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NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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NBIX Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Healthcare Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Current Price Live
$132.39
Analyst Target
$179.59
+35.7% Upside
52W High
$160.18
52W Low
$84.23

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Neurocrine Biosciences has a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial health, and lacks an Altman Z-Score for distress risk assessment. Despite strong profitability and robust revenue and earnings growth, the stock trades above its Graham Number of $53.29 at $132.39, reflecting high market expectations. While analysts maintain a strong_buy recommendation with a target of $179.59, insider selling activity and inconsistent earnings beats over the past year suggest caution. The company's solid balance sheet and low leverage provide resilience, but valuation and sentiment signals are mixed.

Key Strengths

Strong revenue growth (27.8% YoY) outpacing sector average of 9.8%
High operating margin (30.10%) and gross margin (63.21%) indicating pricing power and cost efficiency
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.16, well below sector average of 0.92, signaling conservative capital structure
Healthy liquidity with current ratio of 3.38 and quick ratio of 2.89
Analyst consensus is strong_buy with high target price of $179.59, implying 35.6% upside

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak to stable financial health, limiting confidence in operational consistency
Insider selling activity: $23.21M in sales over last 6 months with no buys, signaling bearish sentiment from insiders
Stock trades at a significant premium to Graham Number ($53.29) — current price is 148% higher
Earnings surprise history is volatile, with 2 misses in last 4 quarters and an average negative surprise of -7.16% over that period
Forward P/E of 14.48 is reasonable, but current P/E of 31.60 is elevated relative to earnings stability
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$123.61
-6.6% below current price

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