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SEAT

BEARISH
$8.04 Live
Vivid Seats Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $9.58 (+19.2%)
$5.06 52W Range $60.2

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 19, 2026
Market cap
$86.56M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-272.8%
Profit margin
-75.2%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
95%
Vivid Seats Inc. exhibits severe financial distress, highlighted by a critical Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 and a negative Price-to-Book ratio of -1.02, indicating negative shareholder equity. The company is facing a liquidity crisis with a current ratio of 0.59 and catastrophic profitability metrics, including an ROE of -272.82%. Despite a recent short-term price bounce, the fundamental trajectory is sharply negative with revenue contracting by 36.5% YoY. The combination of shrinking top-line growth and a depleted balance sheet suggests a high risk of insolvency or significant dilution.

Key Strengths

Strong Gross Margin (69.61%) indicating a viable core product offering
Recent short-term price momentum (1W +32.7%)
Analyst target price ($9.58) remains slightly above current market price
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.15) suggesting the market has already priced in significant failure
Positive Q/Q EPS growth (+11.7%) though from a deeply negative base

Key Risks

Negative Equity: P/B of -1.02 indicates liabilities exceed assets
Liquidity Risk: Current ratio of 0.59 suggests inability to cover short-term obligations
Revenue Collapse: YoY revenue growth of -36.50% indicates a failing business model
Extreme Profitability Loss: Profit margin of -75.21% and ROE of -272.82%
Insider Selling: Net bearish activity from corporate officers

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
7
Weak
Value
10
Future
5
Past
15
Health
5
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Distressed Asset
Key drivers: Negative Book Value, Piotroski F-Score 1/9, Severe Revenue Contraction, Liquidity Crisis
Confidence
90%
Value
10/100

P/B -1.02, Forward P/E -2.33

Positives
  • Very low P/S ratio
Watchpoints
  • Negative P/B ratio
  • Negative Forward P/E
  • No Graham Number available due to negative earnings
Future
5/100

Revenue and Earnings growth are both in steep decline

Positives
  • Recent 1-month price recovery
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth -36.50% YoY
  • Earnings growth -122.2% YoY
Past
15/100

Long-term value destruction is nearly total

Positives
  • Historical periods of EPS beats (2022-2024)
Watchpoints
  • 5-Year price change of -96.9%
  • 1-Year price change of -82.6%
Health
5/100

F-Score indicates extreme weakness; liquidity ratios suggest imminent distress

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
  • Current Ratio 0.59
  • Quick Ratio 0.44
Dividend
0/100

Dividend Yield N/A

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • No capacity for dividends given losses

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$8.04
Analyst Target
$9.58
Upside/Downside
+19.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for SEAT and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-17
SEA
Vivid Seats Inc.
Primary
5Y
-96.9%
3Y
-94.6%
1Y
-82.6%
6M
-24.9%
1M
+26.4%
1W
+32.7%
MRD
Meridian Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
-91.9%
3Y
-73.0%
1Y
-70.8%
6M
-42.9%
1M
-30.0%
1W
+0.1%
NIP
NIP Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
-92.0%
3Y
-92.0%
1Y
-57.7%
6M
-55.0%
1M
-5.3%
1W
+2.4%
BOD
The Beachbody Company, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-97.7%
3Y
-53.2%
1Y
+46.0%
6M
+93.5%
1M
+50.8%
1W
-0.8%
FLN
Fluent, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-87.1%
3Y
-28.9%
1Y
+41.5%
6M
+31.2%
1M
-10.0%
1W
-8.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-2.33
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-1.02
P/S Ratio
0.15
EV/Revenue
0.68
EV/EBITDA
-54.9
Market Cap
$86.56M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -75.21%
Operating Margin -14.24%
Gross Margin 69.61%
ROE -272.82%
ROA -3.11%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -36.5%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -36.53%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
0.59
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.44
Poor
Cash/Share
$9.54

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
66.8%
Op. Margin
-14.2%
Net Margin
-217.0%
Total Assets
$0.6B
Liabilities
$0.7B
Equity
$-0.1B
Debt/Equity
-8.48x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
108%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-03-12
$-1.43
+18.2% surprise
2025-11-06
$-1.62
-10.3% surprise
2025-08-05
$-12.29
-1687.4% surprise

Communication Services Sector Comparison

Comparing SEAT against 137 companies in the Communication Services sector (13 bullish, 39 neutral, 85 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-272.82%
This Stock
vs
-25.02%
Sector Avg
+990.2% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-75.21%
This Stock
vs
-2.03%
Sector Avg
+3602.1% (Superior)
Revenue Growth
-36.5%
This Stock
vs
757.26%
Sector Avg
-104.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.59
This Stock
vs
2.43
Sector Avg
-75.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

THOMAS JOSEPH
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
19,113 shares
ARNETT AUSTIN
General Counsel
Sell
2026-03-12
247 shares · $1,255
PICKUS EDWARD
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-11
15,543 shares
LANGENBACHER STEFANO
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-11
57,836 shares
ARNETT AUSTIN
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-11
3,930 shares
FEY LAWRENCE C. IV
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-11
111,337 shares
ARNETT AUSTIN
General Counsel
Sell
2026-02-13
12 shares · $82
LANGENBACHER STEFANO
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-12
592 shares
ARNETT AUSTIN
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-12
30 shares
FEY LAWRENCE C. IV
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-12
1,854 shares
ARNETT AUSTIN
General Counsel
Sell
2025-12-12
22 shares · $166
PICKUS EDWARD
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-11
1,011 shares
LANGENBACHER STEFANO
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-11
1,817 shares
ARNETT AUSTIN
General Counsel
Stock Award
2025-12-11
67 shares
FEY LAWRENCE C. IV
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-11
5,229 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-03-12
10-K
10-K
2026-03-12

SEAT filed its annual 10-K report on March 12, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial metrics or detailed risk disclosures for analysis.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-20
8-K
8-K
2025-12-30

SEAT filed an 8-K on December 30, 2025, likely reporting year-end financial results or a material corporate update.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-06

SEAT filed its 10-Q on November 6, 2025. The provided excerpt references Item 1A regarding risk factors but contains no specific financial highlights or detailed risk disclosures.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-06

SEAT filed an 8-K on November 6, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K/A
8-K/A
2025-10-23

SEAT filed an amendment to a previously submitted current report on October 23, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-20

SEAT filed an 8-K on October 20, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-05

SEAT filed its 10-Q on August 5, 2025. While the filing includes a section for Risk Factors under Item 1A, no specific financial highlights or detailed risk disclosures were provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-05

SEAT filed a current report on August 5, 2025, likely announcing its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-07-25
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-07-11
8-K
8-K
2025-06-09
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-06
8-K
8-K
2025-05-06
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
8 analysts
Canaccord Genuity
2026-03-13
Maintains
Hold Hold
Craig-Hallum
2026-03-13
up
Hold Buy
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-13
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
RBC Capital
2026-03-13
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
Benchmark
2026-03-13
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2025-12-15
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Citigroup
2025-11-17
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Canaccord Genuity
2025-11-07
Maintains
Hold Hold
RBC Capital
2025-11-07
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
Benchmark
2025-11-07
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning SEAT from our newsroom.

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