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AB AllianceBernstein Holding L.P. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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AB Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Financial Services Asset Management
Current Price Live
$38.96
Analyst Target
$40.86
+4.9% Upside
52W High
$43.3
52W Low
$32.28

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$4.31B
P/E
13.16
ROE
19.8%
Profit margin
N/A
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
8.73%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The company exhibits weak financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and lacks an Altman Z-Score, raising concerns about bankruptcy risk assessment. Despite a high dividend yield of 8.73%, the payout ratio of 111.92% is unsustainable, supported by negative profit margin and declining revenue. Valuation appears stretched relative to intrinsic metrics, with the stock trading at $38.96 versus a Graham Number of $29.35 and intrinsic value of $20.72. Negative insider sentiment, deteriorating growth trends, and weak technicals further reinforce a bearish outlook.

Key Strengths

High dividend yield of 8.73% offers attractive income potential
ROE of 19.75% indicates efficient use of equity capital
Forward P/E of 10.41 is below sector average of 21.22, suggesting relative value
Recent quarterly earnings surprises have been positive, including several double-digit beats
Operating margin at 100% suggests strong cost control or unique accounting structure

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and elevated risk
Dividend payout ratio of 111.92% is unsustainable long-term
Revenue growth down 40.30% YoY, significantly underperforming sector average of +45.29%
Insider selling of $1.27M in last 6 months signals management's lack of confidence
Technical trend score of 0/100 and negative short-term price performance indicate strong bearish momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$29.35
-24.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
38
Weak
Value
42
Future
28
Past
54
Health
30
Dividend
38
AI Verdict
Overvalued with deteriorating fundamentals and high risk
Key drivers: Low Piotroski score, Unsustainable dividend, Negative revenue growth, Bearish insider activity, Premium to Graham Number
Confidence
82%
Value
42/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 10.41 is below sector average
  • P/E of 13.16 is reasonable for financial services
Watchpoints
  • Price/Sales ratio of -42.07 indicates negative sales or valuation distortion
  • Stock trades at 33% premium to Graham Number ($29.35)
  • Current price significantly above intrinsic value of $20.72
Future
28/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Most recent Q/Q EPS growth of +13.2% shows short-term improvement
  • Year-over-Year EPS growth of +11.7% remains positive
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth down 40.30% YoY
  • Earnings growth down 28.80% YoY
  • Q/Q earnings growth down 42.00%
Past
54/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • History of beating earnings estimates, particularly in recent years
  • Multiple quarters with >20% earnings surprise
  • 5-year price return of +61.4% outperforms many peers
Watchpoints
  • Recent deceleration in performance
  • 6-month return of -5.4% and 1-month decline indicate weakening momentum
Health
30/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • ROE of 19.75% is strong
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
  • ROA of -3.90% shows poor asset efficiency
  • No Altman Z-Score available increases uncertainty
  • Profit margin at 0.00% despite high operating margin
  • No debt/equity or liquidity ratios available
Dividend
38/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • High dividend yield of 8.73% is attractive
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 111.92% exceeds earnings
  • Dividend strength score of 40/100 indicates moderate risk
  • No visibility on dividend sustainability given missing cash flow data

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$38.96
Analyst Target
$40.86
Upside/Downside
+4.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AB and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
AB
AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.
Primary
+61.4% +31.7% +5.9% -5.4% -0.1% -3.0%
BGC
BGC Group, Inc.
Peer
+140.9% +117.3% -6.3% -9.0% -1.8% -1.4%
ASB
Associated Banc-Corp
Peer
+67.4% +34.5% +8.3% +5.1% -0.4% -0.4%
BBAR
Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.
Peer
+853.0% +421.2% -15.4% +22.0% +6.0% +9.6%
AGO
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Peer
+143.2% +41.2% -8.7% -1.1% -8.4% -2.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
13.16
Forward P/E
10.41
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.01
P/S Ratio
-42.07
EV/Revenue
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$4.31B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin N/A
Operating Margin 100.0%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE 19.75%
ROA -3.9%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -40.3%
Earnings Growth -28.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -42.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$N/A

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-05
$N/A
2025-10-23
$0.86
+1.0% surprise
2025-07-24
$0.76
-1.8% surprise
2025-04-24
$0.8
+2.9% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing AB against 208 companies in the Financial Services sector (6 bullish, 111 neutral, 91 bearish)
P/E Ratio
13.16
This Stock
vs
30.39
Sector Avg
-56.7% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
19.75%
This Stock
vs
-7.57%
Sector Avg
-360.8% (Below Avg)
Revenue Growth
-40.3%
This Stock
vs
30.29%
Sector Avg
-233.1% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
AB
AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.
BEARISH $4.31B 13.16 19.8% -% $38.96
BGC
BGC Group, Inc.
NEUTRAL $4.23B 27.84 14.6% 6.3% $8.91
ASB
Associated Banc-Corp
NEUTRAL $4.39B 31.86 3.8% 16.0% $26.44
BBAR
Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.
BEARISH $4.46B 30.28 7.2% 8.5% $19.38
AGO
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
NEUTRAL $3.96B 10.36 7.4% 44.1% $83.26

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-12-10 SPRULES KARL Chief Operating Officer Gift 2,490 $102,364
2025-12-10 BERNSTEIN SETH PERRY Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 159,937 $6,575,010
2025-12-10 MANLEY MARK R General Counsel Stock Award 11,068 $455,005
2025-12-10 SPRULES KARL Chief Operating Officer Stock Award 44,393 $1,824,996
2025-12-10 ERZAN ONUR Officer Stock Award 65,678 $2,700,023
2025-12-10 SIMEONE THOMAS Officer Stock Award 11,554 $474,985
2025-12-10 LUCKEY ALEXIS Officer Stock Award 517 $21,254
2025-09-22 MANLEY MARK R General Counsel Gift 700 $27,188
2025-09-10 SPRULES KARL Chief Operating Officer Gift 2,650 $100,064
2025-08-22 BERNSTEIN SETH PERRY Chief Executive Officer Sale 24,946 $999,087
2025-08-20 BERNSTEIN SETH PERRY Chief Executive Officer Sale 6,748 $270,735
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
7 analysts
Barclays
2026-01-15
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
TD Cowen
2026-01-14
Maintains
Hold Hold
Barclays
2025-12-12
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Evercore ISI Group
2025-12-05
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
TD Cowen
2025-10-24
Maintains
Hold Hold
Barclays
2025-10-24
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Barclays
2025-10-21
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
B of A Securities
2025-10-02
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Evercore ISI Group
2025-09-05
Maintains
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AB from our newsroom.

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