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AAMI

NEUTRAL
$55.19 Live
Acadian Asset Management Inc. · NYSE
Target $52.0 (-5.8%)
$22.6 52W Range $56.29

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
72%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, indicating stable financial health, while the Altman Z-Score is unavailable, limiting distress risk assessment. The company trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number of $5.36, with a current price of $55.19, though growth-based intrinsic value suggests $16.45. Strong revenue growth (17.10% YoY) and consistent earnings beats are offset by high leverage (Debt/Equity: 3.03) and declining recent earnings growth (YoY: -6.70%). Insider selling and a bearish technical trend further temper optimism.

Key Strengths

Consistent quarterly earnings beats with an average surprise of 10.22% over the last four quarters
Strong revenue growth of 17.10% year-over-year, outpacing sector average in profitability despite lower growth
High profitability margins: gross margin at 43.89%, operating margin at 18.31%, and profit margin at 15.70%
Exceptional ROE of 205.58%, significantly above sector average and indicating efficient use of equity
Strong historical price performance: +115.3% 1-year return and +169.4% over 5 years

Key Risks

High Debt/Equity ratio of 3.03, well above sector average of 1.73, increasing financial risk
Negative year-over-year earnings growth of -6.70% and declining Q/Q earnings growth of -10.70%
Current price ($55.19) is over 10x the Graham Number ($5.36), suggesting extreme overvaluation on a defensive basis
Bearish technical trend (10/100) and weak insider sentiment (30/100) with recent large-scale insider selling
Missing key financial data (EV, cash, debt, shares outstanding, free cash flow) limits full transparency and analysis reliability
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$18.5
-66.5% below current price

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