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MTCH

BULLISH
$33.59 Live
Match Group, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $36.29 (+8.1%)
$26.8 52W Range $39.2

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
75%
MTCH presents as a deep-value opportunity with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable financial health. While the 5-year price performance is disastrous (-76.2%), the current valuation is highly attractive with a PEG ratio of 0.30 and a current price ($33.59) trading at a significant discount to its growth-based intrinsic value of $70.21. Strong operating margins (30.02%) and robust earnings growth (40.60%) are offsetting stagnant revenue growth. The stock is fundamentally undervalued, though it faces headwinds from bearish technical trends and insider selling.

Key Strengths

Extremely low PEG ratio (0.30) suggesting significant undervaluation relative to earnings growth
Strong profitability profile with 72.88% gross margins and 30.02% operating margins
Robust year-over-year earnings growth of 40.60%
Sustainable dividend profile with a 31.93% payout ratio
Trading at a deep discount to the calculated intrinsic value of $70.21

Key Risks

Stagnant top-line growth with YoY revenue growth of only 2.10%
Negative Price/Book ratio (-30.82) indicating negative shareholder equity, likely due to aggressive buybacks
Severe long-term price decay (-76.2% over 5 years)
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and negative insider sentiment
Low Piotroski F-Score (4/9) suggests the company is stable but not improving its financial strength
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$58.5
+74.2% above current price

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