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ON

BEARISH
$72.43 Live
ON Semiconductor Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $69.31 (-4.3%)
$33.2 52W Range $73.76

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AI Analysis

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Confidence
85%
ON Semiconductor exhibits a concerning divergence between its current market price ($72.43) and its deterministic value markers, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating only stable health and a Graham Number of $11.23 suggesting massive overvaluation. While the balance sheet remains strong with a current ratio of 4.52, the company is facing a severe fundamental downturn with YoY earnings plummeting 48.70%. The combination of a trailing P/E of 249.76, bearish insider selling by the CEO and CFO, and a technical trend score of 10/100 outweighs the optimistic analyst 'buy' ratings.

Key Strengths

Excellent short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 4.52
Conservative leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.42
Strong operating margins (19.14%) despite revenue declines
Significant 1-year price appreciation (+102%)
Low Forward P/E (17.88) suggesting expected earnings recovery

Key Risks

Extreme valuation premium over Graham Number ($11.23) and Intrinsic Value ($2.03)
Severe negative growth trends (Revenue -11.20%, Earnings -48.70%)
Bearish insider activity including sales by the CEO and CFO
Trailing P/E ratio (249.76) is unsustainable without a massive earnings rebound
Technical trend is heavily bearish (10/100)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$28.5
-60.7% below current price

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