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NBTB

BULLISH
$45.19 Live
NBT Bancorp Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $48.83 (+8.1%)
$39.14 52W Range $46.92

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
NBTB exhibits a stable financial foundation with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and significant valuation upside, trading well below its Graham Number ($52.17) and Intrinsic Value ($98.23). The company demonstrates exceptional growth momentum with 39.5% YoY earnings growth and a stellar 25-quarter track record of meeting or beating estimates. While technical trends are currently bearish (10/100) and insider activity is slightly negative, the fundamental value and growth trajectory strongly outweigh these short-term signals.

Key Strengths

Significant undervaluation relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
Exceptional earnings growth (39.5% YoY) and revenue growth (24% YoY)
Consistent earnings beat record over 25 consecutive quarters
Sustainable dividend profile with a 42.64% payout ratio
Strong profitability margins (Operating Margin 41.87%)

Key Risks

Severely bearish technical trend (10/100) suggesting short-term price pressure
Net bearish insider sentiment with recent officer sales
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only 'stable' rather than 'strong' financial health
Exposure to regional banking sector volatility
Low technical momentum despite strong fundamentals
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$68.5
+51.6% above current price

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