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ABEV

NEUTRAL
$2.78 Live
Ambev S.A. · NYSE
Target $2.93 (+5.3%)
$1.8 52W Range $2.81

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AI Analysis

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Confidence
65%
ABEV's deterministic health score is weak with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial stability. The stock trades above the Graham Number of $2.24 at a current price of $2.78, suggesting modest overvaluation for a defensive stock, though below the growth-based intrinsic value of $5.9. Strong profitability metrics like a 17.73% profit margin and 26.01% operating margin are offset by declining revenue growth of -5.70% YoY and a concerning 104.3% dividend payout ratio. Analysts rate it a 'hold' with a $2.93 target, implying limited upside.

Key Strengths

High dividend yield of 11.34% offers strong income appeal
Exceptional profitability with gross margin of 51.77% and ROE of 17.21%
Very low debt/equity ratio of 0.03 indicates minimal leverage risk
Recent earnings growth is robust, with YoY EPS growth at 38.40%
Trading below analyst target price of $2.93, implying 5.4% upside

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4 suggests weak financial health and inconsistent performance
Revenue declining YoY by -5.70%, indicating top-line pressure
Dividend payout ratio of 104.3% is unsustainable long-term
Poor technical trend score of 10/100 signals bearish momentum
Earnings surprise trend deteriorating, with 3 of last 4 quarters missing or barely meeting estimates
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$2.5
-10.1% below current price

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