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TCPC

BEARISH
$4.34 Live
BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. · NASDAQ
Target $4.33 (-0.2%)
$3.43 52W Range $8.06

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 21, 2026
Market cap
$366.0M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-12.9%
Profit margin
-44.1%
Debt/Equity
1.73
Dividend yield
21.2%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
90%
TCPC exhibits severe financial deterioration, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a bearish technical trend of 0/100. While the stock trades at a significant discount to book value (P/B 0.61), this appears to be a value trap given the collapsing revenue (-28.30%) and EPS (-30.0%). Most critically, the 21.20% dividend yield is unsustainable, evidenced by a payout ratio of 377.78%, indicating the company is returning capital it is not earning. The combination of negative ROE and declining growth suggests a fundamental breakdown in the business model.

Key Strengths

Significant discount to book value (P/B 0.61)
Strong short-term liquidity (Current Ratio 6.66)
Low forward P/E ratio of 6.65
Consistent history of beating quarterly earnings estimates
High nominal dividend yield for income seekers

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (377.78%)
Severe revenue contraction (-28.30% YoY)
Deteriorating financial health (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Negative Return on Equity (-12.86%)
Long-term price erosion (5Y Change -41.7%)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.0
-7.8% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
26
Weak
Value
45
Future
20
Past
30
Health
20
Dividend
15
AI Verdict
High Risk / Value Trap
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score 2/9, Payout Ratio 377%, Negative Revenue Growth, Bearish Technicals
Confidence
95%
Value
45/100

Trades well below book value, but lacks the earnings growth to justify a re-rating.

Positives
  • P/B of 0.61
  • Forward P/E of 6.65
Watchpoints
  • Low P/B likely reflects asset impairment or poor quality of earnings
Future
20/100

Fundamental growth metrics are in a steep decline.

Positives
  • PEG ratio below 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth -28.30%
  • EPS growth -30.0%
Past
30/100

Long-term trend is decisively bearish.

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beats over 25 quarters
Watchpoints
  • 5-year price decline of 41.7%
  • 1-year price decline of 22.8%
Health
20/100

Piotroski score indicates weak financial health and deteriorating fundamentals.

Positives
  • High current ratio
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
  • Negative ROE
  • Debt/Equity 1.73
Dividend
15/100

Classic dividend trap; payout far exceeds earnings.

Positives
  • Extremely high yield (21.20%)
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio 377.78%
  • Dividend strength score 40/100

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$4.34
Analyst Target
$4.33
Upside/Downside
-0.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for TCPC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-20
TCP
BlackRock TCP Capital Corp.
Primary
5Y
-41.7%
3Y
-30.4%
1Y
-22.8%
6M
-16.0%
1M
+23.6%
1W
+10.7%
NEW
NewtekOne, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-29.9%
3Y
+15.5%
1Y
+32.7%
6M
+18.4%
1M
+7.5%
1W
+9.0%
FVA
Fortress Value Acquisition Corp. V
Peer
5Y
+0.2%
3Y
+0.2%
1Y
+0.2%
6M
+0.2%
1M
-0.1%
1W
+0.2%
TRO
TROOPS, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+74.4%
3Y
-33.9%
1Y
+432.7%
6M
+110.8%
1M
+16.3%
1W
+22.1%
OIM
Oneim Acquisition Corp.
Peer
5Y
-0.4%
3Y
-0.4%
1Y
-0.4%
6M
-0.4%
1M
-0.1%
1W
-0.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
6.65
PEG Ratio
0.91
P/B Ratio
0.61
P/S Ratio
1.81
EV/Revenue
6.64
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$366.0M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -44.07%
Operating Margin 86.17%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE -12.86%
ROA 6.15%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -28.3%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.73
High debt
Current Ratio
6.66
Strong
Quick Ratio
6.48
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.72

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$-0.1B
Net Margin
102.6%
Total Assets
$1.7B
Liabilities
$1.1B
Equity
$0.6B
Debt/Equity
1.76x
Operating CF
$0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-27
$0.28
+4.7% surprise
2025-11-06
$0.32
+6.7% surprise
2025-08-07
$0.32
+0.8% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing TCPC against 575 companies in the Financial Services sector (106 bullish, 236 neutral, 233 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-12.86%
This Stock
vs
-0.09%
Sector Avg
+13669.0% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-44.07%
This Stock
vs
48.12%
Sector Avg
-191.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.73
This Stock
vs
1.37
Sector Avg
+26.6% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
-28.3%
This Stock
vs
39.47%
Sector Avg
-171.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
6.66
This Stock
vs
3.63
Sector Avg
+83.5% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

WOLFE PATRICK
Chief Operating Officer
Buy
2026-03-13
8,925 shares · $32,535
WORRELL AUGUST DANIEL
Chief Investment Officer
Buy
2026-03-10
80,000 shares · $305,600
CUELLAR ERIK L.
Chief Financial Officer
Buy
2026-03-06
1,750 shares · $6,752
MEHRING JASON
President
Buy
2026-03-06
6,500 shares · $25,090
MEHRING JASON
President
Stock Award
2026-01-30
5,597 shares
WOLFE PATRICK
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-30
6,136 shares
WORRELL AUGUST DANIEL
Chief Investment Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-30
11,983 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-09

TCP Capital Corporation filed a definitive proxy statement on April 9, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the upcoming annual meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-27

TCP Capital Corporation filed an 8-K on February 27, 2026, likely to report its financial results for the quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-27

TCPC filed its annual 10-K on February 27, 2026, providing a comprehensive overview of its business operations and financial condition. The filing includes detailed management analysis of results and a dedicated section outlining the company's primary operational and financial risk factors.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-23

TCP Capital Corp filed an 8-K on January 23, 2026, likely to announce its fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-06

TCP Capital Corporation likely reported its third-quarter financial results and declared a dividend.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-06

TCP Capital Corp (TCPC) filed its 10-Q on November 6, 2025. While the filing includes a section dedicated to Risk Factors, specific financial highlights and detailed risk disclosures were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-07

TCP Capital Corporation filed an 8-K on August 7, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-07

TCP Capital Corporation (TCPC) filed its 10-Q on August 7, 2025. The filing includes a section on risk factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
BLACKROCK TCP CAPITAL CORP - 8-K (IXBRL)
2025-08-01

BlackRock TCP Capital Corp likely reported its second-quarter financial results in this 8-K filing.

8-K
BLACKROCK TCP CAPITAL CORP - 8-K
2025-07-16

BlackRock TCP Capital Corp filed an 8-K on July 16, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results and declare a dividend.

8-K
BLACKROCK TCP CAPITAL CORP - 8-K
2025-07-01
8-K
Z:\APPATURA-XBRL\01. EDGAR FILINGS\2025\06 JUNE\BLACKROCK\EFP-16460_BLACKR
2025-06-20
8-K
8-K
2025-05-22
8-K
8-K
2025-05-19
8-K
8-K
2025-05-08
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
UNDERPERFORM
3 analysts
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2026-03-03
down
Market Perform Underperform
Wells Fargo
2026-03-02
Maintains
Underweight Underweight
Wells Fargo
2025-11-10
Maintains
Underweight Underweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning TCPC from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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