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NPCE

NEUTRAL
$15.35 Live
NeuroPace, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $19.88 (+29.5%)
$7.56 52W Range $18.98

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 15, 2026
Market cap
$516.79M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-158.7%
Profit margin
-21.5%
Debt/Equity
3.72
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
NPCE presents a classic high-growth, high-risk medical device profile, characterized by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and a lack of current profitability. While the company demonstrates strong top-line growth (23.9% YoY) and impressive gross margins (77.23%), its valuation is stretched with a Price/Book ratio of 27.07. The narrowing net losses and consistent earnings beats suggest a positive trajectory toward profitability, but high debt-to-equity (3.72) and bearish insider sentiment temper the bullish analyst consensus.

Key Strengths

Strong gross margins of 77.23% indicating high product value
Consistent revenue growth of ~24% YoY and Q/Q
Significant improvement in EPS (YoY growth of 55.6%) and narrowing losses
Excellent short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 5.28
Strong analyst consensus with a 'Strong Buy' rating and target price of $19.88

Key Risks

Weak financial health as indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9
Extremely high Price/Book ratio (27.07) suggesting overvaluation
High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.72
Negative profit margins (-21.47%) and lack of positive earnings
Bearish insider activity with recent selling and low sentiment score (30/100)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$17.62
+14.8% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
37
Weak
Value
20
Future
75
Past
60
Health
30
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth
Key drivers: Revenue growth, EPS improvement, High P/B valuation, Weak Piotroski score
Confidence
85%
Value
20/100

Stock trades at a significant premium to book value, relying entirely on future growth expectations.

Positives
  • P/S ratio is moderate for the sector
Watchpoints
  • P/B of 27.07 is excessive
  • Negative Forward P/E
  • No Graham Number due to lack of earnings
Future
75/100

Growth rates are healthy and the company is successfully narrowing its losses.

Positives
  • Strong YoY revenue growth
  • Consistent earnings beats
  • Positive EPS trajectory
Watchpoints
  • Still not profitable
Past
60/100

Recent performance is strong, but long-term historical returns are negative.

Positives
  • Strong 3Y return (+219.8%)
  • Recent 6M momentum (+41.9%)
Watchpoints
  • Poor 5Y performance (-38.5%)
Health
30/100

High liquidity is offset by poor fundamental health scores and high leverage.

Positives
  • High Current Ratio (5.28)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 (Weak)
  • High Debt/Equity (3.72)
  • Negative ROE (-158.74%)
Dividend
0/100

Company is in a growth phase and does not distribute capital.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$15.35
Analyst Target
$19.88
Upside/Downside
+29.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NPCE and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-14
NPC
NeuroPace, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-38.5%
3Y
+219.8%
1Y
+43.9%
6M
+41.9%
1M
+8.2%
1W
+5.8%
OFI
Orthofix Medical Inc.
Peer
5Y
-70.9%
3Y
-30.2%
1Y
-4.0%
6M
-14.4%
1M
+8.4%
1W
+5.5%
TRD
Entrada Therapeutics, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-43.4%
3Y
-5.2%
1Y
+70.6%
6M
+117.0%
1M
+19.9%
1W
-2.4%
STR
Sutro Biopharma, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-83.1%
3Y
-30.0%
1Y
+506.7%
6M
+212.4%
1M
+44.8%
1W
+22.0%
PII
P3 Health Partners Inc.
Peer
5Y
-99.5%
3Y
-95.6%
1Y
-74.5%
6M
-72.2%
1M
-4.2%
1W
-5.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-43.45
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
27.07
P/S Ratio
5.17
EV/Revenue
5.27
EV/EBITDA
-32.71
Market Cap
$516.79M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -21.47%
Operating Margin -6.65%
Gross Margin 77.23%
ROE -158.74%
ROA -10.2%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +23.9%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +23.86%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
3.72
High debt
Current Ratio
5.28
Strong
Quick Ratio
4.25
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.81

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
77.4%
Op. Margin
-6.6%
Net Margin
-10.3%
Total Assets
$0.1B
Liabilities
$0.1B
Equity
$0.0B
Debt/Equity
4.55x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
81%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-12
$N/A
2026-03-03
$-0.08
+48.1% surprise
2025-11-04
$-0.11
+43.5% surprise
2025-08-12
$-0.26
-19.8% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing NPCE against 498 companies in the Healthcare sector (28 bullish, 153 neutral, 317 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-158.74%
This Stock
vs
-95.47%
Sector Avg
+66.3% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-21.47%
This Stock
vs
-15.87%
Sector Avg
+35.3% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
3.72
This Stock
vs
2.89
Sector Avg
+28.9% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
23.9%
This Stock
vs
137.48%
Sector Avg
-82.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
5.28
This Stock
vs
4.66
Sector Avg
+13.3% (Better)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

LACOB JOSEPH S
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-20
865 shares · $11,245
FISCHER FRANK M
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-20
1,826 shares · $23,738
GEIGER URI
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-20
913 shares · $11,869
KUMAR RAKHI
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-20
1,153 shares · $14,989
LACOB JOSEPH S
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-19
678 shares · $11,248
FISCHER FRANK M
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-19
1,431 shares · $23,740
GEIGER URI
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-19
715 shares · $11,862
KUMAR RAKHI
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-19
904 shares · $14,997
MORRELL MARTHA J
Officer
Sell
2025-12-15
25,000 shares · $399,250
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
8 analysts
HC Wainwright & Co.
2026-01-27
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2025-12-16
Maintains
Buy Buy
JP Morgan
2025-12-10
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
JP Morgan
2025-11-05
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Wells Fargo
2025-11-05
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NPCE from our newsroom.

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