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RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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RIVN Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Consumer Cyclical Auto Manufacturers
Current Price Live
$16.67
Analyst Target
$16.96
+1.7% Upside
52W High
$22.69
52W Low
$10.36

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Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating significant operational and profitability concerns. Despite strong year-over-year revenue growth of 78.30% and improving earnings trends, the company remains deeply unprofitable with negative margins across all key metrics, including a -63.09% operating margin and -64.92% ROE. Valuation multiples like Price/Book of 4.03 and Price/Sales of 3.50 appear high given the lack of earnings and cash flow, while insider selling activity totaling $3.57M over the past six months signals management skepticism. Although the current ratio of 2.71 provides short-term liquidity comfort, the absence of Altman Z-Score and intrinsic value calculations, combined with deteriorating technical trends and analyst hold consensus, suggests elevated risk.

Key Strengths

Exceptional year-over-year revenue growth of 78.30%, significantly outpacing sector average of 12.82%
Improving earnings trajectory with most recent YoY EPS growth of +34.3% and Q/Q growth of +18.8%
Strong liquidity position with current ratio of 2.71 and quick ratio of 2.13, indicating solid short-term solvency
Beat earnings estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters with an average surprise of +9.3% over the last four
Trading near 52-week high of $22.69 with a 1-year return of +15.4%, showing relative resilience

Key Risks

Critically low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, signaling severe financial distress and weak fundamentals
Deeply negative profitability metrics: -61.34% profit margin, -63.09% operating margin, and -14.47% ROA
Negative Forward P/E of -6.87 indicates no near-term path to profitability and unreliable earnings expectations
Insiders have been aggressively selling, with $3.57M in net sell transactions over the last 6 months, including top executives
Technical trend score of 0/100 and recent 1-week price drop of -13.3% suggest deteriorating market sentiment

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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