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NET Cloudflare, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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NET Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Software - Infrastructure
Current Price Live
$184.17
Analyst Target
$236.38
+28.3% Upside
52W High
$260.0
52W Low
$89.42

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$64.51B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-8.9%
Profit margin
-5.1%
Debt/Equity
2.6
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals significant financial health concerns, with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicating poor fundamental strength. Despite robust revenue growth of 30.7% and strong earnings surprises historically, the company remains unprofitable with negative profit and operating margins, while carrying a high debt/equity ratio of 2.60. Valuation multiples are extremely elevated, with a Price/Sales of 32.04 and Forward P/E of 156.48, reflecting aggressive growth expectations not yet supported by profitability. Insider selling activity totaling $103.92M over the past six months further raises caution, even as analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation.

Key Strengths

Exceptional revenue growth at 30.7% YoY, significantly outpacing sector average of 19.00%
High gross margin of 75.20%, indicating strong pricing power and scalable business model
Consistent earnings beat record, with 9 of last 10 quarters exceeding estimates by double digits
Strong cash conversion cycle management implied by healthy current and quick ratios above 2.0
Market leadership in cloud security and edge computing with expanding enterprise adoption

Key Risks

Very weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals deteriorating financial health and poor earnings quality
Negative ROE (-8.88%) and negative net income despite top-line growth raise sustainability concerns
Extremely high valuation metrics: Forward P/E of 156.48 and Price/Sales of 32.04 imply perfection is priced in
High debt/equity ratio of 2.60, well above sector average of 0.80, increasing financial risk
Bearish insider sentiment with $103.92M in net selling over last 6 months, including CEO sales
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$145.5
-21.0% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
39
Weak
Value
30
Future
75
Past
65
Health
25
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside risk if profitability improves
Key drivers: High growth trajectory, Premium valuation, Weak profitability, Deteriorating insider sentiment, Strong gross margins
Confidence
70%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • None
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E of 156.48 is extremely high
  • Price/Sales of 32.04 far exceeds peer average
  • No Graham Number or Intrinsic Value available due to unprofitability
Future
75/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 30.7% YoY revenue growth
  • Strong earnings momentum with 775% YoY EPS growth
  • Analyst target price implies 28% upside
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth not yet consistent or profitable
  • Forward P/E assumes sustained hypergrowth
Past
65/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beats over last 2 years
  • Revenue growth accelerating from prior periods
  • Improving EPS trend from negative to positive
Watchpoints
  • Long history of unprofitability
  • Inconsistent quarterly earnings progression
Health
25/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio of 2.04 indicates short-term liquidity
  • Quick ratio of 1.99 shows strong asset coverage
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates weak financial health
  • Negative ROE and ROA
  • High debt/equity ratio of 2.60
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • None
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • Dividend strength score of 0/100
  • Payout ratio is 0% due to lack of dividends

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$184.17
Analyst Target
$236.38
Upside/Downside
+28.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NET and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-16
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
Primary
+126.1% +297.3% +60.4% -6.7% -3.8% +0.8%
TEL
TE Connectivity plc
Peer
+132.0% +96.8% +57.4% +45.9% +6.6% -2.1%
GLW
Corning Incorporated
Peer
+154.6% +161.6% +78.8% +72.4% -4.9% -3.7%
FTNT
Fortinet, Inc.
Peer
+154.3% +50.5% -19.9% -28.5% -5.0% -4.8%
SNOW
Snowflake Inc.
Peer
-26.5% +44.4% +25.5% -3.0% -2.7% -4.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
156.48
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
47.89
P/S Ratio
32.04
EV/Revenue
31.77
EV/EBITDA
-1313.92
Market Cap
$64.51B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -5.12%
Operating Margin -6.67%
Gross Margin 75.2%
ROE -8.88%
ROA -2.71%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +30.7%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
2.6
High debt
Current Ratio
2.04
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.99
Excellent
Cash/Share
$11.54

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-10
$N/A
2025-10-30
$0.27
+15.4% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.21
+15.5% surprise
2025-05-08
$0.16
-1.6% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing NET against 149 companies in the Technology sector (10 bullish, 66 neutral, 73 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-8.88%
This Stock
vs
-8.13%
Sector Avg
+9.2% (Above Avg)
Profit Margin
-5.12%
This Stock
vs
-7.75%
Sector Avg
-34.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
2.6
This Stock
vs
0.76
Sector Avg
+240.1% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
30.7%
This Stock
vs
56.87%
Sector Avg
-46.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.04
This Stock
vs
3.33
Sector Avg
-38.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
NEUTRAL $64.51B - -8.9% -5.1% $184.17
TEL
TE Connectivity plc
BULLISH $69.82B 38.47 14.6% 10.7% $237.33
GLW
Corning Incorporated
NEUTRAL $70.61B 52.6 12.7% 9.2% $82.06
FTNT
Fortinet, Inc.
NEUTRAL $57.76B 31.02 228.0% 28.6% $75.38
SNOW
Snowflake Inc.
BEARISH $71.99B - -53.1% -30.8% $210.38

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2026-01-08 PRINCE MATTHEW Chief Executive Officer Sale 157,152 $30,701,127
2026-01-08 PRINCE MATTHEW Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 157,152 -
2026-01-05 GRAHAM-CUMMING JOHN Director Sale 2,520 $504,676
2026-01-05 LEDBETTER CARL Director Sale 6,134 $1,216,136
2026-01-05 GRAHAM-CUMMING JOHN Director Option Exercise 2,520 $112,694
2026-01-02 HAWKINS MARK J Director Sale 134 $26,653
2026-01-02 KRAMER DOUGLAS JAMES Officer Sale 9,000 $1,786,861
2025-12-30 LEDBETTER CARL Director Sale 8,866 $1,786,141
2025-12-22 SUDER KATRIN Director Sale 2,031 $406,200
2025-12-22 SEIFERT THOMAS J Chief Financial Officer Sale 10,000 $2,016,931
2025-12-22 SEIFERT THOMAS J Chief Financial Officer Stock Award 10,000 -
2025-12-15 GRAHAM-CUMMING JOHN Director Sale 2,520 $502,425
2025-12-15 GRAHAM-CUMMING JOHN Director Option Exercise 2,520 $112,694
2025-12-11 ZATLYN MICHELLE President Sale 76,923 $15,888,932
2025-12-11 ZATLYN MICHELLE President Stock Award 76,923 -
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
30 analysts
Citigroup
2026-01-16
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-01-13
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Piper Sandler
2026-01-05
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Barclays
2025-12-02
init
Overweight
Argus Research
2025-11-10
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2025-11-03
Maintains
Buy Buy
Susquehanna
2025-11-03
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Wells Fargo
2025-10-31
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Piper Sandler
2025-10-31
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
UBS
2025-10-31
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NET from our newsroom.

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