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SMSI

BEARISH
$0.71 Live
Smith Micro Software, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $2.5 (+251.6%)
$0.41 52W Range $1.3
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 20, 2026
Market cap
$18.32M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-99.2%
Profit margin
-168.9%
Debt/Equity
0.13
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
95%
SMSI exhibits critical financial distress, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, indicating severe fundamental weakness. The company is experiencing a systemic collapse in value, with a 5-year price decline of 98.4% and consistent revenue contraction of 20% YoY. Liquidity is a primary concern as the current ratio (0.74) and quick ratio (0.54) suggest an inability to meet short-term obligations. Despite a high gross margin, the massive negative operating and profit margins indicate an unsustainable business model.

Key Strengths

Strong Gross Margin (74.05%)
Low Debt-to-Equity ratio (0.13)
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (1.05)
Trading at Book Value (P/B 1.00)
Positive Forward P/E estimate (though unreliable given historical misses)

Key Risks

Severe liquidity crisis (Current Ratio < 1.0)
Consistent revenue decline (-20% YoY and Q/Q)
Extreme negative profitability (Profit Margin -168.91%)
Near-total loss of shareholder value over 5 years (-98.4%)
Bearish insider activity with CEO selling shares
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$0.5
-29.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
12
Weak
Value
30
Future
10
Past
5
Health
15
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Critical Failure
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score 1/9, Negative Revenue Growth, Liquidity Shortfall, Catastrophic Long-term Price Performance
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

While metrics like P/S look cheap, they are 'value traps' given the shrinking top line and negative margins.

Positives
  • Low P/S ratio
  • P/B at 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Negative earnings make P/E irrelevant
  • No Graham Number available due to lack of positive earnings
Future
10/100

Growth rates are negative across both YoY and Q/Q timeframes.

Positives
  • Optimistic analyst target price ($2.50)
Watchpoints
  • Revenue shrinking 20% YoY
  • Consistent earnings misses
Past
5/100

Historical trend is a near-complete wipeout of equity value.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • 5-year return of -98.4%
  • Consistent quarterly losses
Health
15/100

The company is functionally insolvent or approaching a liquidity crisis.

Positives
  • Low absolute debt
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
  • Current Ratio 0.74
  • ROE -99.17%
Dividend
0/100

Dividend strength is 0/100.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • No capacity to pay

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$0.71
Analyst Target
$2.5
Upside/Downside
+251.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for SMSI and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-17
SMS
Smith Micro Software, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-98.4%
3Y
-93.0%
1Y
-22.0%
6M
-2.7%
1M
-12.3%
1W
+1.4%
SEL
Semilux International Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-95.6%
3Y
-95.8%
1Y
-69.0%
6M
-52.5%
1M
-3.5%
1W
+6.7%
SAI
SAIHEAT Limited
Peer
5Y
-92.7%
3Y
-72.0%
1Y
+179.8%
6M
+26.8%
1M
+34.9%
1W
+0.5%
INT
Intrusion Inc.
Peer
5Y
-99.8%
3Y
-96.8%
1Y
-24.5%
6M
-54.0%
1M
-31.0%
1W
-8.1%
PDC
Perpetuals.com Ltd
Peer
5Y
-62.8%
3Y
-62.8%
1Y
+227.9%
6M
+31.4%
1M
+30.6%
1W
+32.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
3.56
PEG Ratio
1.25
P/B Ratio
1.0
P/S Ratio
1.05
EV/Revenue
1.1
EV/EBITDA
-1.38
Market Cap
$18.32M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -168.91%
Operating Margin -109.81%
Gross Margin 74.05%
ROE -99.17%
ROA -32.95%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -20.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -20.04%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.13
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.74
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.54
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.06

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
76.4%
Op. Margin
-109.8%
Net Margin
-114.6%
Total Assets
$0.0B
Liabilities
$0.0B
Equity
$0.0B
Debt/Equity
0.36x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
102%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-03-04
$-0.08
-14.3% surprise
2025-11-05
$-0.12
+7.7% surprise
2025-08-06
$-0.14
-7.7% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing SMSI against 465 companies in the Technology sector (38 bullish, 160 neutral, 267 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-99.17%
This Stock
vs
-35.49%
Sector Avg
+179.4% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-168.91%
This Stock
vs
-12.71%
Sector Avg
+1228.5% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.13
This Stock
vs
0.69
Sector Avg
-81.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-20.0%
This Stock
vs
5335.22%
Sector Avg
-100.4% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.74
This Stock
vs
3.85
Sector Avg
-80.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

SMSI Smith Micro...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$18M
P/E
-
ROE
-99.2%
Price
$0.71
SELX Semilux...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$19M
P/E
-
ROE
-86.6%
Price
$0.44
 Compare with SMSI
SAIH SAIHEAT Limited
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$20M
P/E
-
ROE
-50.2%
Price
$10.55
 Compare with SMSI
INTZ Intrusion Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$16M
P/E
-
ROE
-133.9%
Price
$0.8
 Compare with SMSI
PDC Perpetuals.com Ltd
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$20M
P/E
-
ROE
-126.8%
Price
$6.7
 Compare with SMSI

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BRAUND BETHANY M.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-31
20,000 shares
CAMPBELL THOMAS G
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-09
12,500 shares
GULKO SAMUEL
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-09
12,500 shares
ARNO ANDREW
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-09
12,500 shares
SZABO GREGORY J
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-09
12,500 shares
ELFMAN STEVEN LAWRENCE
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-09
12,500 shares
KEDDY ASHA
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-09
12,500 shares
SMITH WILLIAM W JR
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-11
75,294 shares · $44,600
SMITH WILLIAM W JR
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-09
119,049 shares
HUFFMYER TIMOTHY C
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-09
75,398 shares
SMITH WILLIAM W JR
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-07
2,236,136 shares · $1,500,000
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
FORM DEF 14A
2026-04-16

SMSI filed a definitive proxy statement on April 16, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on corporate matters at the upcoming annual meeting.

10-K
FORM 10-K
2026-03-05

SMSI filed its annual 10-K report on March 5, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial metrics or detailed risk disclosures for analysis.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-04
8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-05

SMSI filed an 8-K on February 5, 2026, likely to announce its fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-12-23
S-1
FORM S-1
2025-12-04

SMSI filed a Form S-1 on December 4, 2025, to register securities for a proposed public offering.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-11-10
10-Q
FORM 10-Q
2025-11-05

SMSI filed its Form 10-Q on November 5, 2025. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial highlights or detailed risk factor disclosures.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-11-05

SMSI filed an 8-K on November 5, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-10-17

SMSI filed an 8-K on October 17, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-10-02
DEF 14A
FORM DEF 14A
2025-09-22
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-09-17
S-1
FORM S-1
2025-08-07
10-Q
FORM 10-Q
2025-08-07
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning SMSI from our newsroom.

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