QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated - Fundamental Analysis
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QCOM Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Technology
Semiconductors
Current Price
Live
$159.42
Analyst Target
$191.35
+20.0%
Upside
52W High
$205.95
52W Low
$120.8
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$172.01B
P/E
31.88
ROE
23.3%
Profit margin
12.5%
Debt/Equity
0.74
Dividend yield
2.21%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
QUALCOMM's deterministic health score is concerning with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite solid profitability metrics—ROE of 23.34%, gross margin of 55.43%, and strong earnings surprises—the stock trades at a premium valuation (P/E 31.88 vs. sector avg 111.05) with weak technical momentum and negative insider sentiment. Revenue growth of 10% and solid cash generation are offset by bearish insider selling and a declining short-term price trend. The analyst consensus of 'buy' and a target price of $191.35 suggest upside, but near-term risks limit conviction.
Key Strengths
Strong historical earnings performance with 22 out of 25 quarters beating estimates and an average surprise of 4.25%
High profitability: ROE of 23.34%, ROA of 14.71%, and gross margin of 55.43% reflect pricing power and efficient operations
Solid balance sheet with a current ratio of 2.82 and quick ratio of 1.58, indicating strong liquidity
Attractive dividend yield of 2.21% with a sustainable payout ratio of 69.46%
Forward P/E of 12.92 suggests reasonable valuation for future earnings, despite high current P/E
Key Risks
Low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals suboptimal financial health, particularly in profitability and leverage trends
Bearish insider sentiment: $6.89M in insider sales over the last 6 months with no buys, indicating lack of confidence from executives
Weak technical trend (0/100) and recent price decline: -10.3% in 1 week and -7.5% in 1 month suggest strong downward momentum
Current P/E of 31.88 is high relative to intrinsic value estimates ($35.0) and Graham number ($47.13), indicating significant premium
Missing key financial data (EV, debt, cash, ROIC, FCF) limits confidence in full financial health and valuation accuracy
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$175.0
+9.8% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
63
Strong
48
68
76
52
70
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside potential if execution improves
Key drivers: Strong earnings track record, Premium valuation, Bearish insider activity, Solid dividend profile, Low Piotroski score
Confidence
75%
Value
48/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 12.92 is reasonable
- Dividend yield above market average
Watchpoints
- Current P/E of 31.88 is elevated
- Price significantly above Graham Number ($47.13) and intrinsic value ($35.0)
- Price-to-book of 8.07 is high
Future
68/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 10% YoY revenue growth
- 11.5% YoY EPS growth
- 23.5% Q/Q EPS growth
- Forward P/E suggests earnings expansion priced in
Watchpoints
- Missing PEG ratio limits growth-adjusted valuation insight
- Revenue growth below sector average of 19.33%
Past
76/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 22 out of 25 quarters beat EPS estimates
- Consistent positive earnings surprises averaging 4.25%
- Long-term earnings progression shows resilience
Watchpoints
- Recent Q/Q revenue growth missing
- One earnings miss in last 4 quarters
Health
52/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio of 2.82 and quick ratio of 1.58 indicate strong liquidity
- Debt/Equity of 0.74 is manageable and below sector average of 0.79
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Altman Z-Score not available, creating uncertainty in bankruptcy risk
- Missing ROIC and cash flow data limits leverage and efficiency analysis
Dividend
70/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 2.21% is attractive in current rate environment
- Payout ratio of 69.46% is sustainable for a mature tech firm
- Dividend strength score of 50/100 indicates moderate reliability
Watchpoints
- No 5-year average yield data to assess consistency
- No ex-dividend date provided, limiting timing clarity
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$159.42
Analyst Target
$191.35
Upside/Downside
+20.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for QCOM and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-16
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
Primary
|
+8.4% | +41.9% | +1.0% | +4.1% | -7.5% | -10.3% |
|
ANET
Arista Networks, Inc.
Peer
|
+609.0% | +347.9% | +5.6% | +19.3% | +4.3% | +5.0% |
|
TXN
Texas Instruments Incorporated
Peer
|
+26.8% | +19.6% | +5.6% | -10.1% | +9.8% | +0.7% |
|
ACN
Accenture plc
Peer
|
+19.4% | +6.6% | -21.9% | -0.7% | +4.1% | -1.8% |
|
APH
Amphenol Corporation
Peer
|
+376.2% | +290.2% | +93.7% | +44.2% | +9.5% | -2.2% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
31.88
Forward P/E
12.92
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
8.07
P/S Ratio
3.88
EV/Revenue
3.98
EV/EBITDA
12.59
Market Cap
$172.01B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
12.51%
Operating Margin
26.24%
Gross Margin
55.43%
ROE
23.34%
ROA
14.71%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+10.0%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.74
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.82
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.58
Excellent
Cash/Share
$9.48
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-04
$N/A
2025-11-05
$3.0
+4.3% surprise
2025-07-30
$2.43
+7.2% surprise
2025-04-30
$2.85
+1.2% surprise
Technology Sector Comparison
Comparing QCOM against 149 companies in the Technology sector
(10 bullish, 66 neutral, 73 bearish)
P/E Ratio
31.88
This Stock
vs
90.97
Sector Avg
-64.9%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
23.34%
This Stock
vs
-8.13%
Sector Avg
-387.1%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
12.51%
This Stock
vs
-7.75%
Sector Avg
-261.3%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.74
This Stock
vs
0.76
Sector Avg
-3.5%
(Lower)
Revenue Growth
10.0%
This Stock
vs
56.87%
Sector Avg
-82.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.82
This Stock
vs
3.33
Sector Avg
-15.5%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
|
NEUTRAL | $172.01B | 31.88 | 23.3% | 12.5% | $159.42 | |
|
ANET
Arista Networks, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $171.69B | 52.64 | 31.7% | 39.7% | $136.34 | |
|
TXN
Texas Instruments Incorporated
|
NEUTRAL | $174.17B | 34.96 | 29.8% | 29.2% | $191.58 | |
|
ACN
Accenture plc
|
NEUTRAL | $174.3B | 23.58 | 25.0% | 10.8% | $281.07 | |
|
APH
Amphenol Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $184.82B | 50.84 | 34.8% | 18.2% | $150.99 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | PALKHIWALA AKASH J | Chief Operating Officer | Sale | 3,333 | $577,620 |
| 2025-12-31 | MCLAUGHLIN MARK D | Director | Stock Award | 401 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | TRICOIRE JEAN-PASCAL | Director | Stock Award | 197 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | YOUNG CHRISTOPHER DAVID | Director | Stock Award | 168 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | SMIT NEIL | Director | Stock Award | 168 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | TRICOIRE JEAN-PASCAL | Director | Stock Award | 2,130 | - |
| 2025-12-19 | PALKHIWALA AKASH J | Chief Operating Officer | Sale | 12,538 | $2,197,736 |
| 2025-12-16 | CHAPLIN ANN C | General Counsel | Sale | 7,180 | $1,278,238 |
| 2025-12-16 | ROGERS ALEXANDER H | Officer | Sale | 15,917 | $2,833,331 |
| 2025-12-15 | PALKHIWALA AKASH J | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 24,576 | - |
| 2025-12-15 | CHAPLIN ANN C | General Counsel | Stock Award | 14,899 | - |
| 2025-12-15 | ACE HEATHER S | Officer | Stock Award | 11,407 | - |
| 2025-12-15 | ROGERS ALEXANDER H | Officer | Stock Award | 21,051 | - |
| 2025-12-15 | AMON CRISTIANO RENNO | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 70,203 | - |
| 2025-12-15 | AMON CRISTIANO RENNO | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 44,383 | - |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
26 analysts
RBC Capital
2026-01-15
Sector Perform
Mizuho
2026-01-09
Outperform
Neutral
UBS
2025-11-06
Neutral
Neutral
Wells Fargo
2025-11-06
Underweight
Underweight
Piper Sandler
2025-11-06
Overweight
Overweight
Mizuho
2025-11-06
Outperform
Outperform
Rosenblatt
2025-11-06
Buy
Buy
B of A Securities
2025-11-06
Buy
Buy
JP Morgan
2025-11-04
Overweight
Overweight
Citigroup
2025-10-28
Neutral
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning QCOM from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.