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OLPX

NEUTRAL
$2.04 Live
Olaplex Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $1.9 (-7.0%)
$0.99 52W Range $2.04

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 16, 2026
Market cap
$1.37B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-1.1%
Profit margin
-2.2%
Debt/Equity
0.4
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
OLPX presents a dichotomy between a stable balance sheet and deteriorating operational performance, evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 (Stable) but negative profit margins. While the company maintains exceptional liquidity with a current ratio of 4.58 and low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.40), it struggles with sluggish revenue growth (4.3%) and a lack of net profitability. The recent 1-year price recovery is contradicted by a bearish technical trend (10/100) and aggressive insider selling. Overall, the stock is a speculative hold as it attempts to pivot back to profitability.

Key Strengths

Strong Gross Margin of 71.79% indicating high product value
Excellent liquidity with a Current Ratio of 4.58
Low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.40
Stable Piotroski F-Score (6/9) suggesting fundamental health
Recent 1-year price recovery (+63.2%)

Key Risks

Negative Profit Margin (-2.19%) and Operating Margin (-4.26%)
Heavy insider selling, including the CEO and COO
Stagnant revenue growth (4.3% YoY) compared to sector averages
Severe long-term value destruction (5Y Change: -91.7%)
Bearish technical trend (10/100) despite recent price gains
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$1.9
-6.9% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
35
Weak
Value
50
Future
30
Past
20
Health
75
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Hold
Key drivers: Strong balance sheet, Negative earnings, Insider divestment, Low growth
Confidence
80%
Value
50/100

P/B is stable, but lack of current earnings makes traditional valuation difficult.

Positives
  • Reasonable Price/Book ratio of 1.55
Watchpoints
  • Negative current P/E
  • Forward P/E of 20.54 is high for a low-growth company
Future
30/100

Growth metrics are anemic and fail to justify a premium valuation.

Positives
  • Positive (though low) revenue growth
Watchpoints
  • Q/Q EPS growth plummeted -75%
  • Revenue growth (4.3%) lags far behind sector average (15.29%)
Past
20/100

Long-term historical performance is extremely poor.

Positives
  • Recent 1-year recovery
Watchpoints
  • Catastrophic 5-year return of -91.7%
  • Inconsistent earnings surprise track record
Health
75/100

The company is financially solvent and well-capitalized despite operational losses.

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6/9
  • Very high Quick Ratio (3.39)
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.40)
Watchpoints
  • Negative ROE (-1.05%)
Dividend
0/100

Not a dividend-paying stock.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend payments
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$2.04
Analyst Target
$1.9
Upside/Downside
-7.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for OLPX and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-15
OLP
Olaplex Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-91.7%
3Y
-47.8%
1Y
+63.2%
6M
+65.8%
1M
+63.2%
1W
+0.5%
REA
The RealReal, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-47.8%
3Y
+923.7%
1Y
+124.5%
6M
+17.7%
1M
+28.0%
1W
+24.7%
BH
Biglari Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
+310.2%
3Y
+205.9%
1Y
+110.4%
6M
+46.2%
1M
+29.3%
1W
+1.5%
GII
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-4.6%
3Y
+94.0%
1Y
+19.4%
6M
+14.6%
1M
+1.0%
1W
+6.5%
LIN
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+10.0%
3Y
+107.0%
1Y
+137.9%
6M
+62.7%
1M
+8.4%
1W
+12.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
20.54
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.55
P/S Ratio
3.24
EV/Revenue
3.31
EV/EBITDA
20.79
Market Cap
$1.37B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -2.19%
Operating Margin -4.26%
Gross Margin 71.79%
ROE -1.05%
ROA 0.62%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +4.3%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +4.35%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.4
Low debt
Current Ratio
4.58
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.39
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.48

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
68.0%
Op. Margin
-1.7%
Net Margin
-12.5%
Total Assets
$1.5B
Liabilities
$0.6B
Equity
$0.9B
Debt/Equity
0.70x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
99%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-03-05
$0.01
+35.3% surprise
2025-11-06
$0.04
+47.8% surprise
2025-08-07
$-0.01
-300.0% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing OLPX against 258 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (14 bullish, 87 neutral, 157 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-1.05%
This Stock
vs
-39.84%
Sector Avg
-97.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-2.19%
This Stock
vs
-5.5%
Sector Avg
-60.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.4
This Stock
vs
1.37
Sector Avg
-70.8% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
4.3%
This Stock
vs
15.67%
Sector Avg
-72.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
4.58
This Stock
vs
2.42
Sector Avg
+89.1% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BALDWIN AMANDA
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-13
451,837 shares · $528,649
DUNLEAVY CATHERINE
Chief Operating Officer
Sell
2026-03-12
93,809 shares · $118,199
FOX TRISHA L
Officer
Sell
2026-03-12
25,421 shares · $32,030
DUFFY JOHN C
General Counsel
Sell
2026-03-12
34,962 shares · $44,052
DUNLEAVY CATHERINE
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
1,153,846 shares
BALDWIN AMANDA
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
3,846,154 shares
FOX TRISHA L
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
384,615 shares
DUFFY JOHN C
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-10
384,615 shares
FOX TRISHA L
Officer
Sell
2026-03-09
26,426 shares · $33,297
DUFFY JOHN C
General Counsel
Sell
2026-03-09
34,824 shares · $43,878
BALDWIN AMANDA
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-12
398,560 shares · $474,286
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
8 analysts
Barclays
2026-04-14
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-03-27
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-03-02
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
Barclays
2025-11-10
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Telsey Advisory Group
2025-11-07
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
Telsey Advisory Group
2025-10-31
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning OLPX from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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