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META Meta Platforms, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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META Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Communication Services Internet Content & Information
Current Price Live
$620.25
Analyst Target
$835.59
+34.7% Upside
52W High
$796.25
52W Low
$479.8

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$1.56T
P/E
27.44
ROE
32.6%
Profit margin
30.9%
Debt/Equity
0.26
Dividend yield
0.34%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
META exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, indicating robust operational performance and balance sheet strength. Despite this, the stock trades at a significant premium to both its Graham Number ($197.85) and intrinsic value estimate ($158.20), currently priced at $620.25, reflecting high growth expectations. While profitability metrics like ROE (32.64%) and gross margin (82.01%) are exceptional, recent earnings growth has turned sharply negative YoY (-82.60%), raising sustainability concerns. Analysts maintain a strong_buy recommendation with a $835.59 target, but insider selling and technical bearishness (0/100) counterbalance optimism.

Key Strengths

Exceptional Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicates strong financial health and operational efficiency
Industry-leading profitability with 30.89% net margin, 40.08% operating margin, and 82.01% gross margin
High return on equity (32.64%) and return on assets (18.01%) signal efficient capital allocation
Strong revenue growth of 26.20% YoY outpaces sector average of 12.67%
Low leverage with Debt/Equity ratio of 0.26 provides financial flexibility

Key Risks

Earnings growth collapse: YoY earnings down 82.60% despite revenue growth, suggesting margin compression or one-time charges
Stock trades at a steep premium: current price $620.25 vs Graham Number $197.85 and intrinsic value $158.20
Insider sentiment is bearish with 17 sell transactions and zero buys in the last 6 months totaling $5.81M in sales
Technical trend is deeply bearish (0/100), with 6M return of -11.8% and 1M decline of -4.5%
PEG Ratio unavailable and Forward P/E (20.42) still elevated relative to growth deceleration risks
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$250.0
-59.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
59
Moderate
Value
35
Future
58
Past
72
Health
90
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
Moderately positive with significant valuation and sentiment headwinds
Key drivers: High profitability and revenue growth, Strong Piotroski F-Score, Premium valuation, Negative earnings growth, Bearish insider and technical signals
Confidence
82%
Value
35/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 20.42 is below current P/E of 27.44, suggesting earnings recovery expectations
Watchpoints
  • Current P/E of 27.44 above sector average of 22.12
  • Price/Sales of 8.25 and Price/Book of 8.06 indicate rich valuation
  • Stock trades at 3.1x Graham Number and nearly 4x intrinsic value estimate
Future
58/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth of 26.20% YoY is strong
  • Analyst target implies 34.7% upside to $835.59
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth YoY down 82.60%, Q/Q down 82.70%
  • PEG Ratio unavailable, raising concerns about growth sustainability
Past
72/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beats: 3 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates
  • Long-term earnings surprise average of ~18% over 25 quarters
  • 5Y return of +139.2% shows strong historical performance
Watchpoints
  • Recent 1Y return of +1.8% and 6M return of -11.8% show momentum reversal
Health
90/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicates excellent financial health
  • Current Ratio (1.98) and Quick Ratio (1.67) show strong liquidity
  • Debt/Equity of 0.26 is conservative
Watchpoints
  • Altman Z-Score not available, limiting distress risk assessment
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Low payout ratio of 9.18% ensures sustainability
Watchpoints
  • Dividend yield of 0.34% is minimal
  • Dividend strength score of 25/100 indicates weak income appeal

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$620.25
Analyst Target
$835.59
Upside/Downside
+34.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for META and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-16
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
Primary
+139.2% +361.4% +1.8% -11.8% -4.5% -5.0%
NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
Peer
+75.4% +169.8% +4.5% -27.2% -7.2% -1.6%
TMUS
T-Mobile US, Inc.
Peer
+48.5% +31.2% -12.3% -17.3% -6.5% -7.1%
DIS
The Walt Disney Company
Peer
-33.9% +13.9% +5.6% -7.8% +0.5% -4.0%
APP
AppLovin Corporation
Peer
+670.1% +3636.2% +93.4% +2.4% +29.6% +15.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
27.44
Forward P/E
20.42
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
8.06
P/S Ratio
8.25
EV/Revenue
8.29
EV/EBITDA
15.96
Market Cap
$1.56T

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 30.89%
Operating Margin 40.08%
Gross Margin 82.01%
ROE 32.64%
ROA 18.01%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +26.2%
Earnings Growth -82.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -82.7%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.26
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.98
Good
Quick Ratio
1.67
Excellent
Cash/Share
$17.63

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-01-28
$N/A
2025-10-29
$7.25
+8.7% surprise
2025-07-30
$7.14
+21.8% surprise
2025-04-30
$6.43
+23.5% surprise

Communication Services Sector Comparison

Comparing META against 36 companies in the Communication Services sector (0 bullish, 18 neutral, 18 bearish)
P/E Ratio
27.44
This Stock
vs
21.95
Sector Avg
+25.0% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
32.64%
This Stock
vs
-7.47%
Sector Avg
-537.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
30.89%
This Stock
vs
40.35%
Sector Avg
-23.4% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.26
This Stock
vs
1.12
Sector Avg
-76.4% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
26.2%
This Stock
vs
28.6%
Sector Avg
-8.4% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.98
This Stock
vs
2.2
Sector Avg
-10.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
NEUTRAL $1.56T 27.44 32.6% 30.9% $620.25
NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
NEUTRAL $372.88B 36.82 42.9% 24.0% $88.0
TMUS
T-Mobile US, Inc.
NEUTRAL $209.69B 17.97 19.0% 13.8% $186.32
DIS
The Walt Disney Company
NEUTRAL $199.93B 16.23 12.2% 13.1% $111.2
APP
AppLovin Corporation
NEUTRAL $169.7B 50.01 212.9% 60.8% $502.14

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2026-01-12 OLIVAN JAVIER Chief Operating Officer Sale 517 $337,601
2026-01-05 OLIVAN JAVIER Chief Operating Officer Sale 517 $336,262
2025-12-30 NEWSTEAD JENNIFER Officer Sale 519 $341,860
2025-12-29 OLIVAN JAVIER Chief Operating Officer Sale 517 $340,258
2025-12-23 NEWSTEAD JENNIFER Officer Sale 519 $342,218
2025-12-22 OLIVAN JAVIER Chief Operating Officer Sale 517 $341,794
2025-12-16 NEWSTEAD JENNIFER Officer Sale 519 $333,836
2025-12-15 KIMMITT ROBERT M Director Sale 580 $374,680
2025-12-15 OLIVAN JAVIER Chief Operating Officer Sale 517 $333,982
2025-12-09 NEWSTEAD JENNIFER Officer Sale 519 $344,699
2025-12-08 OLIVAN JAVIER Chief Operating Officer Sale 517 $346,199
2025-12-02 NEWSTEAD JENNIFER Officer Sale 519 $333,312
2025-12-01 OLIVAN JAVIER Chief Operating Officer Sale 517 $330,379
2025-11-26 KIMMITT ROBERT M Director Gift 600 -
2025-11-25 NEWSTEAD JENNIFER Officer Sale 519 $323,929
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning META from our newsroom.

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