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MELI

NEUTRAL
$1729.02 Live
MercadoLibre, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $2565.65 (+48.4%)
$1593.21 52W Range $2645.22

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 01, 2026
Market cap
$87.66B
P/E
41.15
ROE
36.0%
Profit margin
6.9%
Debt/Equity
1.69
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
MELI shows neutral fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is stable (F-Score 4/9). Mixed signals with both opportunities and risks present.

Key Strengths

Strong revenue growth of 44.6%
Strong ROE of 36.0%

Key Risks

High valuation with P/E of 41.1
Premium vs Graham Number ($354.74)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$294.14
-83.0% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
42
Moderate
Value
35
Future
65
Past
60
Health
50
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
MELI shows neutral fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is stable (F-Score 4/9). Mixed signals with both opportunities and risks present.
Key drivers: Strong revenue growth of 44.6%, Strong ROE of 36.0%, High valuation with P/E of 41.1
Confidence
60%
Value
35/100

Rule-based valuation (P/E + Graham).

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
  • Premium 41.1x trailing earnings multiple.
  • Trades above Graham Number.
Future
65/100

Rule-based growth outlook.

Positives
  • Revenue growth running at 44.6%.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Past
60/100

Historical performance + price trend: Shares moved +14.5% over 5Y and -11.4% over 1Y.

Positives
  • ROE sits at 36.0%.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
50/100

Balance sheet & liquidity (Z-Score: N/A).

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Dividend
0/100

Dividend policy fallback.

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
  • No regular dividend payments.

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$1729.02
Analyst Target
$2565.65
Upside/Downside
+48.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MELI and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-31
MEL
MercadoLibre, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+14.5%
3Y
+31.2%
1Y
-11.4%
6M
-26.0%
1M
-2.7%
1W
+7.3%
ORL
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+221.3%
3Y
+79.6%
1Y
+21.0%
6M
+7.3%
1M
-3.2%
1W
+1.8%
MAR
Marriott International, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+138.8%
3Y
+82.0%
1Y
+2.3%
6M
+5.1%
1M
+7.3%
1W
-1.9%
ABN
Airbnb, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-32.9%
3Y
+1.5%
1Y
+5.7%
6M
+4.0%
1M
-5.2%
1W
-2.9%
ROS
Ross Stores, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+90.0%
3Y
+110.7%
1Y
+71.2%
6M
+42.8%
1M
+7.3%
1W
+0.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
41.15
Forward P/E
23.65
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
12.99
P/S Ratio
3.03
EV/Revenue
3.21
EV/EBITDA
23.08
Market Cap
$87.66B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 6.91%
Operating Margin 10.15%
Gross Margin 50.68%
ROE 35.98%
ROA 5.9%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +44.6%
Earnings Growth -12.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -12.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.69
High debt
Current Ratio
1.17
Good
Quick Ratio
0.49
Poor
Cash/Share
$124.52

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$8.8B
Gross Margin
43.2%
Op. Margin
10.1%
Net Margin
6.4%
Total Assets
$42.7B
Liabilities
$35.9B
Equity
$6.7B
Debt/Equity
5.32x
Operating CF
$5.2B
CapEx
$-0.4B
Free Cash Flow
$4.8B
FCF Yield
92%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-24
$11.03
-3.5% surprise
2025-10-28
$8.32
-11.2% surprise
2025-08-04
$10.31
-13.3% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing MELI against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
41.15
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
+21.1% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
35.98%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
-181.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
6.91%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-228.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.69
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
+11.9% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
44.6%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
+56.9% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.17
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-52.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

MELAMUD MARCELO
Officer
Buy
2026-02-27
57 shares · $100,079
DUBUGRAS HENRIQUE VASONCELOS
Director
Sell
2025-12-12
845 shares · $1,713,778
CALEMZUK EMILIANO
Director
Sell
2025-12-11
45 shares · $91,232
TOLDA STELLEO PASSOS
Director
Sell
2025-12-09
246 shares · $503,778
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
26 analysts
BTIG
2026-03-20
Maintains
Buy Buy
JP Morgan
2026-03-12
down
Overweight Neutral
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-09
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
JP Morgan
2026-03-02
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Barclays
2026-02-25
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-02-25
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Wedbush
2026-02-25
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
BTIG
2026-02-25
Maintains
Buy Buy
Wedbush
2026-02-17
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
JP Morgan
2026-02-12
up
Neutral Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MELI from our newsroom.

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