OPXS
BEARISH
$11.39
Live
Optex Systems Holdings, Inc · NASDAQ
Target $16.1
(+41.4%)
$5.42
52W Range
$17.76
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 16, 2026
Market cap
$79.02M
P/E
17.52
ROE
20.4%
Profit margin
10.7%
Debt/Equity
0.07
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
OPXS exhibits significant fundamental deterioration, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and a severe earnings collapse of -75% YoY. While the balance sheet remains liquid with very low debt, the stock is trading at a substantial premium to both its Graham Number ($7.25) and Intrinsic Value ($4.55). Bearish technical momentum and aggressive insider selling by the CEO and directors further undermine the single analyst's 'strong buy' recommendation. The disconnect between historical price gains and current fundamental decay suggests a correction phase.
Key Strengths
Extremely low Debt/Equity ratio (0.07)
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 5.87
Positive ROE (20.43%) and ROA (14.46%)
Consistent modest revenue growth (11.6% YoY)
Strong long-term historical price appreciation (5Y +535.2%)
Key Risks
Severe earnings contraction (-75% YoY)
Weak fundamental health indicated by Piotroski F-Score of 3/9
Significant overvaluation relative to defensive fair value ($11.39 vs $7.25 Graham)
Strong bearish technical trend (down 24.4% in 6 months)
Lack of analyst coverage (only 1 analyst providing a target)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$6.85
-39.9% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
34
Weak
30
20
80
40
0
AI Verdict
Underperforming Fundamentals
Key drivers: Earnings collapse, Piotroski F-Score weakness, Insider selling, Price-to-Intrinsic gap
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100
Ref P/E 17.52, Graham Number $7.25
Positives
- P/E is relatively moderate at 17.52
Watchpoints
- Price is 57% above Graham Number
- Price is 150% above Intrinsic Value
Future
20/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue growth remains positive
Watchpoints
- Earnings growth is deeply negative (-75%)
- Operating margins are razor-thin (1.63%)
Past
80/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Exceptional 5-year and 1-year returns
Watchpoints
- Recent 6-month trend is sharply negative
Health
40/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Very low debt
- High current ratio
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health trends
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield 0%
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$11.39
Analyst Target
$16.1
Upside/Downside
+41.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for OPXS and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-15
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
OPXS
Optex Systems Holdings, Inc
Primary
|
+535.2% | +279.7% | +110.5% | -24.4% | -12.4% | -9.6% |
|
NNBR
NN, Inc.
Peer
|
-79.6% | +51.0% | -12.8% | -16.0% | +21.7% | +8.3% |
|
ARQ
Arq, Inc.
Peer
|
-66.4% | -17.2% | -60.7% | -73.2% | -49.5% | -40.2% |
|
DLHC
DLH Holdings Corp.
Peer
|
-47.4% | -46.3% | +69.8% | +2.9% | -5.0% | -2.6% |
|
BLNK
Blink Charging Co.
Peer
|
-98.2% | -91.9% | -35.5% | -60.1% | -10.4% | +12.8% |
OPX
Optex Systems Holdings, Inc
Primary
5Y
+535.2%
3Y
+279.7%
1Y
+110.5%
6M
-24.4%
1M
-12.4%
1W
-9.6%
NNB
NN, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-79.6%
3Y
+51.0%
1Y
-12.8%
6M
-16.0%
1M
+21.7%
1W
+8.3%
ARQ
Arq, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-66.4%
3Y
-17.2%
1Y
-60.7%
6M
-73.2%
1M
-49.5%
1W
-40.2%
DLH
DLH Holdings Corp.
Peer
5Y
-47.4%
3Y
-46.3%
1Y
+69.8%
6M
+2.9%
1M
-5.0%
1W
-2.6%
BLN
Blink Charging Co.
Peer
5Y
-98.2%
3Y
-91.9%
1Y
-35.5%
6M
-60.1%
1M
-10.4%
1W
+12.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
17.52
Forward P/E
13.24
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.17
P/S Ratio
1.87
EV/Revenue
1.76
EV/EBITDA
10.88
Market Cap
$79.02M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
10.75%
Operating Margin
1.63%
Gross Margin
28.44%
ROE
20.43%
ROA
14.46%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+11.6%
Earnings Growth
-75.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+11.55%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-71.3%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.07
Low debt
Current Ratio
5.87
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.38
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.85
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
22.9%
Op. Margin
1.6%
Net Margin
2.6%
Total Assets
$0.0B
Liabilities
$0.0B
Equity
$0.0B
Debt/Equity
0.22x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
596%
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing OPXS against 294 companies in the Industrials sector
(21 bullish, 101 neutral, 172 bearish)
P/E Ratio
17.52
This Stock
vs
80.8
Sector Avg
-78.3%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
20.43%
This Stock
vs
-20.62%
Sector Avg
-199.1%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
10.75%
This Stock
vs
10.86%
Sector Avg
-1.1%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.07
This Stock
vs
2.99
Sector Avg
-97.6%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
11.6%
This Stock
vs
105.56%
Sector Avg
-89.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
5.87
This Stock
vs
3.12
Sector Avg
+87.8%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
OPXS
Optex Systems Holdings, Inc
|
BEARISH | $79.02M | 17.52 | 20.4% | 10.7% | $11.39 | |
|
NNBR
NN, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $78.8M | - | -21.2% | -8.1% | $1.57 | Compare |
|
ARQ
Arq, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $81.97M | - | -27.3% | -43.7% | $1.92 | Compare |
|
DLHC
DLH Holdings Corp.
|
BEARISH | $82.18M | - | -1.0% | -0.3% | $5.67 | Compare |
|
BLNK
Blink Charging Co.
|
BEARISH | $86.16M | - | -88.5% | -118.4% | $0.61 | Compare |
OPXS
Optex Systems...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$79M
P/E
17.5
ROE
20.4%
Price
$11.39
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | GEORGE CHAD MICHAEL | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 7,035 | $95,817 |
| 2026-01-08 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Sale | 56,870 | $782,135 |
| 2026-01-06 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Sale | 53,708 | $728,725 |
| 2025-12-05 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 4,700 | $67,351 |
| 2025-11-04 | MALHOTRA R RIMMY | Director | Stock Award | 4,000 | $66,960 |
| 2025-11-04 | JUDD DAYTON R | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Stock Award | 4,000 | $66,960 |
| 2025-11-04 | LEHMANN DALE E. | Director | Stock Award | 4,000 | $66,960 |
GEORGE CHAD MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-11
7,035 shares
·
$95,817
SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2026-01-08
56,870 shares
·
$782,135
SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2026-01-06
53,708 shares
·
$728,725
SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-05
4,700 shares
·
$67,351
MALHOTRA R RIMMY
Director
2025-11-04
4,000 shares
·
$66,960
JUDD DAYTON R
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2025-11-04
4,000 shares
·
$66,960
LEHMANN DALE E.
Director
2025-11-04
4,000 shares
·
$66,960
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
1 analysts
Freedom Broker
2026-04-06
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning OPXS from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.