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ORGN

BEARISH
$2.18 Live
Origin Materials, Inc. · NASDAQ
$1.88 52W Range $28.5

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 16, 2026
Market cap
$11.83M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-112.8%
Profit margin
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.27
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
95%
Origin Materials is in a state of severe financial distress, evidenced by a critical Piotroski F-Score of 1/9. The company is experiencing a catastrophic collapse in fundamentals, with revenue plummeting by 67.20% YoY and operating margins at a staggering -521.31%. Despite a low Price-to-Book ratio of 0.11, the lack of earnings, negative growth, and aggressive insider selling by the CEO and COO suggest a high risk of insolvency or further massive dilution. The technical trend is entirely bearish, with a 5-year price decline of 99.3%.

Key Strengths

Low Debt/Equity ratio (0.27) relative to sector average
Strong Current Ratio (2.83) suggesting short-term liquidity
Low Price-to-Book ratio (0.11) indicating the stock trades far below accounting value
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.63)
Quick Ratio (2.40) indicates sufficient liquid assets to cover current liabilities

Key Risks

Severe revenue contraction (-67.20% YoY)
Extreme operational inefficiency with -521.31% operating margins
Critical financial health (Piotroski F-Score 1/9)
Aggressive insider selling by C-suite executives (CEO, COO, General Counsel)
Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates with a recent surprise of -99.6%

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
9
Weak
Value
20
Future
5
Past
5
Health
15
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Distressed / High Bankruptcy Risk
Key drivers: Revenue collapse, Piotroski F-Score 1/9, C-suite insider selling, Catastrophic operating margins
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Trades at a deep discount to book value, but this is likely a value trap given the operational collapse.

Positives
  • Very low P/B (0.11)
  • Low P/S (0.63)
Watchpoints
  • No Graham Number due to lack of earnings
  • Negative forward P/E
Future
5/100

Revenue growth is trending sharply downward, contradicting any growth-based valuation.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth -67.20%
  • Negative earnings progression
Past
5/100

Total destruction of shareholder value over a 5-year horizon.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • 5Y Change -99.3%
  • 1Y Change -88.3%
Health
15/100

While the balance sheet shows low debt, the operational health is failing (F-Score 1/9).

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity
  • Healthy Current Ratio
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
  • ROE -112.84%
Dividend
0/100

Dividend Yield N/A

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend history
  • No capacity to pay

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$2.18

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ORGN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-15
ORG
Origin Materials, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-99.3%
3Y
-98.2%
1Y
-88.3%
6M
-90.0%
1M
-38.4%
1W
+1.9%
CAP
Captivision Inc.
Peer
5Y
-96.0%
3Y
-96.2%
1Y
-21.5%
6M
-57.0%
1M
-7.7%
1W
-0.4%
RET
ReTo Eco-Solutions, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-100.0%
3Y
-99.9%
1Y
-93.4%
6M
-79.2%
1M
+61.2%
1W
+52.1%
BON
Bon Natural Life Limited
Peer
5Y
-99.9%
3Y
-99.6%
1Y
-20.6%
6M
-34.8%
1M
-10.7%
1W
+3.1%
GUR
Gulf Resources, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-90.4%
3Y
-81.3%
1Y
-35.8%
6M
-6.5%
1M
+11.0%
1W
-33.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-6.23
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.11
P/S Ratio
0.63
EV/Revenue
-0.74
EV/EBITDA
0.27
Market Cap
$11.83M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin N/A
Operating Margin -521.31%
Gross Margin 2.86%
ROE -112.84%
ROA -14.81%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -67.2%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -67.23%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.27
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.83
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.4
Excellent
Cash/Share
$9.86

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
2.9%
Op. Margin
-521.3%
Net Margin
-6423.8%
Total Assets
$0.2B
Liabilities
$0.1B
Equity
$0.1B
Debt/Equity
0.51x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
202%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-14
$N/A
2025-03-12
$-3.1
+6.1% surprise
2024-11-14
$-6.59
-99.6% surprise
2024-08-14
$-3.61
-0.4% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing ORGN against 83 companies in the Basic Materials sector (1 bullish, 30 neutral, 52 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-112.84%
This Stock
vs
-13.29%
Sector Avg
+749.2% (Excellent)
Debt to Equity
0.27
This Stock
vs
0.86
Sector Avg
-69.1% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-67.2%
This Stock
vs
43.87%
Sector Avg
-253.2% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.83
This Stock
vs
7.0
Sector Avg
-59.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

PLAVAN MATTHEW T
Chief Operating Officer
Sell
2026-01-16
12,000 shares · $2,393
ROGERSON CRAIG A
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
33,560 shares · $7,105
TRIPENY R TONY
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
25,815 shares · $5,465
HICKOX JOHN
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
38,723 shares · $8,198
BISSELL JOHN
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-29
50,000 shares · $10,190
LEE JOSHUA C
General Counsel
Sell
2025-12-29
64,000 shares · $13,522
PLAVAN MATTHEW T
Chief Operating Officer
Sell
2025-12-26
40,000 shares · $8,384
BISSELL JOHN
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-19
45,000 shares · $12,078
LEE JOSHUA C
General Counsel
Sell
2025-12-16
18,200 shares · $6,572
BISSELL JOHN
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2025-11-18
200,000 shares
PLAVAN MATTHEW T
Chief Operating Officer
Sell
2025-11-03
150,000 shares · $82,500
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ORGN from our newsroom.

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