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NXST

BEARISH
$196.59 Live
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $261.25 (+32.9%)
$141.66 52W Range $254.3

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
NXST exhibits a concerning divergence between analyst optimism and fundamental reality, characterized by a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a complete absence of an Altman Z-Score for risk benchmarking. The stock is trading at a massive premium to its Graham Number ($67.78) and Intrinsic Value ($21.0), while revenue is contracting by 13.3% YoY. Most critically, the dividend payout ratio of 248% is fundamentally unsustainable, and insider activity is exclusively bearish.

Key Strengths

Strong analyst consensus with a 'strong_buy' rating
Significant upside target price of $261.25
Healthy current ratio (2.07) and quick ratio (1.91) for short-term liquidity
Strong gross margins (55.38%) and operating margins (20.48%)
Positive long-term price performance (5Y Change +49.8%)

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 248%
Negative revenue growth (-13.3% YoY and Q/Q)
High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.21
Severe valuation gap between current price ($196.59) and Graham Number ($67.78)
Bearish insider sentiment with 16 sell transactions and 0 buys
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$67.78
-65.5% below current price

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