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SGA

BEARISH
$11.95 Live
Saga Communications, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $18.0 (+50.6%)
$10.68 52W Range $14.27

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 19, 2026
Market cap
$76.15M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-4.8%
Profit margin
-7.4%
Debt/Equity
0.06
Dividend yield
8.37%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
90%
Saga Communications exhibits severe fundamental deterioration, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9. While the company maintains a very low debt-to-equity ratio (0.06) and trades at a significant discount to book value (P/B 0.47), these are offset by collapsing earnings and negative revenue growth (-15.6% YoY). The current dividend yield of 8.37% is mathematically unsustainable with a payout ratio of 2000%, signaling an imminent dividend cut. The combination of a bearish technical trend and massive earnings misses suggests a 'value trap' scenario.

Key Strengths

Extremely low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.06)
Deeply undervalued relative to book value (P/B 0.47)
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.71)
Strong operating margin (41.00%)
High current dividend yield (8.37%)

Key Risks

Severe earnings collapse (YoY EPS growth -635%)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (2000%)
Negative revenue growth trend (-15.6% YoY and Q/Q)
Weak financial health baseline (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Significant earnings misses (Average surprise -972.79% over last 4 quarters)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$10.5
-12.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
25
Weak
Value
50
Future
10
Past
20
Health
30
Dividend
15
AI Verdict
Value Trap
Key drivers: Earnings collapse, Unsustainable dividend, Negative revenue growth, Low Piotroski score
Confidence
85%
Value
50/100

Trades at a deep discount to assets, but earnings power is vanishing.

Positives
  • P/B of 0.47
  • P/S of 0.71
Watchpoints
  • High PEG ratio (4.31)
  • Forward P/E (24.90) is high relative to negative growth
Future
10/100

Growth metrics are sharply negative across both YoY and Q/Q timeframes.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth -15.60%
  • EPS growth -635%
Past
20/100

Long-term trend shows a transition from stable earnings to severe volatility and decline.

Positives
  • Historical ability to beat estimates in 2012-2014
Watchpoints
  • Recent 4-quarter streak of missing estimates
  • Massive negative earnings surprises
Health
30/100

Balance sheet is clean (low debt), but operational health is failing.

Positives
  • Very low Debt/Equity (0.06)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
  • Negative ROE (-4.82%)
Dividend
15/100

Dividend is being paid out of capital or cash reserves rather than earnings.

Positives
  • High nominal yield (8.37%)
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 2000% is unsustainable

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$11.95
Analyst Target
$18.0
Upside/Downside
+50.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for SGA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-17
SGA
Saga Communications, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-12.0%
3Y
-30.8%
1Y
+13.1%
6M
+0.9%
1M
+6.8%
1W
+1.4%
GCL
GCL Global Holdings Ltd
Peer
5Y
-94.1%
3Y
-94.3%
1Y
-70.5%
6M
-77.1%
1M
-24.9%
1W
-2.7%
BOD
The Beachbody Company, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-97.7%
3Y
-53.2%
1Y
+46.0%
6M
+93.5%
1M
+50.8%
1W
-0.8%
GAI
Gaia, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-74.5%
3Y
-14.6%
1Y
-19.3%
6M
-55.8%
1M
-9.8%
1W
+7.8%
NIP
NIP Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
-92.0%
3Y
-92.0%
1Y
-57.7%
6M
-55.0%
1M
-5.3%
1W
+2.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
24.9
PEG Ratio
4.31
P/B Ratio
0.47
P/S Ratio
0.71
EV/Revenue
0.57
EV/EBITDA
4.2
Market Cap
$76.15M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -7.38%
Operating Margin 41.0%
Gross Margin 14.31%
ROE -4.82%
ROA N/A

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -15.6%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -15.58%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.06
Low debt
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$4.08

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
13.5%
Op. Margin
41.0%
Net Margin
-26.1%
Total Assets
$0.2B
Liabilities
$0.0B
Equity
$0.2B
Debt/Equity
0.33x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
2550%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-03-12
$-1.07
-2775.0% surprise
2025-11-06
$-0.08
-138.1% surprise
2025-08-07
$0.18
-5.3% surprise

Communication Services Sector Comparison

Comparing SGA against 137 companies in the Communication Services sector (13 bullish, 39 neutral, 85 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-4.82%
This Stock
vs
-25.02%
Sector Avg
-80.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-7.38%
This Stock
vs
-2.03%
Sector Avg
+263.0% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.06
This Stock
vs
1.33
Sector Avg
-95.2% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-15.6%
This Stock
vs
757.26%
Sector Avg
-102.1% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

EDWARD K. CHRISTIAN TRUST
Trustee
Sell
2026-02-25
5,665 shares · $68,350
BUSH SAMUEL D
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-10
10,319 shares
BOBINSKI CATHERINE A
Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-10
6,292 shares
LADA WARREN S
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-10
4,446 shares
LELAND WAYNE P
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-10
8,054 shares
BROWN CLARKE ROGER JR
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-10
4,446 shares
CLARKE TIMOTHY J
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-10
4,446 shares
FORGY CHRISTOPHER
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-10
30,412 shares
COPPEDGE ROY F III
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-10
4,446 shares
SCHECHTER MICHAEL W
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-10
4,446 shares
SCAFIDI MICHAEL
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-10
2,960 shares
SUTHERLAND GREGORY DAVID
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-10
1,112 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-15

SGA filed an 8-K on April 15, 2026, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-04-14

SGA filed its annual 10-K on April 14, 2026, including sections on business operations, risk factors, and management's discussion and analysis. Specific financial highlights and detailed risk disclosures were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-12

SGA filed a current report on Form 8-K, likely announcing its annual financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-13

SGA filed an 8-K on February 13, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-12

SGA filed an 8-K on February 12, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results for the preceding fiscal year.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-15
8-K
8-K
2025-11-13

SGA filed an 8-K on November 13, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-07

SGA intends to fund its contractual cash obligations through operational cash flow, additional borrowings under its Credit Facility, or a combination of both. While inflation has not had a significant impact to date, the company is beginning to experience rising costs for goods and services. There is a risk that sustained high inflation could adversely affect future operations.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-06

SGA filed an 8-K on November 6, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-20

SGA filed an 8-K on October 20, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-01
8-K
8-K
2025-08-13
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-08
8-K
8-K
2025-08-07
8-K
8-K
2025-06-20
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning SGA from our newsroom.

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