AAL
BEARISH
$11.13
Live
American Airlines Group Inc. · NYSE
Target $15.99
(+43.6%)
$8.5
52W Range
$16.5
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 01, 2026
Market cap
$7.35B
P/E
65.47
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
0.2%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
70%
AAL shows bearish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is stable (F-Score 4/9). Concerns include weak profitability or high valuation.
Key Strengths
Company has established market presence
Key Risks
High valuation with P/E of 65.5
Low profit margin of 0.2%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$1.19
-89.3% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
35
Weak
35
50
40
50
0
AI Verdict
AAL shows bearish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is stable (F-Score 4/9). Concerns include weak profitability or high valuation.
Key drivers: Company has established market presence, High valuation with P/E of 65.5, Low profit margin of 0.2%
Confidence
30%
Value
35/100
Rule-based valuation (P/E + Graham).
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
- Premium 65.5x trailing earnings multiple.
Future
50/100
Rule-based growth outlook.
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Past
40/100
Historical performance + price trend: Shares moved -54.1% over 5Y and +8.1% over 1Y.
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
- Thin profit margins.
Health
50/100
Balance sheet & liquidity (Z-Score: N/A).
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Dividend
0/100
Dividend policy fallback.
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
- No regular dividend payments.
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$11.13
Analyst Target
$15.99
Upside/Downside
+43.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AAL and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-01
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AAL
American Airlines Group Inc.
Primary
|
-54.1% | -22.8% | +8.1% | -1.2% | -11.1% | +3.6% |
|
AL
Air Lease Corporation
Peer
|
+64.5% | +54.2% | +38.3% | +11.7% | +0.3% | +0.2% |
|
AAON
AAON, Inc.
Peer
|
+72.1% | +40.5% | +7.6% | +2.2% | -18.3% | -5.0% |
|
AWI
Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
Peer
|
+142.3% | +157.4% | +25.5% | +11.5% | -2.1% | -4.5% |
|
ADT
ADT Inc.
Peer
|
+1.2% | +0.3% | +11.5% | -3.6% | -0.6% | -2.7% |
AAL
American Airlines Group Inc.
Primary
5Y
-54.1%
3Y
-22.8%
1Y
+8.1%
6M
-1.2%
1M
-11.1%
1W
+3.6%
AL
Air Lease Corporation
Peer
5Y
+64.5%
3Y
+54.2%
1Y
+38.3%
6M
+11.7%
1M
+0.3%
1W
+0.2%
AAO
AAON, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+72.1%
3Y
+40.5%
1Y
+7.6%
6M
+2.2%
1M
-18.3%
1W
-5.0%
AWI
Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+142.3%
3Y
+157.4%
1Y
+25.5%
6M
+11.5%
1M
-2.1%
1W
-4.5%
ADT
ADT Inc.
Peer
5Y
+1.2%
3Y
+0.3%
1Y
+11.5%
6M
-3.6%
1M
-0.6%
1W
-2.7%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
65.47
Forward P/E
4.27
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-1.97
P/S Ratio
0.13
EV/Revenue
0.69
EV/EBITDA
9.61
Market Cap
$7.35B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
0.2%
Operating Margin
3.62%
Gross Margin
22.73%
ROE
N/A
ROA
1.71%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+2.5%
Earnings Growth
-83.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-83.2%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
0.5
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.35
Poor
Cash/Share
$9.8
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$14.0B
Gross Margin
20.0%
Op. Margin
3.5%
Net Margin
0.7%
Total Assets
$61.8B
Liabilities
$65.5B
Equity
$-3.7B
Debt/Equity
-17.57x
Operating CF
$-1.4B
CapEx
$-1.6B
Free Cash Flow
$-3.0B
FCF Yield
209%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-23
$N/A
2026-01-27
$0.16
-54.6% surprise
2025-10-23
$-0.17
+38.2% surprise
2025-07-24
$0.91
+16.7% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing AAL against 122 companies in the Industrials sector
(9 bullish, 56 neutral, 57 bearish)
P/E Ratio
65.47
This Stock
vs
73.06
Sector Avg
-10.4%
(Discount)
Profit Margin
0.2%
This Stock
vs
56.42%
Sector Avg
-99.6%
(Weaker)
Revenue Growth
2.5%
This Stock
vs
21.48%
Sector Avg
-88.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.5
This Stock
vs
2.75
Sector Avg
-81.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AAL
American Airlines Group Inc.
|
BEARISH | $7.35B | 65.47 | -% | 0.2% | $11.13 | |
|
AL
Air Lease Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $7.2B | 7.47 | 12.7% | 35.1% | $64.42 | |
|
AAON
AAON, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $6.85B | 65.04 | 12.5% | 7.5% | $83.9 | |
|
AWI
Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $8.1B | 27.1 | 38.0% | 19.1% | $187.28 | |
|
ADT
ADT Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $6.59B | 11.31 | 17.2% | 12.5% | $8.03 |
AAL
American...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$7.3B
P/E
65.5
ROE
-%
Price
$11.13
AL
Air Lease Corporation
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$7.2B
P/E
7.5
ROE
12.7%
Price
$64.42
AAON
AAON, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$6.8B
P/E
65.0
ROE
12.5%
Price
$83.9
AWI
Armstrong...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$8.1B
P/E
27.1
ROE
38.0%
Price
$187.28
ADT
ADT Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$6.6B
P/E
11.3
ROE
17.2%
Price
$8.03
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | DILLON MARY N | Director | Stock Award | 3,031 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | SEYMOUR DAVID | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 321,756 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | OWENS ANGELA | Officer | Stock Award | 100,625 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | MAY DEVON E | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 311,082 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | RICHMOND ANTHONY J. | Officer | Stock Award | 241,638 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | PIEPER NATHANIEL | Officer | Stock Award | 216,722 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | ISOM ROBERT D JR | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 781,250 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | JOHNSON STEPHEN L | Officer | Stock Award | 442,708 | - |
| 2025-12-16 | SEYMOUR DAVID | Chief Operating Officer | Sale | 25,595 | $409,699 |
| 2025-12-09 | SEYMOUR DAVID | Chief Operating Officer | Sale | 62,507 | $938,286 |
| 2025-11-03 | PIEPER NATHANIEL | Officer | Stock Award | 22,488 | - |
DILLON MARY N
Director
2026-03-24
3,031 shares
SEYMOUR DAVID
Chief Operating Officer
2026-02-17
321,756 shares
OWENS ANGELA
Officer
2026-02-17
100,625 shares
MAY DEVON E
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-17
311,082 shares
RICHMOND ANTHONY J.
Officer
2026-02-17
241,638 shares
PIEPER NATHANIEL
Officer
2026-02-17
216,722 shares
ISOM ROBERT D JR
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-17
781,250 shares
JOHNSON STEPHEN L
Officer
2026-02-17
442,708 shares
SEYMOUR DAVID
Chief Operating Officer
2025-12-16
25,595 shares
·
$409,699
SEYMOUR DAVID
Chief Operating Officer
2025-12-09
62,507 shares
·
$938,286
PIEPER NATHANIEL
Officer
2025-11-03
22,488 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
24 analysts
UBS
2026-03-23
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2026-03-20
Buy
Buy
UBS
2026-03-16
Buy
Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-03-16
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Jefferies
2026-03-12
Hold
Hold
Evercore ISI Group
2026-03-12
In-Line
In-Line
TD Cowen
2026-03-09
Buy
Buy
Rothschild & Co
2026-03-05
Buy
Neutral
Freedom Broker
2026-02-20
Buy
Hold
TD Cowen
2026-01-30
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AAL from our newsroom.
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