SMCI
BEARISH
$28.56
Live
Super Micro Computer, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $33.2
(+16.2%)
$19.48
52W Range
$62.36
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 20, 2026
Market cap
$17.15B
P/E
20.85
ROE
13.2%
Profit margin
3.1%
Debt/Equity
0.75
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
SMCI exhibits a critical divergence between explosive top-line growth and deteriorating fundamental health, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9. While the stock appears undervalued on a PEG (0.91) and Price/Sales (0.61) basis, the defensive Graham Number of $18.97 suggests the current price of $28.56 is unsupported by tangible assets and earnings stability. Severe margin compression is evident as revenue growth (123.4%) vastly outpaces earnings growth (19.2%), and a 0/100 technical trend combined with bearish insider activity signals a lack of confidence in the short-term recovery.
Key Strengths
Exceptional YoY revenue growth of 123.40%
Attractive Forward P/E of 9.56
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.61) relative to sector
PEG ratio below 1.0 indicating growth is not fully priced in
Strong historical 5-year price appreciation (+640.7%)
Key Risks
Weak financial health indicated by Piotroski F-Score of 3/9
Severe margin compression (Gross Margin only 8.02%)
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and significant 6-month price decline (-45.3%)
Earnings growth lagging significantly behind revenue growth
Bearish insider sentiment with net selling activity
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$24.7
-13.5% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
40
Moderate
65
70
45
20
0
AI Verdict
High-risk growth play with deteriorating fundamentals
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score, Margin Compression, Technical Momentum, Revenue Growth
Confidence
90%
Value
65/100
Trades at a growth premium but is defensively overvalued.
Positives
- Low P/S ratio
- Low PEG ratio
Watchpoints
- Price exceeds Graham Number ($18.97)
Future
70/100
Growth is massive, but quality of growth is low.
Positives
- Triple-digit revenue growth
- Strong Q/Q revenue momentum
Watchpoints
- Inability to scale profits proportionally to revenue
Past
45/100
Historical success is being erased by recent volatility.
Positives
- Long-term 5Y growth
Watchpoints
- Recent 6-month collapse (-45.3%)
- Poor recent earnings beat rate (1/4)
Health
20/100
Deterministic health scores indicate significant fundamental weakness.
Positives
- Current ratio above 1.5
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score 3/9 (Weak)
- Thin operating margins (3.74%)
Dividend
0/100
Non-dividend paying growth stock.
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid
- 0/100 strength score
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$28.56
Analyst Target
$33.2
Upside/Downside
+16.2%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for SMCI and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-17
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
Primary
|
+640.7% | +146.5% | -9.4% | -45.3% | -5.9% | +13.1% |
|
SSNC
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+5.9% | +30.3% | -4.3% | -8.9% | +0.8% | +7.2% |
|
PTC
PTC Inc.
Peer
|
-0.0% | +9.0% | -2.7% | -31.1% | -6.9% | +4.7% |
|
NXT
Nextpower Inc.
Peer
|
+261.5% | +222.2% | +171.4% | +18.3% | -6.8% | -5.4% |
|
NVMI
Nova Ltd.
Peer
|
+444.8% | +452.6% | +177.0% | +55.8% | +18.2% | +8.8% |
SMC
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+640.7%
3Y
+146.5%
1Y
-9.4%
6M
-45.3%
1M
-5.9%
1W
+13.1%
SSN
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+5.9%
3Y
+30.3%
1Y
-4.3%
6M
-8.9%
1M
+0.8%
1W
+7.2%
PTC
PTC Inc.
Peer
5Y
-0.0%
3Y
+9.0%
1Y
-2.7%
6M
-31.1%
1M
-6.9%
1W
+4.7%
NXT
Nextpower Inc.
Peer
5Y
+261.5%
3Y
+222.2%
1Y
+171.4%
6M
+18.3%
1M
-6.8%
1W
-5.4%
NVM
Nova Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+444.8%
3Y
+452.6%
1Y
+177.0%
6M
+55.8%
1M
+18.2%
1W
+8.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
20.85
Forward P/E
9.56
PEG Ratio
0.91
P/B Ratio
2.45
P/S Ratio
0.61
EV/Revenue
0.65
EV/EBITDA
16.65
Market Cap
$17.15B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
3.11%
Operating Margin
3.74%
Gross Margin
8.02%
ROE
13.19%
ROA
3.42%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+123.4%
Earnings Growth
+19.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+123.36%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+24.9%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.75
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.7
Good
Quick Ratio
0.98
Poor
Cash/Share
$6.86
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$12.7B
Gross Margin
6.3%
Op. Margin
3.7%
Net Margin
3.2%
Total Assets
$28.0B
Liabilities
$21.0B
Equity
$7.0B
Debt/Equity
3.00x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
189%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-02-03
$0.69
+41.4% surprise
2025-11-04
$0.35
-10.1% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.41
-6.6% surprise
Technology Sector Comparison
Comparing SMCI against 465 companies in the Technology sector
(38 bullish, 160 neutral, 267 bearish)
P/E Ratio
20.85
This Stock
vs
87.62
Sector Avg
-76.2%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
13.19%
This Stock
vs
-35.49%
Sector Avg
-137.2%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.11%
This Stock
vs
-12.71%
Sector Avg
-124.5%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.75
This Stock
vs
0.69
Sector Avg
+9.3%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
123.4%
This Stock
vs
5335.22%
Sector Avg
-97.7%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.7
This Stock
vs
3.85
Sector Avg
-55.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $17.15B | 20.85 | 13.2% | 3.1% | $28.56 | |
|
SSNC
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $17.41B | 22.89 | 11.8% | 12.7% | $72.11 | Compare |
|
PTC
PTC Inc.
|
BULLISH | $16.63B | 20.58 | 23.1% | 28.6% | $139.74 | Compare |
|
NXT
Nextpower Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $16.56B | 29.29 | 33.2% | 16.4% | $110.12 | Compare |
|
NVMI
Nova Ltd.
|
NEUTRAL | $16.45B | 64.52 | 23.1% | 29.4% | $517.43 | Compare |
SMCI
Super Micro...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$17.1B
P/E
20.8
ROE
13.2%
Price
$28.56
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | LIANG CHARLES | Chief Executive Officer | Option Exercise | 20,980 | $88,850 |
| 2026-02-27 | LIU LIANG CHIU-CHU SARA | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Option Exercise | 20,980 | $88,850 |
| 2026-02-17 | LIAW YIH SHYAN WALLY | Director | Stock Award | 3,400 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | CHEUNG KENNETH | Officer | Stock Award | 2,250 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | CLEGG DON W | Officer | Stock Award | 1,750 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | WEIGAND DAVID E | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 6,500 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | XIAO JIN | Officer | Stock Award | 4,000 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | LIANG CHARLES | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 3,650 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | LIU LIANG CHIU-CHU SARA | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Stock Award | 3,650 | - |
| 2026-02-10 | LIAW YIH SHYAN WALLY | Director | Stock Award | 9,598 | - |
| 2026-02-10 | CHEUNG KENNETH | Officer | Stock Award | 1,250 | - |
| 2026-02-10 | CLEGG DON W | Officer | Stock Award | 2,310 | - |
| 2026-02-10 | WEIGAND DAVID E | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 4,150 | - |
| 2026-02-10 | XIAO JIN | Officer | Stock Award | 1,970 | - |
| 2026-02-10 | LIANG CHARLES | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 2,110 | - |
LIANG CHARLES
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-27
20,980 shares
·
$88,850
LIU LIANG CHIU-CHU SARA
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2026-02-27
20,980 shares
·
$88,850
LIAW YIH SHYAN WALLY
Director
2026-02-17
3,400 shares
CHEUNG KENNETH
Officer
2026-02-17
2,250 shares
CLEGG DON W
Officer
2026-02-17
1,750 shares
WEIGAND DAVID E
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-17
6,500 shares
XIAO JIN
Officer
2026-02-17
4,000 shares
LIANG CHARLES
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-17
3,650 shares
LIU LIANG CHIU-CHU SARA
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2026-02-17
3,650 shares
LIAW YIH SHYAN WALLY
Director
2026-02-10
9,598 shares
CHEUNG KENNETH
Officer
2026-02-10
1,250 shares
CLEGG DON W
Officer
2026-02-10
2,310 shares
WEIGAND DAVID E
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-10
4,150 shares
XIAO JIN
Officer
2026-02-10
1,970 shares
LIANG CHARLES
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-10
2,110 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
DEF 14A
10-Q
8-K
8-K/A
10-Q
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning SMCI from our newsroom.
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