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PPHC

BEARISH
$13.86 Live
Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $17.0 (+22.7%)
$11.25 52W Range $14.5

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 18, 2026
Market cap
$408.18M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-50.0%
Profit margin
-20.9%
Debt/Equity
0.91
Dividend yield
1.73%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
PPHC exhibits a critical disconnect between strong top-line growth and fundamental financial health, evidenced by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9. While the company boasts a 27.6% revenue CAGR and a low PEG ratio of 0.70, persistent GAAP net losses and negative ROE (-49.95%) undermine the quality of its growth. The combination of bearish insider sentiment, a failing technical trend (10/100), and a lack of earnings beats suggests the market is discounting the risk of its unsustainable loss profile. Despite positive Adjusted EBITDA, the company's inability to translate scale into net profitability remains a primary concern.

Key Strengths

Strong historical revenue CAGR of 27.6% (2018-2025)
Attractive PEG ratio of 0.70 suggesting growth is undervalued relative to forward earnings
Positive Adjusted EBITDA trend since 2022
Successful diversification of client base (Top 10 clients reduced to 9.2% of revenue)
Low Forward P/E of 10.48 compared to sector averages

Key Risks

Persistent net losses and negative profit margins (-20.91%)
Weak financial health indicated by Piotroski F-Score of 3/9
Severe negative Return on Equity (ROE) of -49.95%
Bearish insider activity with $1.23M in net sales
Unsustainable dividend payout given the lack of net income
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$12.5
-9.8% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
43
Moderate
Value
50
Future
70
Past
45
Health
20
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth with Poor Fundamentals
Key drivers: Revenue Growth, Piotroski F-Score, Net Profitability, Insider Selling
Confidence
90%
Value
50/100

Trades at a low forward multiple, but lacks a Graham Number due to negative earnings.

Positives
  • Low Forward P/E (10.48)
  • Low PEG (0.70)
Watchpoints
  • High Price/Book (4.66)
  • Negative Profit Margins
Future
70/100

Strong top-line trajectory but questionable bottom-line execution.

Positives
  • Consistent 27%+ YoY revenue growth
  • Expanding service capabilities
Watchpoints
  • Failure to convert revenue growth into net profit
Past
45/100

Historical trend shows growth in size but not in profitability.

Positives
  • Successful scaling from $33.8M to $186.5M revenue
Watchpoints
  • History of persistent net losses since 2018
Health
20/100

Deterministic health scores are significantly below stable thresholds.

Positives
  • Debt/Equity (0.91) is lower than sector average
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9 (Weak)
  • Negative ROE and ROA
Dividend
30/100

Dividend is likely unsustainable if net losses persist.

Positives
  • Current yield of 1.73%
Watchpoints
  • Paid from cash/debt rather than earnings (0% payout ratio on negative income)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$13.86
Analyst Target
$17.0
Upside/Downside
+22.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for PPHC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-17
PPH
Public Policy Holding Company, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+22.9%
3Y
+22.9%
1Y
+22.9%
6M
+22.9%
1M
+3.0%
1W
+3.1%
ELV
Electrovaya Inc.
Peer
5Y
+11.1%
3Y
+110.7%
1Y
+255.7%
6M
+23.8%
1M
+4.5%
1W
-0.2%
CMC
Columbus McKinnon Corporation
Peer
5Y
-72.4%
3Y
-58.4%
1Y
+1.5%
6M
-5.0%
1M
-16.7%
1W
-4.4%
CIG
Concorde International Group Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-56.2%
3Y
-56.2%
1Y
-56.2%
6M
-39.5%
1M
+3.5%
1W
-1.7%
ADU
Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.
Peer
5Y
+146.5%
3Y
+146.5%
1Y
+159.7%
6M
-34.9%
1M
-1.4%
1W
+4.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
10.48
PEG Ratio
0.7
P/B Ratio
4.66
P/S Ratio
2.19
EV/Revenue
2.41
EV/EBITDA
-35.69
Market Cap
$408.18M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -20.91%
Operating Margin -14.98%
Gross Margin 10.0%
ROE -49.95%
ROA -6.24%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +27.8%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.91
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.11
Good
Quick Ratio
0.84
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.71

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
3.5%
Op. Margin
-15.0%
Net Margin
-30.5%
Total Assets
$0.2B
Liabilities
$0.1B
Equity
$0.1B
Debt/Equity
1.70x
Operating CF
$0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
101%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-15
$N/A
2026-03-23
$0.42
-2.3% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing PPHC against 289 companies in the Industrials sector (21 bullish, 100 neutral, 168 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-49.95%
This Stock
vs
-20.72%
Sector Avg
+141.1% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-20.91%
This Stock
vs
11.3%
Sector Avg
-285.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.91
This Stock
vs
3.04
Sector Avg
-69.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
27.8%
This Stock
vs
107.52%
Sector Avg
-74.1% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.11
This Stock
vs
3.14
Sector Avg
-64.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Forbes (Jeffrey)
Stock Award
2026-01-29
9,330,127 shares
Green (Johnson McCallum)
Sell
2026-01-29
61,016 shares · $747,446
O'Neill (Thomas)
Stock Award
2026-01-29
3,115,669 shares
Smith (Erik)
Stock Award
2026-01-29
3,128,793 shares
Tate (Daniel)
Stock Award
2026-01-29
6,430,341 shares
Williams (Zachary Wayne)
Sell
2026-01-29
39,032 shares · $478,142
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-17

PPHC filed a definitive proxy statement on April 17, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for an upcoming meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-03-31

PPHC demonstrated strong growth, with revenue increasing from $33.8 million in 2018 to $186.5 million in 2025, representing a 27.6% CAGR. While the company has achieved positive Adjusted EBITDA since 2022 and successfully diversified its client base, it continues to report persistent net losses.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-27

PPHC filed an 8-K on March 27, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results for the preceding fiscal year.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-23
8-K
8-K
2026-03-02

PPHC filed an 8-K on March 2, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-02

PPHC filed an 8-K on February 2, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

S-1/A
S-1/A
2026-01-23

PPHC filed an amended registration statement (Form S-1/A) on January 23, 2026, in connection with its proposed initial public offering.

S-1/A
S-1/A
2026-01-20

PPHC filed an amended registration statement (Form S-1/A) on January 20, 2026, in connection with its proposed initial public offering.

S-1/A
S-1/A
2026-01-09

PPHC filed an amended registration statement (Form S-1/A) on January 9, 2026, in connection with its proposed initial public offering.

S-1/A
S-1/A
2025-11-12

PPHC filed an amended registration statement (Form S-1/A) on November 12, 2025, in connection with its proposed initial public offering.

S-1/A
S-1/A
2025-10-21
S-1
S-1
2025-10-10
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
2 analysts
Canaccord Genuity
2026-03-24
Maintains
Buy Buy
Oppenheimer
2026-02-23
init
Outperform
Canaccord Genuity
2026-02-23
init
Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning PPHC from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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