NATH

BEARISH

$101.47 Live

Nathan's Famous, Inc. · NASDAQ

$88.67 52W Range $118.5

NATH Nathan's Famous, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH

Console Chart News

NATH Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NASDAQ • Consumer Cyclical • Restaurants

Current Price Live

$101.47

52W High

$118.5

52W Low

$88.67

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 15, 2026

Market cap

$415.46M

P/E

19.51

ROE

N/A

Profit margin

13.6%

Debt/Equity

N/A

Dividend yield

1.97%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

85%

NATH presents a concerning valuation profile, with a current price of $101.47 trading at a massive premium to its growth-based intrinsic value of $36.4. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health and the current ratio of 2.73 shows strong short-term liquidity, these are offset by a sharp -31.7% decline in year-over-year earnings growth. The negative Price/Book ratio suggests negative shareholders' equity, and a technical trend score of 0/100 confirms strong bearish momentum. Overall, the divergence between revenue growth and earnings collapse makes the current valuation unsustainable.

Key Strengths

Strong short-term liquidity with a current ratio of 2.73

Positive revenue growth of 8.90% YoY

Healthy profit margins (13.59%) compared to sector averages

Sustainable dividend payout ratio of 38.46%

P/E ratio (19.51) is significantly lower than the sector average (37.17)

Key Risks

Severe overvaluation relative to intrinsic value ($101.47 vs $36.4)

Significant earnings contraction (-31.7% YoY)

Negative Price/Book ratio indicating negative equity

Bearish technical trend (0/100)

Lack of insider buying activity to support current price levels

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$36.4

-64.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Moderate

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Overvalued with deteriorating earnings

Key drivers: Intrinsic value gap, Earnings collapse, Negative equity, Bearish technicals

Confidence

90%

Value

20/100

Ref P/E 19.51, Intrinsic Value $36.4, P/B -27.21

Positives

P/E is lower than sector average

Watchpoints

Price is ~2.8x intrinsic value
Negative Price/Book ratio

Future

30/100

Ref YoY Earnings Growth -31.70%

Positives

Steady revenue growth (~9%)

Watchpoints

Earnings growth is deeply negative (-31.7%)

Past

60/100

Ref 5Y Change +82.5%, Earnings Surprise 22%

Positives

Strong 5-year price appreciation (+82.5%)
Consistent history of beating earnings estimates

Watchpoints

Recent 6-month price decline

Health

55/100

Ref Piotroski 4/9, Current Ratio 2.73

Positives

High current and quick ratios
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable)

Watchpoints

Negative equity (P/B ratio)

Dividend

70/100

Ref Payout 38.46%, Yield 1.97%

Positives

Sustainable payout ratio
Consistent dividend rate

Watchpoints

Low overall yield (1.97%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$101.47

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NATH and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-14

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
NATH Nathan's Famous, Inc. Primary	+82.5%	+50.1%	+14.2%	-3.8%	+0.6%	+0.6%
LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Peer	-5.8%	+51.8%	+40.4%	+46.5%	+9.0%	-3.1%
FWDI Forward Industries, Inc. Peer	-83.4%	-60.2%	-11.2%	-81.0%	-10.0%	+6.8%
MCFT MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. Peer	-21.5%	-25.1%	+43.6%	+9.3%	+11.4%	+7.8%
LE Lands' End, Inc. Peer	-55.3%	+21.2%	+22.4%	-22.5%	-29.5%	-5.8%

NAT

Nathan's Famous, Inc.

Primary

+82.5%

+50.1%

+14.2%

-3.8%

+0.6%

LOC

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.

Peer

-5.8%

+51.8%

+40.4%

+46.5%

+9.0%

-3.1%

FWD

Forward Industries, Inc.

Peer

-83.4%

-60.2%

-11.2%

-81.0%

-10.0%

+6.8%

MCF

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.

Peer

-21.5%

-25.1%

+43.6%

+9.3%

+11.4%

+7.8%

Lands' End, Inc.

Peer

-55.3%

+21.2%

+22.4%

-22.5%

-29.5%

-5.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

19.51

N/A

-27.21

2.63

2.81

13.57

$415.46M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 13.59%

Operating Margin 14.94%

Gross Margin 30.65%

ROE N/A

ROA 39.87%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +8.9%

Earnings Growth -31.7%

Q/Q Revenue Growth +8.86%

Q/Q Earnings Growth -31.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

N/A

Current Ratio

2.73

Strong

Quick Ratio

2.63

Excellent

Cash/Share

$6.0

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue

$0.0B

Gross Margin

29.9%

Op. Margin

14.9%

Net Margin

9.0%

Total Assets

$0.1B

Liabilities

$0.1B

Equity

$-0.0B

Debt/Equity

-4.34x

Operating CF

$0.0B

CapEx

$-0.0B

Free Cash Flow

$0.0B

FCF Yield

99%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-06-04

$N/A

2014-11-05

$0.84

+8.4% surprise

2014-08-05

$0.89

+56.1% surprise

2014-06-13

$0.36

+1.5% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing NATH against 237 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (12 bullish, 83 neutral, 142 bearish)

P/E Ratio

19.51

This Stock

36.19

Sector Avg

-46.1% (Discount)

Profit Margin

13.59%

This Stock

-4.36%

Sector Avg

-411.6% (Weaker)

Revenue Growth

8.9%

This Stock

16.59%

Sector Avg

-46.4% (Slower)

Current Ratio

2.73

This Stock

2.5

Sector Avg

+9.2% (Better)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
NATH Nathan's Famous, Inc.	BEARISH	$415.46M	19.51	-%	13.6%	$101.47
LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.	NEUTRAL	$415.19M	15.4	9.6%	5.4%	$13.86	Compare
FWDI Forward Industries, Inc.	BEARISH	$380.79M	-	-170.7%	-%	$4.58	Compare
MCFT MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.	NEUTRAL	$356.15M	23.27	8.4%	5.3%	$21.87	Compare
LE Lands' End, Inc.	BEARISH	$334.74M	60.39	2.3%	0.4%	$10.87	Compare

NATH Nathan's Famous, Inc.

BEARISH

Mkt Cap

$415M

P/E

19.5

ROE

Price

$101.47

LOCO El Pollo Loco...

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Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date	Insider	Position	Transaction	Shares	Value
2025-12-08	LORBER HOWARD M	Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner	Stock Award	10,000	-

LORBER HOWARD M

Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner

Stock Award

2025-12-08

10,000 shares

Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NATH from our newsroom.

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NATH

NATH Nathan's Famous, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Quarterly Earnings History

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

Recent Insider Trading

Past News Coverage

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