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MTSI

NEUTRAL
$263.92 Live
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $265.07 (+0.4%)
$93.24 52W Range $266.05

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 15, 2026
Market cap
$19.8B
P/E
118.88
ROE
12.9%
Profit margin
15.9%
Debt/Equity
0.42
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
MTSI exhibits strong operational health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a robust liquidity profile (Current Ratio 3.96). However, the company is severely overvalued, trading at a massive premium to its Graham Number ($30.02) and Intrinsic Value ($15.54), with a trailing P/E of 118.88. While revenue growth is solid at 24.5% and earnings beats are consistent over 25 quarters, heavy insider selling ($184.61M) and a bearish technical trend suggest a potential peak. The stock is currently a high-growth play where the market has priced in perfection, leaving little margin for error.

Key Strengths

Strong financial health indicated by Piotroski F-Score of 7/9
Exceptional earnings consistency with beats in 3 of the last 4 quarters and a long-term track record
Low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.42
High liquidity with a Current Ratio of 3.96 and Quick Ratio of 3.05
Strong top-line growth with 24.5% YoY revenue increase

Key Risks

Extreme valuation metrics (P/E 118.88, P/S 19.39) far exceeding industry norms
Significant insider divestment totaling $184.61M in the last 6 months
Bearish technical trend (10/100) despite recent price highs
Massive disconnect between current price ($263.92) and defensive fair value ($30.02)
High dependency on continued aggressive growth to justify current multiples
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$42.5
-83.9% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
52
Moderate
Value
10
Future
75
Past
90
Health
85
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Fundamentally Strong but Speculatively Priced
Key drivers: Piotroski Health, Extreme Valuation Gap, Insider Selling, Consistent Earnings Beats
Confidence
90%
Value
10/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E (47.34) is lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 118.88 is excessive
  • Price/Sales of 19.39 is very high
  • Trades at ~8.7x the Graham Number
Future
75/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 24.5% YoY Revenue Growth
  • Consistent EPS progression
Watchpoints
  • Growth must accelerate to justify current valuation
Past
90/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 25 quarters of consistent earnings performance
  • Massive 5Y price appreciation (+336%)
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
85/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.42)
  • Strong Current Ratio (3.96)
Watchpoints
  • Altman Z-Score not provided
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield
  • 0% payout ratio

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$263.92
Analyst Target
$265.07
Upside/Downside
+0.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MTSI and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-14
MTS
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+336.0%
3Y
+317.7%
1Y
+166.2%
6M
+100.6%
1M
+17.3%
1W
+11.4%
ENT
Entegris, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+8.8%
3Y
+72.1%
1Y
+106.9%
6M
+37.3%
1M
+10.4%
1W
+9.2%
NTA
NetApp, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+45.1%
3Y
+57.7%
1Y
+24.4%
6M
-16.6%
1M
-1.4%
1W
+0.9%
MDB
MongoDB, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-23.6%
3Y
+5.8%
1Y
+49.4%
6M
-26.0%
1M
-9.3%
1W
-7.4%
ALA
Astera Labs, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+94.0%
3Y
+94.0%
1Y
+84.2%
6M
-47.6%
1M
-16.3%
1W
+0.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
118.88
Forward P/E
47.34
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
14.63
P/S Ratio
19.39
EV/Revenue
19.2
EV/EBITDA
89.84
Market Cap
$19.8B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 15.88%
Operating Margin 15.94%
Gross Margin 55.22%
ROE 12.95%
ROA 4.92%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +24.5%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +24.52%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.42
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.96
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.05
Excellent
Cash/Share
$10.24

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.3B
Gross Margin
55.9%
Op. Margin
15.9%
Net Margin
18.0%
Total Assets
$2.1B
Liabilities
$0.8B
Equity
$1.4B
Debt/Equity
0.56x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
60%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-05
$1.02
+2.2% surprise
2025-11-06
$0.94
+1.2% surprise
2025-08-07
$0.9
+0.4% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing MTSI against 383 companies in the Technology sector (32 bullish, 137 neutral, 214 bearish)
P/E Ratio
118.88
This Stock
vs
97.74
Sector Avg
+21.6% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
12.95%
This Stock
vs
-35.13%
Sector Avg
-136.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
15.88%
This Stock
vs
-11.73%
Sector Avg
-235.3% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.42
This Stock
vs
0.67
Sector Avg
-36.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
24.5%
This Stock
vs
6431.4%
Sector Avg
-99.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
3.96
This Stock
vs
3.83
Sector Avg
+3.4% (Better)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BLAND CHARLES R
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
776 shares
INGRAM BRYAN T
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
776 shares
RIBAR GEOFFREY GEORGE
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
776 shares
CHUNG PETER Y
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
776 shares
RITCHIE JOHN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
776 shares
SHANMUGARAJ MURUGESAN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
776 shares
ROSENBAND JIHYE WHANG
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-06
776 shares
DENNEHY ROBERT B
Chief Operating Officer
Sell
2026-02-26
18,398 shares · $4,512,098
RIBAR GEOFFREY GEORGE
Director
Sell
2026-02-25
2,244 shares · $569,056
OCAMPO JOHN L
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Gift
2026-02-25
174,465 shares
OCAMPO JOHN L
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2026-02-25
315,272 shares · $79,981,686
RITCHIE JOHN
Director
Sell
2026-02-25
1,573 shares · $401,115
OCAMPO JOHN L
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2026-02-18
83,279 shares · $20,444,442
KOBER JOHN F III
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-02-17
7,196 shares · $1,749,161
OCAMPO JOHN L
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2026-02-13
119,877 shares · $28,903,950
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
15 analysts
B of A Securities
2026-04-13
Maintains
Buy Buy
Loop Capital
2026-04-10
init
Buy
JP Morgan
2026-02-06
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Stifel
2026-02-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Truist Securities
2026-02-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Benchmark
2026-02-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Needham
2026-02-06
reit
Buy Buy
Jefferies
2026-02-02
Maintains
Buy Buy
B of A Securities
2026-01-21
Maintains
Buy Buy
Stifel
2026-01-16
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MTSI from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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