XPEV XPeng Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
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XPEV Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Consumer Cyclical
Auto Manufacturers
Current Price
Live
$20.65
Analyst Target
$28.47
+37.9%
Upside
52W High
$28.23
52W Low
$14.01
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$19.7B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-9.2%
Profit margin
-4.0%
Debt/Equity
0.58
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
65%
The company exhibits weak financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating significant fundamental concerns. Despite this, XPeng shows strong revenue growth of 101.8% YoY and improving earnings trends, with recent quarters consistently beating estimates by wide margins. Valuation metrics are stretched, with a Forward P/E of 55.10 and no Graham Number, while profitability remains negative across all margins. Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $28.47 target, implying 38% upside, but the stock's technical trend is currently bearish.
Key Strengths
Exceptional YoY revenue growth of 101.8%, significantly above sector average of 12.82%
Consistent earnings beat streak: 3 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates, with average surprise of 62.71%
Strong insider sentiment score of 40/100, suggesting non-hostile ownership behavior
Debt/Equity ratio of 0.58 is below sector average of 1.41, indicating conservative leverage
Gross margin of 17.28% is healthy for an auto manufacturer in growth phase
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial weakness and poor operational performance
Negative profitability across all metrics: net margin (-4.04%), ROE (-9.20%), ROA (-3.00%)
Current ratio of 1.12 and quick ratio of 0.77 indicate potential liquidity pressure
No Altman Z-Score available, creating uncertainty about bankruptcy risk
Technical trend score of 0/100 reflects strong bearish momentum despite fundamental improvements
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$28.47
+37.9% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
37
Weak
35
75
50
25
0
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic due to growth trajectory, but constrained by weak financial health and profitability
Key drivers: High revenue growth, Improving earnings surprises, Low leverage, Weak Piotroski score, Negative ROE and margins
Confidence
70%
Value
35/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price/Sales of 0.28 is low for a growth-oriented EV manufacturer
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E of 55.10 is very high relative to peers and historical norms
- No Graham Number due to unprofitability
- Price/Book of 4.57 is elevated
Future
75/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue growth of 101.8% YoY is exceptional
- Earnings growth of 90.1% YoY indicates rapid loss narrowing
- Recent quarters show accelerating EPS improvement
Watchpoints
- Earnings still negative; sustainability of growth unproven
Past
50/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- History of beating earnings estimates, especially in last 4 quarters
- Progressive improvement in EPS from -$3.10 to -$0.16 over 2 years
Watchpoints
- Long history of losses and negative cash flows
- Mixed performance prior to 2024 with several large negative surprises
Health
25/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Debt/Equity of 0.58 is manageable
- Current ratio above 1.0 provides minimal liquidity buffer
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates poor financial health
- Quick ratio of 0.77 suggests potential short-term liquidity risk
- ROE of -9.20% and negative margins across the board
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or payout history
- Dividend strength score of 0/100
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$20.65
Analyst Target
$28.47
Upside/Downside
+37.9%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for XPEV and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-16
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
XPEV
XPeng Inc.
Primary
|
-61.6% | +120.6% | +48.9% | +12.8% | +14.2% | +3.1% |
|
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
Peer
|
-83.5% | -1.5% | +15.4% | +21.7% | -5.5% | -13.3% |
|
AMCR
Amcor plc
Peer
|
-0.8% | -14.4% | -6.9% | -9.1% | +7.2% | +8.2% |
|
BURL
Burlington Stores, Inc.
Peer
|
+18.0% | +32.7% | +2.1% | +6.6% | +3.4% | -2.7% |
|
AS
Amer Sports, Inc.
Peer
|
+181.5% | +181.5% | +22.2% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +1.9% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
55.1
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.57
P/S Ratio
0.28
EV/Revenue
0.29
EV/EBITDA
-11.15
Market Cap
$19.7B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-4.04%
Operating Margin
-3.32%
Gross Margin
17.28%
ROE
-9.2%
ROA
-3.0%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+101.8%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.58
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.12
Good
Quick Ratio
0.77
Poor
Cash/Share
$19.11
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-17
$N/A
2025-11-17
$-0.16
+65.8% surprise
2025-08-19
$-0.41
+61.4% surprise
2025-05-21
$-0.7
+61.0% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing XPEV against 94 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(6 bullish, 47 neutral, 41 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-9.2%
This Stock
vs
5.87%
Sector Avg
-256.6%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-4.04%
This Stock
vs
0.76%
Sector Avg
-634.6%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.58
This Stock
vs
1.65
Sector Avg
-64.9%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
101.8%
This Stock
vs
7.62%
Sector Avg
+1235.7%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.12
This Stock
vs
1.88
Sector Avg
-40.4%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
XPEV
XPeng Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $19.7B | - | -9.2% | -4.0% | $20.65 | |
|
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $20.44B | - | -64.9% | -61.3% | $16.67 | |
|
AMCR
Amcor plc
|
NEUTRAL | $20.44B | 28.38 | 7.5% | 3.3% | $44.28 | |
|
BURL
Burlington Stores, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $18.75B | 34.25 | 41.9% | 5.0% | $297.96 | |
|
AS
Amer Sports, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $20.92B | 66.18 | 6.6% | 5.1% | $37.72 |
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
27 analysts
Freedom Capital Markets
2026-01-06
Hold
Buy
Citigroup
2025-08-20
Buy
Buy
B of A Securities
2025-08-19
Buy
Buy
Macquarie
2025-08-15
Outperform
Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning XPEV from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.