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NWE

BEARISH
$73.36 Live
NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $65.42 (-10.8%)
$50.46 52W Range $75.18

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AI Analysis

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Confidence
85%
NWE exhibits a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, while trading at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($55.75) and Intrinsic Value ($20.58). Despite strong 1-year price appreciation, the fundamental outlook is clouded by a severe YoY earnings collapse of -44.80% and a dangerously high dividend payout ratio of 89.80%. Liquidity is a primary concern with a Quick Ratio of 0.31, suggesting potential short-term cash flow pressure. The combination of a bearish technical trend (10/100) and a current price well above analyst targets ($65.42) indicates a high risk of correction.

Key Strengths

Consistent revenue growth (10.90% YoY)
Strong gross margins (56.87%) typical of regulated utilities
Strong 1-year price performance (+33.5%)
Regulated industry provides a baseline of stability
Positive quarterly revenue growth (10.92%)

Key Risks

Severe earnings contraction (-44.80% YoY)
Poor liquidity profile (Current Ratio 0.72, Quick Ratio 0.31)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (89.80%)
Significant overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic values
Bearish technical trend (10/100)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$55.75
-24.0% below current price

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