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MPAA

BEARISH
$11.49 Live
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $18.33 (+59.6%)
$8.21 52W Range $18.12

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 15, 2026
Market cap
$224.72M
P/E
127.67
ROE
0.7%
Profit margin
0.3%
Debt/Equity
0.9
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
MPAA exhibits a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, yet the fundamental data suggests significant overvaluation and operational decay. The current price of $11.49 trades at a massive premium to both the Graham Number ($5.22) and the growth-based Intrinsic Value ($0.63). Financial performance is deteriorating with negative YoY revenue and earnings growth, compounded by a dismal earnings track record of 0 beats in the last four quarters. While the Price/Book ratio is low, the extremely thin profit margin (0.25%) and poor Quick Ratio (0.34) signal high operational and liquidity risk.

Key Strengths

Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.29) suggests the market is not pricing in high revenue multiples
Price-to-Book ratio (0.85) indicates the stock is trading below its book value
Forward P/E (7.53) suggests a potential recovery if earnings targets are met
Analyst target price ($18.33) remains significantly above current market price
Current Ratio (1.43) provides a basic buffer for short-term obligations

Key Risks

Severe earnings misses (0/4 beats) with an average surprise of -43.62%
Negative growth trajectory in both revenue (-9.90%) and earnings (-18.20%)
Critically thin profit margins (0.25%) leave no room for error or cost increases
Liquidity risk evidenced by a very low Quick Ratio (0.34), suggesting heavy reliance on inventory
Significant disconnect between current price and deterministic fair value models
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$5.45
-52.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
28
Weak
Value
30
Future
20
Past
40
Health
50
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Underperforming / Value Trap
Key drivers: Negative growth, Earnings misses, Valuation gap, Liquidity concerns
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/B < 1.0
  • Low P/S
Watchpoints
  • Trailing P/E of 127.67
  • Price is >2x Graham Number
Future
20/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Low Forward P/E
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY Revenue Growth
  • Negative YoY Earnings Growth
Past
40/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 3Y Change is positive
Watchpoints
  • 5Y Change is -48.1%
  • Consistent earnings misses
Health
50/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
  • Quick Ratio 0.34
  • Thin profit margins
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$11.49
Analyst Target
$18.33
Upside/Downside
+59.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MPAA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-14
MPA
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-48.1%
3Y
+127.5%
1Y
+30.9%
6M
-27.4%
1M
+13.5%
1W
+8.1%
ORB
Eightco Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
-100.0%
3Y
-92.3%
1Y
+6.5%
6M
-87.9%
1M
+3.6%
1W
+22.6%
NIU
Niu Technologies
Peer
5Y
-91.5%
3Y
-21.7%
1Y
-6.7%
6M
-33.3%
1M
-8.2%
1W
+4.3%
FLW
1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-86.9%
3Y
-70.5%
1Y
-39.8%
6M
-23.1%
1M
+2.7%
1W
+6.2%
JAC
Jack in the Box Inc.
Peer
5Y
-88.8%
3Y
-86.2%
1Y
-53.9%
6M
-34.0%
1M
-14.4%
1W
+14.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
127.67
Forward P/E
7.53
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.85
P/S Ratio
0.29
EV/Revenue
0.56
EV/EBITDA
7.58
Market Cap
$224.72M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 0.25%
Operating Margin 4.61%
Gross Margin 19.21%
ROE 0.75%
ROA 3.06%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -9.9%
Earnings Growth -18.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -9.93%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -22.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.9
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.43
Good
Quick Ratio
0.34
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.02

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
19.6%
Op. Margin
4.6%
Net Margin
1.1%
Total Assets
$1.0B
Liabilities
$0.7B
Equity
$0.3B
Debt/Equity
2.83x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
105%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-06-08
$N/A
2026-02-09
$0.12
-47.8% surprise
2025-11-10
$0.17
-55.3% surprise
2025-08-11
$0.13
-27.8% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing MPAA against 237 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (12 bullish, 83 neutral, 142 bearish)
P/E Ratio
127.67
This Stock
vs
36.19
Sector Avg
+252.8% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
0.75%
This Stock
vs
-38.9%
Sector Avg
-101.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
0.25%
This Stock
vs
-4.36%
Sector Avg
-105.8% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.9
This Stock
vs
1.4
Sector Avg
-35.8% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-9.9%
This Stock
vs
16.59%
Sector Avg
-159.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.43
This Stock
vs
2.5
Sector Avg
-42.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BRYAN DAVID
Director
Buy
2026-02-12
1,000 shares · $9,670
WARFIELD PATRICIA W.
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
2,244 shares
SCHOONER DOUGLAS EARL
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-25
1,446 shares
LEE DAVID SUNG
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-25
3,717 shares
SELWYN JOFFE
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-25
9,955 shares
STONE JULIET LYNN
General Counsel
Stock Award
2025-11-25
2,478 shares
SHAH KAMLESH
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-25
1,858 shares
LIEBAU FREDERIC JACK JR.
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-10
1,245 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
3 analysts
Oppenheimer
2026-03-06
init
Outperform
Freedom Broker
2026-02-16
Maintains
Buy Buy
Freedom Broker
2025-12-12
init
Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MPAA from our newsroom.

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