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MTRX

NEUTRAL
$12.15 Live
Matrix Service Company · NASDAQ
Target $20.0 (+64.6%)
$9.88 52W Range $16.11

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 15, 2026
Market cap
$341.76M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-13.3%
Profit margin
-2.3%
Debt/Equity
0.14
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
75%
MTRX presents a complex profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but mediocre financial health. While the company maintains a very conservative debt profile (Debt/Equity 0.14) and shows steady revenue growth of 12.5%, it is plagued by a disastrous earnings track record, missing estimates in 4 of the last 4 quarters with massive negative surprises. There is a stark disconnect between the analyst 'Strong Buy' consensus (Target $20) and the bearish insider sentiment and technical trend. The stock appears undervalued on a Price/Sales basis (0.41), but this is offset by persistent negative profitability and liquidity concerns (Current Ratio 0.91).

Key Strengths

Very low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.14
Consistent double-digit revenue growth (12.5% YoY)
Attractive Price/Sales valuation (0.41)
Low PEG ratio (0.74) suggesting potential value if earnings normalize
Stable Piotroski F-Score (4/9) preventing a 'weak' health classification

Key Risks

Chronic failure to meet earnings expectations (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Negative profitability across Profit, Operating, and ROE metrics
Liquidity risk indicated by a Current Ratio below 1.0 (0.91)
Bearish insider activity with multiple officer sales and zero buys
Severe negative earnings surprises (Avg -757.94% over last 4 quarters)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$14.25
+17.3% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
36
Weak
Value
65
Future
40
Past
20
Health
55
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Value Trap
Key drivers: Low Debt/Equity, Revenue Growth, Persistent Earnings Misses, Insider Selling
Confidence
80%
Value
65/100

Ref P/E, PEG, P/S

Positives
  • P/S of 0.41 is very low
  • PEG of 0.74 suggests undervaluation relative to growth
Watchpoints
  • P/E is N/A due to lack of profitability
  • Price/Book of 2.48 is moderate
Future
40/100

Ref Growth rates and Earnings Track Record

Positives
  • 12.5% YoY Revenue growth
Watchpoints
  • Extreme volatility in EPS surprises
  • Lack of earnings predictability
Past
20/100

Ref Historical earnings trends

Positives
  • 3Y price change is positive (+127.1%)
Watchpoints
  • Consistent history of missing quarterly estimates over 25 quarters
Health
55/100

Ref Altman Z-Score (N/A), Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Very low Debt/Equity (0.14)
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio < 1.0 (0.91)
  • Negative ROE (-13.31%)
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 Dividend Strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$12.15
Analyst Target
$20.0
Upside/Downside
+64.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MTRX and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-14
MTR
Matrix Service Company
Primary
5Y
-8.5%
3Y
+127.1%
1Y
+14.0%
6M
-5.7%
1M
+17.4%
1W
+3.5%
FCE
FuelCell Energy, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-98.5%
3Y
-92.4%
1Y
+42.3%
6M
-16.3%
1M
-21.6%
1W
-5.9%
CLI
ClearSign Technologies Corporation
Peer
5Y
-88.2%
3Y
-42.0%
1Y
+18.3%
6M
-35.9%
1M
+13.9%
1W
+41.1%
GAS
StealthGas Inc.
Peer
5Y
+248.5%
3Y
+251.1%
1Y
+82.7%
6M
+50.5%
1M
-1.7%
1W
-0.6%
OFL
Omega Flex, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-74.7%
3Y
-67.0%
1Y
+11.9%
6M
+13.0%
1M
+14.4%
1W
-1.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
14.64
PEG Ratio
0.74
P/B Ratio
2.48
P/S Ratio
0.41
EV/Revenue
0.19
EV/EBITDA
-18.46
Market Cap
$341.76M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -2.3%
Operating Margin -0.94%
Gross Margin 5.76%
ROE -13.31%
ROA -1.98%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +12.5%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +12.47%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.14
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.91
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.87
Poor
Cash/Share
$7.07

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
6.2%
Op. Margin
-0.9%
Net Margin
-0.4%
Total Assets
$0.7B
Liabilities
$0.5B
Equity
$0.1B
Debt/Equity
3.73x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
84%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-04
$-0.02
-157.1% surprise
2025-11-05
$-0.01
-150.0% surprise
2025-09-09
$-0.28
-1966.7% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing MTRX against 277 companies in the Industrials sector (19 bullish, 97 neutral, 161 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-13.31%
This Stock
vs
-20.04%
Sector Avg
-33.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-2.3%
This Stock
vs
12.29%
Sector Avg
-118.7% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.14
This Stock
vs
3.15
Sector Avg
-95.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
12.5%
This Stock
vs
111.87%
Sector Avg
-88.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.91
This Stock
vs
3.12
Sector Avg
-70.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

AUSTIN-DOWNS NANCY E.
Officer
Sell
2026-02-18
4,193 shares · $47,345
PAYNE SHAWN P
Officer
Sell
2025-11-25
5,231 shares · $59,743
PAYNE SHAWN P
Officer
Sell
2025-11-20
3,019 shares · $34,489
PAYNE SHAWN P
Officer
Sell
2025-11-11
8,250 shares · $103,755
CHANDLER JOHN D
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-04
7,986 shares
HINRICHS LIANE K
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-04
7,986 shares
CONNER CARLIN G
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-04
7,986 shares
MILLER JAMES HARRY
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-04
7,986 shares
BUSTAMANTE JOSE LUIS M
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-04
7,986 shares
CARNES MARTHA Z
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-04
7,986 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
2 analysts
DA Davidson
2026-02-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
DA Davidson
2025-11-11
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MTRX from our newsroom.

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