above the Graham Number ($336.83) and even the growth-based intrinsic value ($661.02), implying high growth expectations are already priced in.

Key Strengths

Exceptional revenue growth (39.5% YoY), significantly above sector average (12.82%)
High profitability with ROE of 40.65%, among the highest in the Consumer Cyclical sector
Strong gross margin of 50.36%, indicating pricing power and efficient cost structure
Analyst consensus is strong_buy with a high target price of $2817.00, implying ~36% upside
Outperforms peers in growth and profitability metrics, including ABNB and NKE

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests moderate financial health with potential instability
Elevated valuation: P/E of 50.70 and forward P/E of 34.76 above sector average (37.76)
Recent earnings deceleration: YoY EPS growth of 6.3% and Q/Q decline of 19.3%
Insider selling activity: $2.31M in sales over last 6 months with no buys
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and weak short-term price performance (-14% over 6M)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$661.02
-68.1% below current price

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