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XELB

BEARISH
$2.13 Live
Xcel Brands, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $5.0 (+134.7%)
$0.74 52W Range $3.17

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 24, 2026
Market cap
$12.81M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-79.5%
Profit margin
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.14
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
95%
XELB exhibits severe financial distress, anchored by a critical Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, indicating fundamental weakness across nearly all health metrics. The company is facing a liquidity crisis with a Current Ratio of 0.49 and a Quick Ratio of 0.28, suggesting an inability to meet short-term obligations. Despite a recent speculative price rally and a single analyst's 'strong buy' rating, the operational reality is characterized by a -166.78% operating margin and declining year-over-year revenue. The disconnect between the current price momentum and the catastrophic balance sheet suggests a high-risk speculative bubble rather than a value recovery.

Key Strengths

Trading at a discount to book value (P/B 0.55)
Recent short-term price momentum (+51.1% over 6 months)
Consistent beats of very low earnings estimates in recent quarters
Positive YoY EPS growth (though remaining negative)
Low PEG ratio (though mathematically skewed by negative earnings)

Key Risks

Extreme liquidity risk (Current Ratio 0.49)
Severe operational inefficiency (Operating Margin -166.78%)
Fundamental financial decay (Piotroski F-Score 1/9)
Negative Return on Equity (-79.47%)
Declining revenue growth (-3.40% YoY)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$1.1
-48.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
13
Weak
Value
30
Future
20
Past
10
Health
5
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High Risk / Distressed
Key drivers: Critical liquidity shortage, Catastrophic F-Score, Negative operating margins, Micro-cap volatility
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

P/B suggests value, but negative earnings make it a likely value trap.

Positives
  • Low Price-to-Book ratio (0.55)
Watchpoints
  • Negative Forward P/E
  • No Graham Number available due to lack of earnings
Future
20/100

Revenue growth is negative (-3.40%), undermining long-term viability.

Positives
  • Improving EPS from deep negatives
Watchpoints
  • Negative revenue growth
  • Lack of scalable profitability
Past
10/100

Long-term trend is overwhelmingly bearish.

Positives
  • Recent 1-month price surge
Watchpoints
  • 5-year price collapse of 88%
  • Consistent history of quarterly losses
Health
5/100

F-Score of 1/9 is a primary indicator of potential bankruptcy or severe distress.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
  • Current Ratio < 0.5
  • High Debt/Equity relative to assets
Dividend
0/100

Dividend strength is 0/100.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • No capacity for dividends

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$2.13
Analyst Target
$5.0
Upside/Downside
+134.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for XELB and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-23
XEL
Xcel Brands, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-88.0%
3Y
-62.8%
1Y
-7.2%
6M
+51.1%
1M
+42.0%
1W
+13.9%
MWY
Marwynn Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-85.3%
3Y
-85.3%
1Y
-86.2%
6M
-45.2%
1M
-16.3%
1W
-12.0%
WKS
Worksport Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-98.2%
3Y
-93.9%
1Y
-61.8%
6M
-67.0%
1M
-13.5%
1W
+9.0%
GTI
Good Times Restaurants Inc.
Peer
5Y
-74.5%
3Y
-53.9%
1Y
-38.5%
6M
-20.8%
1M
+5.9%
1W
+5.9%
LES
Leslie's, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-99.7%
3Y
-99.4%
1Y
-88.6%
6M
-69.8%
1M
+25.0%
1W
+1.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-1.04
PEG Ratio
0.08
P/B Ratio
0.55
P/S Ratio
2.59
EV/Revenue
5.54
EV/EBITDA
-7.55
Market Cap
$12.81M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin N/A
Operating Margin -166.78%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE -79.47%
ROA -9.74%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -3.4%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -3.39%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.14
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.49
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.28
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.19

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
100.0%
Op. Margin
-166.8%
Net Margin
-237.8%
Total Assets
$0.0B
Liabilities
$0.0B
Equity
$0.0B
Debt/Equity
1.29x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-15
$N/A
2026-04-07
$-0.32
+34.7% surprise
2025-11-19
$-0.34
+52.1% surprise
2025-08-14
$-0.37
+26.0% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing XELB against 311 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (19 bullish, 98 neutral, 194 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-79.47%
This Stock
vs
-58.31%
Sector Avg
+36.3% (Excellent)
Debt to Equity
1.14
This Stock
vs
1.33
Sector Avg
-13.9% (Lower)
Revenue Growth
-3.4%
This Stock
vs
34.52%
Sector Avg
-109.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.49
This Stock
vs
2.48
Sector Avg
-80.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

D LOREN ROBERT W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-20
13,222 shares · $29,617
D LOREN ROBERT W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-14
1,742 shares · $2,500
D LOREN ROBERT W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
20,425 shares · $29,616
D LOREN ROBERT W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-02
20,147 shares · $29,616
D LOREN ROBERT W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-02
26,924 shares · $29,616
D LOREN ROBERT W
Chief Executive Officer
Buy
2025-12-17
81,466 shares · $94,908
DISANTO MARK
Director
Buy
2025-12-05
50,000 shares · $48,435
D LOREN ROBERT W
Chief Executive Officer
Buy
2025-12-05
50,000 shares · $48,435
DISANTO MARK
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-03
35,167 shares · $33,057
WEINSWIG DEBORAH L
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-03
6,800 shares
FIELDING JAMES D.
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-03
6,000 shares
D LOREN ROBERT W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-03
56,507 shares · $53,117
LIEBMAN HOWARD M. CPA
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-03
11,617 shares
D LOREN ROBERT W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-10-31
23,505 shares · $29,616
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-17

XELB likely filed this 8-K to announce its first-quarter financial results for 2026.

10-K
10-K
2026-04-15

XELB filed its 10-K annual report on April 15, 2026. The provided excerpts contain the filing's table of contents and standard forward-looking statement disclosures, but they do not include specific financial highlights or detailed risk factors.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-24
8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-24
S-1
S-1
2026-02-04

XELB filed an S-1 registration statement on February 4, 2026, indicating its intent to register securities for a proposed initial public offering.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-01-23

XELB filed an 8-K on January 23, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-12-19
8-K
8-K
2025-12-05
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-19

XELB filed its quarterly 10-Q report on November 19, 2025. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial highlights or detailed risk factor descriptions.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-10-17

XELB filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on October 17, 2025, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on matters at an upcoming meeting.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-10
8-K
8-K
2025-10-02
8-K
8-K
2025-09-19
8-K
8-K
2025-08-15
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-14
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning XELB from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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