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WSBF

NEUTRAL
$17.97 Live
Waterstone Financial, Inc. · NASDAQ
$11.92 52W Range $18.88

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
WSBF presents a classic 'value trap' profile, characterized by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicating deteriorating operational health despite appearing deeply undervalued. While the current price of $17.97 sits significantly below the Graham Number ($25.77) and Intrinsic Value ($43.66), this discount is offset by bearish insider activity and a poor recent earnings track record. Strong YoY growth metrics are contradicted by a rising Forward P/E and consistent earnings misses over the last four quarters. Consequently, the attractive valuation is undermined by fundamental health risks and negative internal sentiment.

Key Strengths

Trading at a discount to book value (P/B 0.90)
Significant margin of safety relative to Graham Number ($25.77)
Strong YoY Revenue growth (19.90%) and Earnings growth (55.40%)
Sustainable dividend payout ratio (40.54%)
Low trailing P/E ratio (12.14) compared to sector averages

Key Risks

Weak financial health as indicated by Piotroski F-Score (3/9)
Strongly bearish insider sentiment with $3.33M in sales and zero buys
Poor earnings reliability with an average surprise of -24.75% over the last 4 quarters
Bearish technical trend (10/100) suggesting lack of market conviction
High regulatory risk and sensitivity to interest rate environments as a regional bank
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$22.5
+25.2% above current price

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