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NCMI

BEARISH
$3.45 Live
National CineMedia, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $5.38 (+55.8%)
$2.92 52W Range $6.18

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
NCMI exhibits severe fundamental weakness, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating poor financial health and operational deterioration. While the company maintains a clean balance sheet with very low debt (Debt/Equity 0.06) and strong liquidity (Current Ratio 2.22), these are offset by negative profit margins and a catastrophic 5-year price decline of 90.7%. The bearish sentiment is further reinforced by aggressive insider selling from the CEO and CFO and a technical trend score of 0/100.

Key Strengths

Very low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.06
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.22
Healthy Gross Margin (46.75%) and Operating Margin (27.79%)
Positive YoY Revenue Growth (8.00%) and Earnings Growth (20.80%)
Trading below book value (Price/Book 0.86)

Key Risks

Critical financial health deterioration (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Negative net profit margins (-4.36%) and negative ROE (-2.70%)
Strong bearish insider activity with C-suite executives selling shares
Severe long-term price erosion (-90.7% over 5 years)
Lack of consistent quarterly earnings stability
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.0
+15.9% above current price

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