SIRI Sirius XM Holdings Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
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SIRI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Communication Services
Entertainment
Current Price
Live
$20.45
Analyst Target
$24.0
+17.4%
Upside
52W High
$27.41
52W Low
$18.69
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$6.89B
P/E
5.02
ROE
8.9%
Profit margin
11.6%
Debt/Equity
0.89
Dividend yield
5.16%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
SIRI's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. The stock appears undervalued with a P/E of 5.02 and a Price/Book of 0.60, trading well below the Graham Number of $56.04, yet faces headwinds from negative revenue growth and weak technicals. Despite solid profitability metrics like a 23.25% operating margin and a 5.16% dividend yield, insider selling and inconsistent earnings surprises weigh on sentiment. Analysts concur with a 'hold' rating and a $24.00 target, implying modest upside but limited catalysts near term.
Key Strengths
Attractive valuation with P/E of 5.02 well below sector average of 21.98
High dividend yield of 5.16% with a sustainable 26.51% payout ratio
Strong operating margin of 23.25% and gross margin of 47.05%
Significant historical EPS growth: +109.6% YoY and +47.4% QoQ
Trading at a large discount to Graham Number ($56.04 vs. current $20.45)
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4 suggests below-average financial strength and stability
Negative revenue growth of -0.60% YoY indicates stagnation or decline in core business
Critically low liquidity with Current Ratio of 0.31 and Quick Ratio of 0.23
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and weak price momentum across all timeframes
Insider selling activity in the last 6 months signals lack of confidence
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$35.25
+72.4% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
59
Moderate
85
45
50
40
75
AI Verdict
Neutral with value appeal offset by operational and technical weaknesses
Key drivers: Low P/E and Price/Book suggest value, High dividend yield supports income appeal, Weak revenue growth and technical trend drag down momentum, Low Piotroski score reflects financial fragility, Insider selling adds caution
Confidence
75%
Value
85/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 5.02 is deeply discounted vs. sector average of 21.98
- Price/Book of 0.60 indicates asset undervaluation
- Current price $20.45 is 63.5% below Graham Number of $56.04
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Future
45/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Exceptional YoY EPS growth of +109.6% and QoQ of +47.4%
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth is negative at -0.60% YoY
- Forward P/E of 6.55 implies limited earnings expansion expectations
- No PEG ratio due to unreliable growth forecast or volatility
Past
50/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- History of strong earnings beats (e.g., +31.3%, +27.3% surprises)
- Long-term profitability with consistent positive margins
Watchpoints
- Recent earnings misses: -26.3% and catastrophic -1284.2% surprise
- 6-month price performance down 11%, 1-year down only 2.1% but from depressed base
Health
40/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Debt/Equity of 0.89 is manageable and below sector average of 1.22
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates borderline financial health
- Current Ratio of 0.31 and Quick Ratio of 0.23 signal severe short-term liquidity risk
- No Altman Z-Score available, increasing uncertainty
Dividend
75/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 5.16% is high and attractive in current rate environment
- Payout ratio of 26.51% is low, indicating strong coverage and sustainability
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength score of 55/100 suggests some uncertainty in long-term policy
- No 5-year average yield data to confirm consistency
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$20.45
Analyst Target
$24.0
Upside/Downside
+17.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for SIRI and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-16
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SIRI
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
Primary
|
-59.5% | -62.1% | -2.1% | -11.0% | -6.0% | -6.1% |
|
AD
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.
Peer
|
+103.5% | +199.9% | +9.2% | -7.1% | -11.0% | -17.1% |
|
ATHM
Autohome Inc.
Peer
|
-75.8% | -28.3% | -14.4% | -17.6% | -1.6% | +0.2% |
|
BATRA
Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+62.0% | +20.9% | +3.6% | -13.4% | +0.1% | -1.3% |
|
BATRK
Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+53.5% | +13.8% | +3.9% | -13.1% | +0.5% | -1.2% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
5.02
Forward P/E
6.55
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.6
P/S Ratio
0.81
EV/Revenue
2.0
EV/EBITDA
7.18
Market Cap
$6.89B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
11.61%
Operating Margin
23.25%
Gross Margin
47.05%
ROE
8.86%
ROA
4.23%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-0.6%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.89
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.31
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.23
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.23
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-05
$N/A
2025-10-30
$0.84
+7.9% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.57
-26.3% surprise
2025-05-01
$0.67
+1.9% surprise
Communication Services Sector Comparison
Comparing SIRI against 36 companies in the Communication Services sector
(0 bullish, 17 neutral, 19 bearish)
P/E Ratio
5.02
This Stock
vs
21.75
Sector Avg
-76.9%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.86%
This Stock
vs
-7.47%
Sector Avg
-218.6%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
11.61%
This Stock
vs
40.35%
Sector Avg
-71.2%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.89
This Stock
vs
1.12
Sector Avg
-20.2%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-0.6%
This Stock
vs
28.6%
Sector Avg
-102.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.31
This Stock
vs
2.2
Sector Avg
-85.8%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SIRI
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $6.89B | 5.02 | 8.9% | 11.6% | $20.45 | |
|
AD
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.14B | 28.19 | 5.3% | 0.4% | $47.92 | |
|
ATHM
Autohome Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.75B | 13.07 | 5.8% | 24.2% | $23.14 | |
|
BATRA
Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.69B | - | -0.2% | -0.1% | $42.71 | |
|
BATRK
Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.52B | - | -0.2% | -0.1% | $39.59 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | BAER RICHARD N | General Counsel | Stock Award | 1,768 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | RAPINO MICHAEL JAMES | Director | Stock Award | 98 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | ZASLAV DAVID M | Director | Stock Award | 98 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | BARRY THOMAS D | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 1,591 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | HARTENSTEIN EDDY W. | Director | Stock Award | 98 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | GREENSTEIN SCOTT ANDREW | President | Stock Award | 481 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | WITZ JENNIFER C | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 551 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | MAFFEI GREGORY B | Director | Stock Award | 98 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | SUD ANJALI | Director | Stock Award | 98 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | MALONE EVAN DANIEL | Director | Stock Award | 98 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | SALEN KRISTINA | Director | Stock Award | 98 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | PROCOPE JONELLE | Director | Stock Award | 98 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | STEPHENSON DAVID ELIOT | Director | Stock Award | 66 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | THORSEN WAYNE | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 1,748 | - |
| 2025-11-03 | SALEN KRISTINA | Director | Sale | 1,845 | $39,926 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
14 analysts
Rosenblatt
2025-12-01
Neutral
Neutral
Barrington Research
2025-11-03
Outperform
Outperform
JP Morgan
2025-10-31
Underweight
Underweight
Benchmark
2025-10-31
Buy
Buy
Rosenblatt
2025-08-04
Neutral
Neutral
Wells Fargo
2025-08-01
Underweight
Underweight
Barrington Research
2025-08-01
Outperform
Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning SIRI from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.