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NTRA

NEUTRAL
$207.19 Live
Natera, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $258.58 (+24.8%)
$131.81 52W Range $256.36

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 16, 2026
Market cap
$29.37B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-14.3%
Profit margin
-9.0%
Debt/Equity
0.13
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
NTRA exhibits a stark disconnect between its operational growth and its financial health, evidenced by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9. While the company demonstrates impressive revenue growth of 39.8% and strong gross margins (64.75%), it remains unprofitable with a negative forward P/E and extreme valuation multiples (P/S 12.73, P/B 16.90). The bullish analyst consensus is heavily countered by bearish insider activity, with $45.05M in sales and zero buys over the last six months. Consequently, the stock is a high-risk growth play where valuation is based on future expectations rather than current fundamental strength.

Key Strengths

Strong top-line revenue growth (39.8% YoY)
Robust gross margins at 64.75%
Excellent short-term liquidity with a current ratio of 3.39
Low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.13
Strong analyst backing with a 'strong_buy' consensus and target price of $258.58

Key Risks

Poor financial health indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
Extreme valuation premiums (Price/Book of 16.90)
Persistent lack of profitability (Profit Margin -9.03%)
Significant insider selling ($45.05M) suggesting a lack of confidence at current levels
Negative forward earnings expectations (Forward P/E -305.11)

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
35
Weak
Value
15
Future
80
Past
50
Health
30
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth
Key drivers: Revenue Growth, Piotroski F-Score, Insider Selling, Valuation Multiples
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Graham Number and Intrinsic Value are unavailable due to negative earnings; stock trades at a massive growth premium.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • P/S of 12.73 is excessive
  • P/B of 16.90 indicates extreme premium
  • Negative Forward P/E
Future
80/100

Growth rates are the primary driver of the current stock price.

Positives
  • 39.8% YoY Revenue Growth
  • Strong analyst target price ($258.58)
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth surge (+156.2%)
Watchpoints
  • Uncertainty in timing of GAAP profitability
Past
50/100

Historical trend shows a company scaling rapidly but struggling to convert revenue to net income.

Positives
  • Consistent revenue expansion
  • Strong 3Y price performance (+306.2%)
Watchpoints
  • Long history of negative earnings surprises
Health
30/100

While solvent and liquid, the operational efficiency and profitability metrics are poor.

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.13)
  • High Current Ratio (3.39)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates weak fundamental health
Dividend
0/100

Company is in a growth phase and does not return capital to shareholders.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0% payout ratio

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$207.19
Analyst Target
$258.58
Upside/Downside
+24.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NTRA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-15
NTR
Natera, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+93.7%
3Y
+306.2%
1Y
+36.5%
6M
+15.5%
1M
+4.8%
1W
-1.7%
BII
Biogen Inc.
Peer
5Y
-34.2%
3Y
-34.1%
1Y
+34.0%
6M
+30.9%
1M
-2.5%
1W
-0.3%
GEH
GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
Peer
5Y
+22.2%
3Y
-9.0%
1Y
+12.5%
6M
-1.6%
1M
+0.3%
1W
+3.6%
INS
Insmed Incorporated
Peer
5Y
+402.3%
3Y
+817.7%
1Y
+138.9%
6M
-4.6%
1M
+11.1%
1W
-4.7%
DXC
DexCom, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-31.7%
3Y
-50.1%
1Y
-22.2%
6M
-32.1%
1M
-11.2%
1W
+5.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-305.11
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
16.9
P/S Ratio
12.73
EV/Revenue
12.82
EV/EBITDA
-108.9
Market Cap
$29.37B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -9.03%
Operating Margin -3.42%
Gross Margin 64.75%
ROE -14.32%
ROA -9.54%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +39.8%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +39.79%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.13
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.39
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.11
Excellent
Cash/Share
$7.59

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.7B
Gross Margin
66.9%
Op. Margin
-3.4%
Net Margin
7.1%
Total Assets
$2.4B
Liabilities
$0.7B
Equity
$1.7B
Debt/Equity
0.40x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
23%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-26
$0.36
+167.5% surprise
2025-11-06
$-0.64
-80.7% surprise
2025-08-07
$-0.74
-24.5% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing NTRA against 421 companies in the Healthcare sector (25 bullish, 134 neutral, 262 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-14.32%
This Stock
vs
-100.15%
Sector Avg
-85.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-9.03%
This Stock
vs
-13.63%
Sector Avg
-33.8% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.13
This Stock
vs
3.22
Sector Avg
-96.1% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
39.8%
This Stock
vs
121.05%
Sector Avg
-67.1% (Slower)
Current Ratio
3.39
This Stock
vs
4.55
Sector Avg
-25.4% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

RABINOWITZ MATTHEW
Officer and Director
Option Exercise
2026-04-06
58,292 shares · $559,020
MOSHKEVICH SOLOMON
Officer
Sell
2026-04-01
3,000 shares · $606,899
RABINOWITZ DANIEL A
Officer
Sell
2026-04-01
8,400 shares · $1,707,814
RABINOWITZ MATTHEW
Officer and Director
Option Exercise
2026-03-31
41,708 shares · $399,980
SHEENA JONATHAN
Director
Sell
2026-03-20
4,570 shares · $908,301
RABINOWITZ MATTHEW
Officer and Director
Sell
2026-03-16
200,000 shares · $38,283,382
RABINOWITZ MATTHEW
Officer and Director
Option Exercise
2026-03-16
200,000 shares · $1,918,000
CHAPMAN ROWAN E
Director
Sell
2026-03-13
122 shares · $23,348
MOSHKEVICH SOLOMON
Officer
Sell
2026-03-10
915 shares · $186,781
CHAPMAN STEVEN LEONARD
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-10
5,623 shares · $1,147,838
RABINOWITZ DANIEL A
Officer
Sell
2026-03-10
1,745 shares · $356,212
SHEENA JONATHAN
Director
Sell
2026-03-10
127 shares · $25,925
BROPHY MICHAEL BURKES
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-10
785 shares · $160,244
MOSHKEVICH SOLOMON
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-09
1,774 shares
CHAPMAN STEVEN LEONARD
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-09
5,623 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
19 analysts
William Blair
2026-04-14
init
Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-03
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Wells Fargo
2026-02-27
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-27
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Baird
2026-02-27
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Citigroup
2026-01-07
init
Buy
Guggenheim
2026-01-05
Maintains
Buy Buy
Canaccord Genuity
2025-12-22
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2025-12-15
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
JP Morgan
2025-12-15
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NTRA from our newsroom.

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