WING

BEARISH

$186.74 Live

Wingstop Inc. · NASDAQ

Target $281.07 (+50.5%)

$142.24 52W Range $388.14

WING Wingstop Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH

Console Chart News

WING Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NASDAQ • Consumer Cyclical • Restaurants

Current Price Live

$186.74

Analyst Target

$281.07

+50.5% Upside

52W High

$388.14

52W Low

$142.24

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 24, 2026

Market cap

$5.13B

P/E

30.02

ROE

N/A

Profit margin

25.0%

Debt/Equity

N/A

Dividend yield

0.64%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

85%

Wingstop exhibits a significant divergence between fundamental health and market sentiment. The deterministic baseline is weak, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and a current price ($186.74) that trades at a massive premium to its growth-based intrinsic value of $87.25. While the company maintains exceptional profit margins and a strong history of earnings beats, the negative Price/Book ratio and slowing EPS growth suggest an overextended valuation. Despite 'Strong Buy' analyst ratings, the combination of bearish technicals, weak insider sentiment, and deteriorating financial health scores warrants a bearish outlook.

Key Strengths

Exceptional profit margins (25.01%) and gross margins (48.68%)

Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 3.26

Consistent track record of beating earnings estimates over 25 quarters

Positive revenue growth (8.60% YoY)

Strong analyst support with a high target price of $281.07

Key Risks

Severe overvaluation relative to intrinsic value ($87.25)

Weak financial health as indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9

Negative shareholders' equity (Price/Book of -6.97)

Slowing earnings momentum with recent Q/Q EPS growth of -11.9%

High PEG ratio (2.72) indicating price is outstripping growth

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$92.5

-50.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Moderate

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Overvalued Growth Play

Key drivers: High Profitability, Weak Deterministic Health Score, Extreme Valuation Premium, Bearish Technical Trend

Confidence

90%

Value

20/100

Ref P/E 30.02, PEG 2.72, Intrinsic Value $87.25

Positives

P/E is slightly below sector average

Watchpoints

Price is >100% above intrinsic value
PEG ratio of 2.72 is excessive
Negative Price/Book ratio

Future

55/100

Ref Growth rates and EPS progression

Positives

Steady revenue growth
Strong brand positioning in Consumer Cyclical sector

Watchpoints

Earnings growth (4.7%) lagging revenue growth (8.6%)
Recent Q/Q EPS contraction

Past

80/100

Ref Historical earnings track record

Positives

High frequency of earnings surprises
Long-term 5Y price appreciation (+36.2%)

Watchpoints

Recent 6-month price collapse (-27.8%)

Health

30/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 3/9

Positives

Strong current and quick ratios

Watchpoints

Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health
Negative equity base

Dividend

40/100

Ref Yield 0.64%, Payout 18.36%

Positives

Low payout ratio (18.36%) suggests sustainability

Watchpoints

Very low dividend yield (0.64%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$186.74

Analyst Target

$281.07

Upside/Downside

+50.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for WING and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-23

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
WING Wingstop Inc. Primary	+36.2%	-4.0%	-13.3%	-27.8%	+8.5%	+0.4%
GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. Peer	+19.4%	+1.8%	-15.6%	-12.5%	-11.0%	-2.4%
ATAT Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited Peer	+194.0%	+62.6%	+21.5%	-8.7%	-7.8%	+2.9%
GNTX Gentex Corporation Peer	-29.3%	-9.8%	+8.5%	-11.6%	+6.2%	+5.5%
BFAM Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. Peer	-38.4%	+19.7%	-20.7%	-18.8%	-7.2%	-2.9%

WIN

Wingstop Inc.

Primary

+36.2%

-4.0%

-13.3%

-27.8%

+8.5%

+0.4%

GLB

Global-E Online Ltd.

Peer

+19.4%

+1.8%

-15.6%

-12.5%

-11.0%

-2.4%

ATA

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited

Peer

+194.0%

+62.6%

+21.5%

-8.7%

-7.8%

+2.9%

GNT

Gentex Corporation

Peer

-29.3%

-9.8%

+8.5%

-11.6%

+6.2%

+5.5%

BFA

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.

Peer

-38.4%

+19.7%

-20.7%

-18.8%

-7.2%

-2.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

30.02

32.55

2.72

-6.97

7.37

8.91

28.57

$5.13B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 25.01%

Operating Margin 27.19%

Gross Margin 48.68%

ROE N/A

ROA 17.04%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +8.6%

Earnings Growth +4.7%

Q/Q Revenue Growth +8.57%

Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

N/A

Current Ratio

3.26

Strong

Quick Ratio

2.65

Excellent

Cash/Share

$7.15

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue

$0.2B

Gross Margin

49.3%

Op. Margin

26.7%

Net Margin

15.2%

Total Assets

$0.7B

Liabilities

$1.4B

Equity

$-0.7B

Debt/Equity

-1.94x

Operating CF

$0.1B

CapEx

$-0.0B

Free Cash Flow

$0.0B

FCF Yield

60%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-29

$N/A

2026-02-18

$0.96

+13.6% surprise

2025-11-04

$1.09

+19.0% surprise

2025-07-30

$1.0

+15.0% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing WING against 305 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (19 bullish, 96 neutral, 190 bearish)

P/E Ratio

30.02

This Stock

33.91

Sector Avg

-11.5% (Discount)

Profit Margin

25.01%

This Stock

-6.49%

Sector Avg

-485.2% (Weaker)

Revenue Growth

8.6%

This Stock

35.11%

Sector Avg

-75.5% (Slower)

Current Ratio

3.26

This Stock

2.48

Sector Avg

+31.4% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
WING Wingstop Inc.	BEARISH	$5.13B	30.02	-%	25.0%	$186.74
GLBE Global-E Online Ltd.	NEUTRAL	$5.11B	78.05	7.5%	7.1%	$30.44	Compare
ATAT Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited	BULLISH	$4.97B	21.27	49.7%	16.6%	$35.94	Compare
GNTX Gentex Corporation	BULLISH	$4.96B	13.24	15.5%	15.2%	$23.03	Compare
BFAM Bright Horizons Family...	NEUTRAL	$5.31B	27.08	14.2%	7.0%	$93.43	Compare

WING Wingstop Inc.

BEARISH

Mkt Cap

$5.1B

P/E

30.0

ROE

Price

$186.74

GLBE Global-E Online Ltd.

Compare with WING

Compare with WING

GNTX Gentex Corporation

Compare with WING

Compare with WING

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date	Insider	Position	Transaction	Shares	Value
2026-03-10	FALLON CHRISTOPHER	Chief Technology Officer	Sale	177	$39,079
2026-03-09	SKIPWORTH MICHAEL JOHN	Chief Executive Officer	Stock Award	5,865	-
2026-03-09	UPSHAW DONNIE	Officer	Stock Award	937	-
2026-03-09	CARONA MARISA	Officer	Stock Award	937	-
2026-03-09	KALEIDA ALEX	Chief Financial Officer	Stock Award	1,009	-
2026-03-09	MCGRATH ALBERT G. JR.	General Counsel	Stock Award	937	-
2026-03-06	SKIPWORTH MICHAEL JOHN	Chief Executive Officer	Stock Award	4,636	-
2026-03-06	UPSHAW DONNIE	Officer	Stock Award	681	-
2026-03-06	CARONA MARISA	Officer	Stock Award	681	-
2026-03-06	KALEIDA ALEX	Chief Financial Officer	Stock Award	886	-
2026-03-06	KAPOOR RAJ	Chief Operating Officer	Stock Award	681	-
2026-03-06	FALLON CHRISTOPHER	Chief Technology Officer	Stock Award	496	-
2026-03-06	FALLON CHRISTOPHER	Chief Technology Officer	Stock Award	225	-
2026-03-06	BREWER BRADLEY T.	Officer	Stock Award	114	-
2026-03-06	MCGRATH ALBERT G. JR.	General Counsel	Stock Award	681	-

FALLON CHRISTOPHER

Chief Technology Officer

Sell

2026-03-10

177 shares · $39,079

SKIPWORTH MICHAEL JOHN

Chief Executive Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-09

5,865 shares

UPSHAW DONNIE

Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-09

937 shares

CARONA MARISA

Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-09

937 shares

KALEIDA ALEX

Chief Financial Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-09

1,009 shares

MCGRATH ALBERT G. JR.

General Counsel

Stock Award

2026-03-09

937 shares

SKIPWORTH MICHAEL JOHN

Chief Executive Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-06

4,636 shares

UPSHAW DONNIE

Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-06

681 shares

CARONA MARISA

Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-06

681 shares

KALEIDA ALEX

Chief Financial Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-06

886 shares

KAPOOR RAJ

Chief Operating Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-06

681 shares

FALLON CHRISTOPHER

Chief Technology Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-06

496 shares

FALLON CHRISTOPHER

Chief Technology Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-06

225 shares

BREWER BRADLEY T.

Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-06

114 shares

MCGRATH ALBERT G. JR.

General Counsel

Stock Award

2026-03-06

681 shares

Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A

2026-04-02

Wingstop Inc. (WING) filed a definitive proxy statement on April 2, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for its annual meeting.

8-K

2026-03-11

Wingstop Inc. filed an 8-K on March 11, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results for the preceding fiscal year.

10-K

2026-02-18

Wingstop Inc. (WING) filed its 10-K annual report on February 18, 2026, providing comprehensive disclosures on its business operations and financial condition. While specific financial metrics were not provided in the excerpts, the filing includes detailed sections on risk factors and management's discussion and analysis of results.

8-K

2026-02-18

Wingstop Inc. announced its quarterly financial results for the period ending December 31, 2025.

8-K

2026-01-13

Wingstop Inc. likely filed this 8-K to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ending 2025.

10-Q

2025-11-04

Wingstop Inc. filed its quarterly 10-Q report on November 4, 2025. The filing includes a section on risk factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K

2025-11-04

Wingstop Inc. announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025.

8-K

2025-09-15

10-Q

2025-07-30

Wingstop filed its quarterly 10-Q report on July 30, 2025. The filing includes a dedicated section for risk factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K

2025-07-30

Wingstop Inc. filed an 8-K on July 30, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

8-K

2025-05-23

10-Q

2025-04-30

8-K

2025-04-30

DEF 14A

2025-04-03

10-K

2025-02-19

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning WING from our newsroom.

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WING

WING Wingstop Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Quarterly Earnings History

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

Recent Insider Trading

SEC Filings

Past News Coverage

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