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NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
NDAQ Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Financial Services Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Current Price
$96.66
Analyst Target
$104.0
+7.6% Upside
52W High
$99.59
52W Low
$64.84

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Confidence Score
75%
Analysis Accuracy
Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) exhibits strong financial health with an exceptionally high Altman Z-Score (84646761728.0), indicating negligible bankruptcy risk, but a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests moderate fundamental concerns. Profitability metrics are solid, with high gross and operating margins, while earnings growth is robust year-over-year. However, the stock trades at a significant premium to both Graham's defensive value ($36.37) and intrinsic value ($82.6) at $96.66, and insider activity is bearish with recent officer selling. Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a $104 target, but technical trends are weak and valuation multiples exceed sector averages, creating mixed signals.

Key Strengths

Exceptionally high Altman Z-Score indicates near-zero bankruptcy risk
Strong profitability with 31.61% operating margin and 19.90% net margin
Robust earnings growth: 37.7% YoY and 38.2% Q/Q
Consistent earnings beat streak: 3 out of last 4 quarters above estimates
Attractive dividend payout ratio of 36.43% supports sustainability

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals potential financial instability
Current price ($96.66) trades at a 17% premium to intrinsic value ($82.6) and 164% above Graham Number ($36.37)
Bearish insider sentiment: 8 sell transactions totaling $2.47M in last 6 months, no buys
Elevated valuation multiples: P/E of 34.52 vs sector average of 23.01
Poor technical trend score (10/100) and declining short-term price momentum (-2.7% last week)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$85.0
-12.1% below current price

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