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WLFC

NEUTRAL
$190.0 Live
Willis Lease Finance Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $190.0 (0.0%)
$114.01 52W Range $217.54

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
WLFC exhibits strong operational health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, yet it currently trades at a premium to both its Graham Number ($173.46) and Intrinsic Value ($107.73). While revenue growth remains robust at 27.8%, there is a concerning divergence as earnings growth has plummeted by 45.9% YoY. The valuation is supported by a low P/E of 12.35 and a PEG of 0.94, but significant insider selling and a bearish technical trend offset these fundamentals.

Key Strengths

Strong operational health indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9
Robust top-line growth with 27.8% YoY revenue increase
Attractive valuation multiples (P/E 12.35, Forward P/E 10.17)
Very sustainable dividend payout ratio of 7.47%
Strong long-term price performance (+354.3% over 5 years)

Key Risks

Severe earnings contraction (-45.9% YoY and -62.7% Q/Q)
High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.74
Poor liquidity indicated by a Quick Ratio of 0.21
Strong bearish insider sentiment with 7 sell transactions and 0 buys
Price is currently trading above defensive fair value (Graham Number)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$165.5
-12.9% below current price

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